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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Ball State by 2.9

Home Win Probability

Central Michigan 46%

Market (Bovada)

Central Michigan -6.5

Edge: Ball State +6.5 (9.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
10771034
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
02301437

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-107-1014-1023-2423-2730-2730-34
Central MichiganBall State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CMBSCMBSCMBSCMBSCMBSCMBSCMBSCMBSCMBSCMBSCMBSCMBSPUNT520ydFG1053ydDOWNS650ydTD763ydPUNT435ydDOWNS49ydTD362ydPUNT537ydTD380ydPUNT3-10ydTD641ydTD975ydFG360ydTD1175ydTO541ydPUNT1126ydPUNT3-4ydFG838ydTD975ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT32ydTD597ydTD575ydEND3-19yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and Central Michigan
StatisticBall StateCentral Michigan
Passing30-4015-21
Pass Yards285192
Rush Yards146335
Total Yards431527
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-153-9
Penalties5-553-35
Possession36:3923:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Kadin Semonza
30/40, 285 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Braedon Sloan
19 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tanner Koziol
9 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Central Michigan
passing
Joey Labas
14/20, 185 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
BJ Harris
8 CAR, 151 YDS
receiving
Chris Parker
5 REC, 79 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 59 yds , Mark-Allen Gay return for no gain to the CMU 6

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the CMU 11

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Joe Labas pass complete to Gavin Harris for 7 yds to the CMU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Joe Labas pass complete to Marion Lukes for 3 yds to the CMU 21

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 5 yds to the CMU 26

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Myles Bailey run for no gain to the CMU 26

4th & 2Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 7 yds to the BALL 40

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Vaughn Pemberton run for 4 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.50

Kiael Kelly run for 24 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(09:56) Shotgun Semonza,Kadin pass complete short right to Magwood,Qian caught at CMU37, for 1 yard loss to the CMU33 (Sanchez III,Fernando) PENALTY BSU Holding (Gillie,Malcolm) 10 yards from CMU32 to CMU42. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 3 yds to the CMU 39

2nd & 17Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.16

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 19 yds to the CMU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Malcolm Gillie run for 12 yds to the CMU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the CMU 14

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 yds

Carson Holmer 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 64 yds , Marion Lukes return for 12 yds to the CMU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Joe Labas pass complete to B.J. Harris for 3 yds to the CMU 16

2nd & 7Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.51

B.J. Harris run for 41 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the BALL 41

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nahree Biggins run for 2 yds to the BALL 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Joe Labas pass complete to Nahree Biggins for 6 yds to the BALL 37

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.93

Joe Labas pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.54

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 9 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.24

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 24 yds to the CMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.23

Braedon Sloan run for 16 yds to the CMU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Vaughn Pemberton run for 6 yds to the CMU 6

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 6 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 59 yds , Marion Lukes return for 9 yds to the CMU 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.06

Joe Labas pass complete to Evan Boyd for 27 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Joe Labas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Joe Labas pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Blocked Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt blocked by Sam Feeney blocked by Sam Feeney (13:34) Chapeau,David punt 0 yards to the CMU50 blocked by Feeney,Sam recovered by BSU Frazier,Dakari at CMU47, End Of Play.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 3 yds to the CMU 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the CMU 41

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Kadin Semonza run for 1 yd to the CMU 40

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -1.77

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 2 yds to the CMU 38

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

B.J. Harris run for 6 yds to the CMU 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.93

Joe Labas pass complete to Chris Parker for 36 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kiael Kelly run for 7 yds to the BALL 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 22 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the CMU 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the CMU 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Nahree Biggins run for 3 yds to the CMU 17

2nd & 13Rush+76 ydsPPA +4.94

Nahree Biggins run for 76 yds to the BALL 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Bert Emanuel Jr. pass complete to Chris Parker for 7 yds for a TD Ball State Penalty, Personal Foul (Joey Stemler) to the BALL 0 (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Kiael Kelly for a loss of 7 yards to the BALL 18

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Malcolm Gillie run for no gain to the BALL 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 2 yds to the BALL 20

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

(03:46) Cooey,Brian punt 50 yards to the CMU30 Kent,Donte return 0 yards to the CMU30, out of bounds at CMU30 PENALTY BSU Illegal Motion (Feeney,Sam) 5 yards from BSU20 to BSU15. NO PLAY.

