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← Back to GamesNov 29, 2024Week 14
Ball StateBall State
21
-Final
42
OhioOhio
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 25

Home Win Probability

Ohio 91%

Market (Bovada)

Ohio -17.5

Edge: Ohio -17.5 (7.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 29, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
077721
OhioOhio
14714742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-735-735-1442-1442-21
OhioBall State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OHIBSOHIBSOHIBSOHIBSOHIBSBSOHIBSBSOHIBSOHIBSOHIBSOHIBSOHIBSOHITD578ydPUNT744ydTD380ydPUNT34ydTO621ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydPUNT835ydTD580ydTD670ydDOWNS835ydPUNT430ydEND23ydTO1-12ydTD216ydPUNT625ydTD880ydTD755ydPUNT33ydDOWNS1346ydTO725ydTO28ydTD639ydTD774ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Ohio
StatisticBall StateOhio
Passing29-479-15
Pass Yards333205
Rush Yards42270
Total Yards375475
Turnovers22
3rd Down11-187-10
Penalties4-437-55
Possession29:1630:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Kadin Semonza
29/47, 333 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Braedon Sloan
10 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Cam Pickett
9 REC, 119 YDS
defense
Ohio
passing
Parker Navarro
7/11, 169 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Parker Navarro
11 CAR, 110 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Coleman Owen
5 REC, 142 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 53 yds , Eamonn Dennis return for 10 yds to the OHIO 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 12 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the OHIO 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 43

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.55

Anthony Tyus III run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 50 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 63 yds , Cam Pickett return for 17 yds to the BALL 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 4 yds to the BALL 23

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.08

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 15 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.71

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 23 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the OHIO 34

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Kadin Semonza sacked by Ben McNaboe and Chris Mayfield for a loss of 3 yards to the OHIO 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kadin Semonza punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Parker Navarro run for 5 yds to the OHIO 25

2nd & 5Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.06

Anthony Tyus III run for 34 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 41 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Kadin Semonza pass complete to TJ Horton for a loss of 6 yards to the BALL 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the BALL 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Presley for 6 yds to the BALL 29

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 30 yds , Coleman Owen returns for 4 yds to the OHIO 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the OHIO 48

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the BALL 46

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 3 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 13 yds to the BALL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Parker Navarro sacked by Caden Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 34

2nd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.00

Parker Navarro pass intercepted Thailand Baldwin return for no gain to the BALL 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Vaughn Pemberton run for 3 yds to the BALL 6

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Vaughn Pemberton run for no gain to the BALL 6

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the BALL 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the BALL 42

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the BALL 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 25 yds, downed at the BALL 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.92

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Dahya Patel for 19 yds to the BALL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 5 yds to the BALL 39

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Christian Davis run for 1 yd to the BALL 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the OHIO 29

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 24

3rd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.58

Parker Navarro run for 32 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.85

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 29 yds to the BALL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BALL 20

1st & 15Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.91

Parker Navarro run for 20 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 61 yds , Cam Pickett return for 26 yds to the BALL 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

TJ Horton run for 3 yds to the BALL 33

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

TJ Horton run for no gain to the BALL 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.75

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 31 yds to the OHIO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the OHIO 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +4.05

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Dahya Patel for 33 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 9 yds , return for no gain to the BALL 44

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BALL 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 14 yds to the OHIO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

SEMONZA, Kadin pass deep to the left complete for 31 yards to PICKETT, Cam caught at the OHIO9 and advanced to the OHIO9, End of Play. PENALTY BALL Pass Interference on PICKETT, Cam enforced 15 yards to the BALL45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 12 yds to the OHIO 43

2nd & 13Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Kadin Semonza sacked by Marcel Walker-Burgess for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 44

3rd & 14Penalty+15 yds

SEMONZA, Kadin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PICKETT, Cam broken up by PARODIE, Roman at the OHIO14. PENALTY OHIO Pass Interference on PARODIE, Roman enforced 15 yards to the OHIO29 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Braedon Sloan run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 10 yds to the OHIO 20

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.64

Vaughn Pemberton run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 21

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.24

Anthony Tyus III run for 26 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Anthony Tyus III run for 9 yds to the BALL 44

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BALL 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds, downed at the BALL 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the BALL 11

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 60 yds , Cam Pickett return for 29 yds to the BALL 34

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.92

Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the BALL 16 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by OHIO Shay Taylor , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the BALL 15

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 15 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+52 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 52 yds , Cam Pickett return for no gain to the BALL 30 , return for 12 yds to the BALL 30 , Roman Parodie return for no gain to the BALL 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Jamarion McDougle for 8 yds to the BALL 38

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.04

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the OHIO 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 23

2nd & 7Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.86

Parker Navarro run for 28 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Anthony Tyus III run for 12 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the BALL 30

2nd & 3Penalty+5 yds

Ball State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the BALL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the BALL 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 9 yds to the BALL 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (Chase Hendricks) to the BALL 7

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the BALL 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Parker Navarro run for 4 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+41 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 61 yds , Cam Pickett return for 41 yds to the BALL 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 4 yds to the OHIO 46

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.63

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 17 yds to the OHIO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.67

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Nick Munson for 15 yds to the OHIO 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 3 yds to the OHIO 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Nick Poulos pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nick Munson at the BALL 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kadin Semonza run for 1 yd to the BALL 30

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Christian Davis run for 2 yds to the BALL 32

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.04

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 8 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 7 yds to the BALL 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.74

Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Kadin Semonza pass complete to TJ Horton for 7 yds to the OHIO 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 15 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.36

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nolan McCormick run for 4 yds to the OHIO 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Nick Poulos pass complete to Mason Williams for 17 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nick Poulos run for 4 yds to the OHIO 45

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nolan McCormick run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Nolan McCormick run for 2 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Nolan McCormick run for 1 yd to the BALL 47

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -2.48

Nick Poulos run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line Nick Poulos fumbled, recovered by BALL Riley Tolsma , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.18

Cam Pickett run for 27 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-19 ydsPPA -3.64

Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 19 yards to the BALL 39 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by OHIO Dustin Johnson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 40

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 2 yds to the BALL 38

3rd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.06

Nick Poulos run for 14 yds to the BALL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the BALL 23

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 4 yds to the BALL 19

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.07

Nick Poulos pass complete to Max Rodarte for 19 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+38 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 52 yds , Vaughn Pemberton return for 38 yds to the BALL 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

TJ Horton run for 5 yds to the BALL 31

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

TJ Horton run for 3 yds to the BALL 34

3rd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Ohio Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Miles Fleming) to the OHIO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 5 yds to the OHIO 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.57

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Jamarion McDougle for 12 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Jamarion McDougle for 27 yds for a TD (Jackson Courville KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 13 yds , return for no gain to the BALL 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the BALL 47

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Nolan McCormick run for 7 yds to the BALL 40

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Nolan McCormick run for 4 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

[NHSG] Kneel down by POULOS, Nick at BALL36 (team loss of 0), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
34%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
15 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th