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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ohio by 4.6

Home Win Probability

Central Michigan 40%

Market (Bovada)

Central Michigan +3

Edge: Ohio -3 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OhioOhio
3210327
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
0081725

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-100-170-248-2411-2417-2418-2725-27
Central MichiganOhio

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMCMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHICMOHIFG557ydPUNT37ydTO775ydPUNT619ydPUNT413ydPUNT45ydTD975ydPUNT6-9ydTD755ydPUNT38ydTD570ydEND3-7ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydTD867ydPUNT39ydFG956ydTD32ydPUNT32ydTO2-4ydTD315ydFG747ydTD1175ydEND624yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ohio and Central Michigan
StatisticOhioCentral Michigan
Passing13-2214-22
Pass Yards147131
Rush Yards283161
Total Yards430292
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-114-14
Penalties7-5915-133
Possession29:3130:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ohio
passing
Parker Navarro
13/22, 147 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Parker Navarro
14 CAR, 176 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chase Hendricks
2 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Central Michigan
passing
Tyler Jefferson
8/13, 95 YDS
rushing
Marion Lukes
20 CAR, 110 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Chris Parker
3 REC, 33 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.43

Parker Navarro run for 53 yds to the CMU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.71

Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for a loss of 3 yards to the CMU 25

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the CMU 21

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Ohio Delay Of Game (Navarro,Parker) 5 yards from CMU21 to CMU26. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Parker Navarro pass complete to Rodney Harris II for 8 yds to the CMU 18

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Gianni Spetic 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY CMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Sanchez III,Fernando) 15 yards from Ohio35 to Ohio50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Marion Lukes run for 7 yds to the CMU 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Joe Labas pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 18

4th & 3Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 9

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Anthony Tyus III run for 9 yds to the OHIO 18

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

(10:08) PENALTY Ohio False Start (Williams,Mason) 5 yards from Ohio18 to Ohio13. NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY CMU Offside (Odjugo,Pius) 5 yards from Ohio13 to Ohio18. NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the OHIO 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.07

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 19 yds to the OHIO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 18 yds to the CMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+28 ydsPPA -2.62

Anthony Tyus III run for 28 yds to the CMU 16 Anthony Tyus III fumbled, recovered by CMU Elijah Rikard

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Joe Labas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Joe Labas pass complete to Chris Parker for 9 yds to the CMU 25

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.57

B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Joe Labas pass complete to B.J. Harris for 3 yds to the CMU 29

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Joe Labas pass complete to Marion Lukes for 4 yds to the CMU 35

4th & 1Punt+2 yds

David Chapeau punt for 47 yds , Coleman Owen returns for 2 yds to the OHIO 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Parker Navarro pass complete to Mason Williams for 10 yds to the OHIO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 3 yds to the OHIO 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Joe Labas pass complete to Chris Parker for 12 yds to the OHIO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the OHIO 49

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

B.J. Harris run for no gain to the OHIO 49

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

(00:41) PENALTY CMU False Start (Heinzen,Davis) 5 yards from Ohio49 to CMU46. NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Joe Labas run for no gain to the CMU 46

4th & 17Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the OHIO 24

2nd & 11Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Parker Navarro sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the OHIO 23

3rd & 12Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.45

Parker Navarro run for 13 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Fernando Sanchez III) to the CMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Parker Navarro pass complete to Eian Pugh for 1 yd to the CMU 48

2nd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.80

Parker Navarro run for 18 yds to the CMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Parker Navarro run for 22 yds to the CMU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Parker Navarro run for 8 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception-11 ydsPPA -0.75

Joe Labas pass complete to Marion Lukes for 4 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Dominic Serapiglia III) to the CMU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 22

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Labas,Joe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CMU26 (Taylor,Shay) PENALTY CMU Holding (Heinzen,Davis) 10 yards from CMU22 to CMU12. NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Joe Labas pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Joe Labas pass complete to Myles Bailey for 4 yds to the CMU 16

4th & 14Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Anthony Tyus III run for 3 yds to the OHIO 42

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Anthony Tyus III run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.62

Parker Navarro run for 23 yds to the CMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the CMU 25

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 20 yds to the CMU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 5 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Jefferson run for 3 yds to the CMU 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 29

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyler Jefferson run for 4 yds to the CMU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +3.14

Parker Navarro pass complete to Chase Hendricks for 56 yds to the CMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Duncan Brune run for 2 yds to the CMU 12

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Duncan Brune run for 4 yds to the CMU 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Parker Navarro pass complete to Coleman Owen for 1 yd to the CMU 7

