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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2024Week 13
OhioOhio
24
-Final
7
ToledoToledo
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 3.8

Home Win Probability

Toledo 59%

Market (Bovada)

Toledo -1.5

Edge: Toledo -1.5 (2.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OhioOhio
0071724
ToledoToledo
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-147-217-24
ToledoOhio

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLTOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHITOLOHIPUNT36ydPUNT512ydPUNT636ydPUNT37ydPUNT617ydPUNT628ydPUNT3-1ydTD750ydPUNT1031ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydDOWNS46ydPUNT34ydTO764ydTO140ydTD645ydTO320ydTD1253ydPUNT3-8ydTD860ydDOWNS70ydFG618ydTO622ydDOWNS49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio and Toledo
StatisticOhioToledo
Passing11-1914-26
Pass Yards129173
Rush Yards23842
Total Yards367215
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-174-12
Penalties6-508-72
Possession41:2418:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio
passing
Parker Navarro
11/19, 129 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Anthony Tyus III
33 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caleb Gossett
6 REC, 86 YDS
defense
Toledo
passing
Tucker Gleason
9/17, 136 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Willie Shaw III
6 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Jerjuan Newton
4 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the OHIO 29

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Parker Navarro run for 2 yds to the OHIO 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 7 yds to the TOL 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 6 yds to the OHIO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tucker Gleason run for 3 yds to the OHIO 46

3rd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.49

Jacquez Stuart run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Emilio Duran punt for 47 yds, downed at the OHIO 3

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Anthony Tyus III run for 9 yds to the OHIO 12

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the OHIO 20

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

NAVARRO, Parker pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for OWEN, Coleman thrown to the TOLEDO46. PENALTY TOLEDO Pass Interference on AWLS, Braden enforced 15 yards to the OHIO35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Rickey Hunt Jr. run for 1 yd to the OHIO 36

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the OHIO 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 36 yds, downed at the TOL 25

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Tucker Gleason sacked by Shay Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the TOL 18

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Sevaughn Clark run for 2 yds to the TOL 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 12 yds to the TOL 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Emilio Duran punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 8 yds to the OHIO 35

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the OHIO 35

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.12

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the OHIO 40

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sevaughn Clark run for no gain to the TOL 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 10 yds to the TOL 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Willie Shaw III run for 12 yds to the TOL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Willie Shaw III run for 3 yds to the TOL 45

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

GLEASON, Tucker scrambles to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the TOLEDO47 (TAYLOR, Shay), out of bounds, clock 00:00. PENALTY TOLEDO Holding on RHETT, Cole enforced 10 yards from the TOLEDO45 to the TOLEDO35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.38

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 13 yds to the TOL 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Emilio Duran punt for 29 yds, downed at the OHIO 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 21

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Parker Navarro run for 1 yd to the OHIO 22

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+19 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 47 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 19 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Willie Shaw III run for 6 yds to the OHIO 44

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Tucker Gleason run for 10 yds to the OHIO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 9 yds to the OHIO 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.25

Willie Shaw III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for 23 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Michael Denning kickoff for 57 yds , Eamonn Dennis return for 16 yds to the OHIO 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 8 yds to the OHIO 32

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 27

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the OHIO 31

4th & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.05

Mason Williams run for 7 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ohio Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OHIO 31

1st & 17Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.51

Parker Navarro pass complete to Max Rodarte for 15 yds to the OHIO 46

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Anthony Tyus III run for 6 yds to the TOL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Parker Navarro run for no gain to the TOL 48

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Parker Navarro run for no gain to the TOL 48

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OHIO 47

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the TOL 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Willie Shaw III run for 3 yds to the TOL 12

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Tucker Gleason run for a loss of 2 yards to the TOL 10 Tucker Gleason fumbled, recovered by TOL Willie Shaw III W. Shaw III return for 0 yds

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+5 yds

Emilio Duran punt for 49 yds , Coleman Owen returns for 5 yds to the OHIO 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Parker Navarro pass complete to Rickey Hunt Jr. for 8 yds to the TOL 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 46 yds, downed at the TOL 1

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Toledo Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the TOL 1

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tucker Gleason run for 6 yds to the TOL 7

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Tucker Gleason run for 1 yd to the TOL 8

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the TOL 10

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA +0.22

[SG] Kneel down by GLEASON, Tucker at TOLEDO7 (team loss of 3); TOLEDO turnover on downs, clock 00:00.