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Joe Labas pass complete to Chris Parker for 6 yds to the BALL 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Joe Labas pass complete to Chris Parker for 10 yds to the BALL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.49

Marion Lukes run for 23 yds to the BALL 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for no gain to the BALL 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Marion Lukes run for no gain to the BALL 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 19 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.74

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the CMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 4 yds to the CMU 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.91

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 17 yds to the CMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+1 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the CMU 23

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.55

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 23 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+71 ydsPPA +4.39

B.J. Harris run for 71 yds to the BALL 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+11 yds

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 11 yds to the BALL 15

2nd & 15Field Goal Good+33 yds

Tristan Mattson 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 15End of Half-50 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the BALL 29

2nd & 6Penalty+10 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, Illegal Use Of Hands (Justin Whiteside) to the BALL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the BALL 46

2nd & 3Penalty+10 yds

(13:29) Shotgun Semonza,Kadin pass complete short right to Kelly,Kiael caught at BSU46, for 11 yards to the CMU43 (Turner-Kinsler,Jaree) PENALTY CMU Holding (Wiliams,Jason) 10 yards from BSU46 to CMU44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 7 yds to the CMU 37

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the CMU 36

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the CMU 35

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.63

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the CMU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kiael Kelly run for 6 yds to the CMU 25

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the CMU 22

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the CMU 22

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.46

Braedon Sloan run for 22 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Marion Lukes run for 27 yds to the BALL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Joe Labas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the BALL 43

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the BALL 39

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -2.15

Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the BALL 34 Marion Lukes fumbled, recovered by BALL Jordan Coleman

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.58

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 8 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Christian Davis run for 5 yds to the BALL 49

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braedon Sloan run for 4 yds to the CMU 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the CMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Christian Davis for 3 yds to the CMU 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Christian Davis run for 3 yds to the CMU 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.24

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 7 yds to the CMU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the CMU 35 Kiael Kelly fumbled, recovered by BALL Kiael Kelly

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 14Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.67

Kadin Semonza sacked by Dakota Cochran for a loss of 5 yards to the CMU 40

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

B.J. Harris run for 7 yds to the CMU 13

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.16

Joe Labas pass complete to Gavin Harris for 9 yds to the CMU 22

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.25

Joe Labas sacked by Brandon Berger for a loss of 6 yards to the CMU 16

4th & 14Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 45 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 39

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Braedon Sloan run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(12:07) Shotgun Semonza,Kadin pass incomplete deep left to Pickett,Cam thrown to CMU21 PENALTY BSU Chop Block (Davis,Christian) 15 yards from BSU50 to BSU35. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Kadin Semonza run for 5 yds to the BALL 40

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 6 yds to the BALL 46

3rd & 14Penalty+15 yds

(10:38) Shotgun Semonza,Kadin pass incomplete short left to Patel,Dahya thrown to CMU38, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CMU Pass Interference (Rikard,Elijah) 15 yards from BSU46 to CMU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 12 yds to the CMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the CMU 22

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Braedon Sloan run for 1 yd to the CMU 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+40 yds

Carson Holmer 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Joe Labas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Labas,Joe rush left for 0 yards to the CMU25 (Berger,Brandon), out of bounds PENALTY BSU Holding (Davis,Elijah) 10 yards from CMU25 to CMU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 38

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Marion Lukes run for 8 yds to the CMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Joe Labas pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.95

Joe Labas pass complete to Evan Boyd for 17 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Joe Labas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.10

B.J. Harris run for 19 yds to the BALL 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 16 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for no gain to the BALL 26

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.31

Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 38

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 4 yds to the CMU 42

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Bert Emanuel Jr. run for 1 yd to the CMU 41

4th & 8Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.42

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 14 yds to the BALL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 9 yds to the BALL 26

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.66

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 13 yds to the BALL 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.29

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 45 yds to the CMU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 16 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

B.J. Harris run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

B.J. Harris run for 6 yds to the CMU 44

2nd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Joe Labas pass complete to B.J. Harris for 2 yds to the CMU 46

3rd & 14Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.98

Joe Labas pass complete to Evan Boyd for 34 yds to the BALL 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Joe Labas pass complete to Chris Parker for 20 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for a loss of 19 yards to the BALL 6 lat. to for 2 yds to the BALL 6

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
61%
33 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
56%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play