4th & 3Penalty+3 yds

(01:23) Spetic,Gianni field goal attempt from 24 yards NO GOOD blocked by Kwiatkowski,Jordan (H: Wilson,Jack, LS: Garfield,Colby), clock 01:07 recovered by CMU Jackson,Jaion at CMU06 Jackson,Jaion return 22 yards to the CMU28 (Shelby,Jarian; Weatherspoon,Davion), out of bounds PENALTY CMU Illegal Formation (Turner-Kinsler,Jaree) 3 yards from CMU07 to CMU04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Duncan Brune run for 4 yds for a TD (Gianni Spetic KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Marion Lukes run for 11 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,Tyler rush right for 5 yards gain to the CMU41 (Leake,Blake) PENALTY CMU Holding (Bailey,Vashon) 10 yards from CMU36 to CMU26. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 29

2nd & 17Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyler Jefferson sacked by Bradley Weaver for a loss of 11 yards to the CMU 18

0th & 17End of Half-11 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Gianni Spetic kickoff for 52 yds , Marion Lukes return for 18 yds to the CMU 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Anthony Tyus III run for 4 yds to the OHIO 21

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 33 , Donte Kent returns for 3 yds to the CMU 24 Central Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (Xavier White) to the CMU 33

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

B.J. Harris run for 12 yds to the CMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

B.J. Harris run for 5 yds to the OHIO 47

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CMU False Start (Bailey,Vashon) 5 yards from Ohio47 to CMU48. NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 49

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.36

Tyler Jefferson run for 10 yds to the OHIO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.50

Marion Lukes run for 14 yds to the OHIO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.54

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to DeCorion Temple for 20 yds to the OHIO 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the OHIO 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Marion Lukes 3 Yd Run (Tyler Jefferson Pass to Marion Lukes for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the OHIO 38

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 36

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

(06:54) PENALTY Ohio False Start (Hendricks,Chase) 5 yards from Ohio36 to Ohio31. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Parker Navarro run for 8 yds to the OHIO 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Donte Kent at the CMU 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Evan Boyd for 6 yds to the CMU 32

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Marion Lukes run for 8 yds to the OHIO 43

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CMU False Start (Bailey,Vashon) 5 yards from Ohio43 to Ohio48. NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.73

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Solomon Davis for 30 yds to the OHIO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the OHIO 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Marion Lukes for 6 yds to the OHIO 11

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Jefferson run for 1 yd to the OHIO 10

4th & 2Penalty-10 yds

(00:08) No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,Tyler rush left for 5 yards gain to the Ohio05 (Walker,DJ) PENALTY CMU Holding (Heinzen,Davis) 10 yards from Ohio10 to Ohio20. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Field Goal Good+37 yds

Tristan Mattson 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 57 yds , Duncan Brune return for 16 yds to the OHIO 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthony Tyus III run for 2 yds to the OHIO 22

2nd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.29

Parker Navarro pass complete to Max Rodarte for a loss of 2 yards to the OHIO 20

3rd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Parker Navarro pass complete to Anthony Tyus III for 11 yds to the OHIO 31

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

(12:40) Wilson,Jack punt 51 yards to the CMU18 Kent,Donte return 2 yards to the CMU20 (Fries,Jack) PENALTY Ohio Illegal Formation (McCormick,Nolan) 5 yards from Ohio31 to Ohio26. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Punt+70 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 44 yds , Donte Kent returns for 70 yds for a TD Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Nathan VanTimmeren) to the OHIO 0

4th & 8Punt+70 yds

Jack Wilson punt for 44 yds , Donte Kent returns for 70 yds Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Nathan VanTimmeren) to the CMU 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the CMU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.31

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Solomon Davis for 48 yds to the OHIO 25 for a 1ST down

4th & 8Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the OHIO 27

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Anthony Tyus III run for 15 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-19 ydsPPA -2.77

Parker Navarro sacked by Dakota Cochran for a loss of 19 yards to the OHIO 15 Parker Navarro fumbled, recovered by CMU Dakota Cochran , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Marion Lukes run for 9 yds to the OHIO 6

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.26

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the OHIO 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the OHIO 31

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Anthony Tyus III run for 11 yds to the OHIO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.62

Parker Navarro run for 24 yds to the CMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Tyus III run for no gain to the CMU 34

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Parker Navarro pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Parker Navarro run for 6 yds to the CMU 28

4th & 4Field Goal Good+46 yds

Gianni Spetic 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Chris Parker for 12 yds to the CMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Marion Lukes for 3 yds to the CMU 40

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler Jefferson run for no gain to the CMU 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Tyler Jefferson run for 9 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.00

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Marion Lukes for 14 yds to the OHIO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CMU False Start (Bailey,Vashon) 5 yards from Ohio37 to Ohio42. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OHIO 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 4 yds to the OHIO 33

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OHIO 28

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.87

Marion Lukes run for 28 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 32 yds , Anthony Tyus III return for no gain to the OHIO 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Anthony Tyus III run for 1 yd to the OHIO 32

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.26

Anthony Tyus III run for 13 yds to the OHIO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Parker Navarro run for 7 yds to the CMU 48

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Anthony Tyus III run for 11 yds to the CMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

P. Navarro takes a knee

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

P. Navarro takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Ohio

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
41%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
42%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play