0th & 1End of Half+86 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 62 yds , Jacquez Stuart return for 20 yds to the TOL 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Willie Shaw III run for 4 yds to the TOL 13

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jacquez Stuart run for no gain to the TOL 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Emilio Duran punt for 46 yds, downed at the OHIO 31

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 34

2nd & 17Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Parker Navarro run for 4 yds to the OHIO 38

3rd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 12 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.68

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 10 yds to the TOL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Ohio Penalty, False Start (Davion Weatherspoon) to the TOL 45

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the TOL 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.95

Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 34 yds to the TOL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -5.12

Parker Navarro pass intercepted Maxen Hook return for 5 yds to the TOL 5

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+40 ydsPPA -0.08

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Eric Holley III for 40 yds Eric Holley III fumbled, recovered by OHIO Roman Parodie R. Parodie return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the TOL 43

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the TOL 40

3rd & 5Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.35

Anthony Tyus III run for 34 yds to the TOL 6 for a 1ST down

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the TOL 1

1st & 6Penalty+3 yds

HUNT JR., Rickey rush to the right for no gain to the TOLEDO6 (BOLDEN, Daniel). PENALTY TOLEDO Face mask on DUNN JR, Anthony enforced half the distance from the goal, 3 yards from the TOLEDO6 to the TOLEDO3 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the TOL 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Parker Navarro 1 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 58 yds , Jerjuan Newton return for 26 yds to the TOL 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for 16 yds to the TOL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -1.95

Junior Vandeross III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 47 fumbled, recovered by OHIO Adonis Williams Jr. A. Williams Jr. return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 2 yds to the OHIO 49

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the TOL 49

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

Ohio Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Carson Heidecker) to the OHIO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.57

Anthony Tyus III run for 20 yds to the TOL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.42

Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 16 yds to the TOL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 9 yds to the TOL 12

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Parker Navarro run for 3 yds to the TOL 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the TOL 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the TOL 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Eamonn Dennis run for 1 yd to the TOL 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Parker Navarro 2 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tucker Gleason pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Tucker Gleason run for a loss of 3 yards to the TOL 22

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.14

Tucker Gleason sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the TOL 17 Tucker Gleason fumbled, recovered by TOL Tucker Gleason , return for 0 yards

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Emilio Duran punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Parker Navarro pass complete to Caleb Gossett for 7 yds to the OHIO 45

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.97

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 49

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the TOL 46

3rd & 6Rush+45 ydsPPA +4.18

Parker Navarro run for 45 yds to the TOL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the TOL 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Anthony Tyus III 1 Yd Run (Gianni Spetic Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Toledo Penalty, False Start (Eric Holley III) to the TOL 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

John Alan Richter run for 4 yds to the TOL 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

John Alan Richter pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.80

John Alan Richter pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 20 yds to the TOL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

John Alan Richter run for 2 yds to the TOL 46

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

Toledo Penalty, Personal Foul (Carter Fouty) to the TOL 31

3rd & 23Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

John Alan Richter pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 5 yds to the TOL 36

4th & 18Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-11 ydsPPA +0.29

run for a loss of 11 yards to the TOL 25 fumbled, recovered by TOL John Alan Richter J. Alan Richter return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the TOL 25

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Parker Navarro run for 14 yds to the TOL 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the TOL 10

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Anthony Tyus III run for a loss of 3 yards to the TOL 13

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the TOL 7

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Gianni Spetic 24 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

John Alan Richter pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 8 yds to the TOL 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

John Alan Richter pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.15

John Alan Richter pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 3 yds to the TOL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

John Alan Richter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

John Alan Richter pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 1 yd to the TOL 37

3rd & 9Sack-25 ydsPPA -0.69

John Alan Richter sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the TOL 30 John Alan Richter fumbled, recovered by OHIO Roman Parodie , return for 0 yards Toledo Penalty, Personal Foul (Allen Jones Jr.) to the TOL 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the TOL 26

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the TOL 24

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

Parker Navarro run for a loss of 2 yards to the TOL 26

4th & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA -2.72

Anthony Tyus III run for 5 yds to the TOL 21

Situational Analysis

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
29%
21 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play