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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4
MemphisMemphis
44
-Final
56
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 13.3

Home Win Probability

Navy 19%

Market (Bovada)

Navy +8.5

Edge: Memphis -8.5 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
143131444
NavyNavy
72172156

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-77-1421-1421-1728-1735-2435-3042-3049-3856-44
NavyMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMMEMMEMTD965ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT36ydTD1077ydTD475ydTD475ydPUNT30ydTD752ydFG1564ydTD975ydEND19ydTD575ydTD572ydPUNT735ydTD1295ydTD475ydDOWNS1464ydTD190ydTD680ydPUNT34ydTD1380ydTD728ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and Navy
StatisticMemphisNavy
Passing33-5710-14
Pass Yards385205
Rush Yards274361
Total Yards659566
Turnovers10
3rd Down12-193-6
Penalties4-355-31
Possession35:5724:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
32/56, 371 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brandon Thomas
12 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kobe Drake
9 REC, 102 YDS
defense
Navy
passing
Blake Horvath
9/12, 192 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Blake Horvath
12 CAR, 211 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Brandon Chatman
3 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Colin Ramos
2 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 22 yds to the NAVY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 11 yds to the NAVY 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.27

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 13 yds to the NAVY 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Mario Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NAVY 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds to the NAVY 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.64

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 6 yds to the NAVY 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Memphis Penalty, False Start (Demeer Blankumsee) to the NAVY 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Blake Horvath pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the NAVY 26

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.30

Blake Horvath sacked by Javon Denis for a loss of 8 yards to the NAVY 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Memphis Penalty, False Start (Demeer Blankumsee) to the MEM 33

1st & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 1 yd to the MEM 34

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Seth Henigan run for 10 yds to the MEM 44

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 41 yds , Eli Heidenreich returns for 8 yds to the NAVY 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Blake Horvath run for 8 yds to the NAVY 31

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Eli Heidenreich run for 8 yds to the NAVY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Blake Horvath pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Blake Horvath run for 1 yd to the NAVY 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.38

Blake Horvath pass complete to Thomas Scully for 20 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the MEM 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 8 yds to the MEM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Eli Heidenreich run for 16 yds to the MEM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Alex Tecza run for 5 yds to the MEM 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Blake Horvath run for 5 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MEM 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ja'Koby Banks run for 3 yds to the MEM 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 8 yds to the MEM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the MEM 38

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Seth Henigan pass incomplete. PENALTY NAVY Offsides (Jacob) enforced 5 yards from the MEM 38 to the MEM 43

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +4.44

Brandon Thomas run for 57 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon Chatman run for 3 yds to the NAVY 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.90

Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 27 yds to the MEM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Eli Heidenreich run for 6 yds to the MEM 39

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.17

Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 39 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Lance Gossett kickoff for 61 yds , Brady Kluse return for no gain to the MEM 4

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd to the MEM 5

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.07

Seth Henigan sacked by Colin Ramos for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 4

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Eli Heidenreich at the NAVY 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Alex Tecza run for 1 yd to the NAVY 49

2nd & 9Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.21

Isaiah Bryant run for 36 yds to the MEM 15 Navy Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NAVY 45

2nd & 13Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.80

Alex Tecza run for 19 yds to the MEM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Alex Tecza pass complete to Blake Horvath for 13 yds to the MEM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Eli Heidenreich run for 5 yds to the MEM 18

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the MEM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Brandon Chatman run for 12 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the MEM 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.53

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the NAVY 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 2 yds to the NAVY 44

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the NAVY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brandon Thomas run for 4 yds to the NAVY 36

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Seth Henigan run for 5 yds to the NAVY 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Brandon Thomas run for 3 yds to the NAVY 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 6 yds to the NAVY 22

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the NAVY 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NAVY 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 4 yds to the NAVY 11

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+29 yds

Caden Costa 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the NAVY 28

2nd & 7Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.65

Blake Horvath run for 46 yds to the MEM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the MEM 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 6 yds to the MEM 17

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.12

Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the MEM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Brandon Chatman run for a loss of 2 yards to the MEM 17

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Blake Horvath pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.98

Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 14 yds to the MEM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Blake Horvath run for 3 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Lance Gossett kickoff for 34 yds , An'Darius Coffey return for no gain to the MEM 31

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Brandon Thomas run for 9 yds to the MEM 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Chatman run for 2 yds to the NAVY 27

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Brandon Chatman run for 9 yds to the NAVY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Blake Horvath pass complete to Eli Heidenreich for 9 yds to the NAVY 45

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.22

Alex Tecza run for 9 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Blake Horvath pass complete to Brandon Chatman for 46 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MEM 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.34

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 23 yds to the NAVY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 7 yds to the NAVY 37

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.86

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 37 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Daba Fofana run for a loss of 3 yards to the NAVY 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.76

Blake Horvath pass complete to Cody Howard for 23 yds to the NAVY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.11

Blake Horvath sacked by Chandler Martin for a loss of 5 yards to the NAVY 40

2nd & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Amin Hassan run for 15 yds to the MEM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Eli Heidenreich pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Daba Fofana run for 3 yds to the MEM 42

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Blake Horvath run for 2 yds to the MEM 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 35 yds, downed at the MEM 5

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brandon Thomas run for 5 yds to the MEM 10

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Brandon Thomas run for 11 yds to the MEM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 6 yds to the MEM 27

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.77

Seth Henigan pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 21 yds to the MEM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 10 yds to the NAVY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the NAVY 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 2 yds to the NAVY 35

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Brandon Thomas run for 11 yds to the NAVY 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Brandon Thomas run for 8 yds to the NAVY 16

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

Navy Penalty, Personal Foul (Andrew Duhart) to the NAVY 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Eli Heidenreich run for 6 yds to the NAVY 31

2nd & 4Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.32

Blake Horvath run for 60 yds to the MEM 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Alex Tecza run for 2 yds to the MEM 7

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Blake Horvath run for 7 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Lance Gossett kickoff for 55 yds , Koby Drake return for 16 yds to the MEM 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 9 yds to the MEM 35

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 11 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 2 yds to the MEM 48

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Brandon Thomas run for 7 yds to the NAVY 45

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.14

Seth Henigan run for 3 yds to the NAVY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.57

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 16 yds to the NAVY 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NAVY 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Seth Henigan pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 6 yds to the NAVY 19

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Brandon Thomas run for 9 yds to the NAVY 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brandon Thomas run for no gain to the NAVY 10 Brandon Thomas fumbled, recovered by MEM Brendan Doyle B. Doyle return for 0 yds

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.49

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+90 ydsPPA +6.79

Blake Horvath run for 90 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Lance Gossett kickoff for 64 yds , Davion Ross return for 36 yds to the MEM 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 7 yds to the MEM 27

3rd & 3Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.68

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 37 yds to the NAVY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.67

Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcello Bussey for 36 yds for a TD (Seth Henigan pass to Koby Drake for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Eli Heidenreich run for no gain to the MEM 47

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Alex Tecza run for 6 yds to the MEM 41

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Alex Tecza run for 3 yds to the MEM 38

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Navy Penalty, False Start (Cam Nichols) to the MEM 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Riley Riethman punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 12 yds to the MEM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 8 yds to the MEM 40

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.62

Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcello Bussey for 6 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.42

Seth Henigan pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 26 yds to the NAVY 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Seth Henigan run for no gain to the NAVY 28

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 7 yds to the NAVY 21

4th & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.71

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 16 yds to the NAVY 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Seth Henigan run for 4 yds to the NAVY 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Mario Anderson Jr. 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 8 yds to the NAVY 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.21

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 4 yds to the NAVY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcello Bussey for 7 yds to the NAVY 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcello Bussey for 9 yds to the NAVY 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+86 ydsPPA -10.81

Rayuan Lane III 86 Yd Interception Return (Nathan Kirkwood Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Lance Gossett kickoff for 13 yds , Donovan Mathena return for no gain to the NAVY 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Memphis Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jonah Gambill) to the NAVY 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brady Kluse for 13 yds to the NAVY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
45%
38 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
53%
15 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
25 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
100%
5 plays
70%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th