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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 11.1

Home Win Probability

Ball State 22%

Market (Bovada)

Ball State +13

Edge: Ball State +13 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
7140627
Ball StateBall State
768021

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-710-1413-1413-2121-2121-2421-27
Ball StateMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(BSM(M(BSM(BSM(BSBSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(BSM(PUNT30ydTO518ydTD612ydTD575ydFG1275ydTD968ydFG871ydTD775ydTO636ydPUNT827ydPUNT419ydTD470ydPUNT38ydPUNT619ydFG1252ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT36ydFG924ydDOWNS633ydEND3-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Ball State
StatisticMiami (OH)Ball State
Passing16-3323-36
Pass Yards219280
Rush Yards11451
Total Yards333331
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-144-12
Penalties5-403-40
Possession32:5227:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
16/32, 219 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Keyon Mozee
22 CAR, 105 YDS
receiving
Reginald Virgil
5 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Matthew Salopek
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Ball State
passing
Kadin Semonza
23/36, 280 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Vaughn Pemberton
5 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
Justin Bowick
8 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 5 yds to the M-OH 30

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Tracy,Javon) 5 yards from MIA30 to MIA25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.04

Cam Pickett run for 12 yds to the BALL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kiael Kelly run for no gain to the BALL 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for 6 yds to the BALL 49

3rd & 4Interception0 ydsPPA -1.68

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the BALL 46

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the BALL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kam Perry for 9 yds to the BALL 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the BALL 37

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA Delay Of Game 5 yards from BSU37 to BSU42. NO PLAY.

4th & 8Interception Return Touchdown+46 ydsPPA -8.00

Brandon Berger 46 Yd Interception Return (Jackson Courville Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.91

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 41 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BALL 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +4.37

Reggie Virgil 34 Yd pass from Brett Gabbert (Dom Dzioban Kick) (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 64 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 14 yds to the BALL 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the BALL 22

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.12

Vaughn Pemberton run for 15 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Vaughn Pemberton for 6 yds to the BALL 43

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Tj Horton run for 10 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the M-OH 37

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Kiael Kelly run for 5 yds to the M-OH 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.45

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 23 yds to the M-OH 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for no gain to the M-OH 9

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the M-OH 8

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kadin Semonza sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 2 yards to the M-OH 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jackson Courville 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 47 yds , Dylan Downing return for 14 yds to the M-OH 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the M-OH 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.76

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 5 yds to the M-OH 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.59

Keyon Mozee run for 25 yds to the BALL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 9 yds to the BALL 23

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.42

Keyon Mozee run for 6 yds to the BALL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the BALL 12

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.88

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 12 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 5 yds to the BALL 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tj Horton run for 4 yds to the BALL 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 12 yds to the BALL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.07

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 57 yds to the M-OH 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the M-OH 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Christian Abney for 3 yds to the M-OH 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Jackson Courville 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(04:33) Shotgun Gabbert,Brett pass incomplete short left to Tracy,Javon thrown to MIA40 PENALTY BSU Pass Interference (Baldwin,Thailand) 15 yards from MIA25 to MIA40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.06

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 12 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.84

Brett Gabbert sacked by Scott Hudson for a loss of 9 yards to the M-OH 44

2nd & 19Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.34

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 16 yds to the BALL 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.60

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 30 yds to the BALL 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the BALL 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 10 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 10 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 11 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 10 yds to the M-OH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Christian Abney for 5 yds to the M-OH 39

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.68

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted Corban Hondru return for no gain to the M-OH 38

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds , Malcolm Gillie return for 23 yds to the BALL 42 Ball State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the BALL 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Vaughn Pemberton run for 1 yd to the BALL 14

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Cam Pickett run for 3 yds to the BALL 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.05

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 8 yds to the BALL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BALL 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 8 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Vaughn Pemberton run for 5 yds to the BALL 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kevin Davis at the M-OH 20

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.43

Brett Gabbert run for 18 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the M-OH 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 15 yds to the BALL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +6.35

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 55 yds for a TD (C. Pickett Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 63 yds , Kevin Davis return for 23 yds to the M-OH 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the M-OH 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the BALL 17

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kiael Kelly run for 4 yds to the BALL 21

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the BALL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 4 yds to the BALL 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 4 yds to the BALL 35

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.12

Vaughn Pemberton run for 2 yds to the BALL 33

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 50 yds for a 1ST down , Kevin Davis returns for 5 yds to the M-OH 22 for a 1ST down

4th & 4Punt+6 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 50 yds for a 1ST down , Kevin Davis returns for 6 yds to the M-OH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the M-OH 38

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the M-OH 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.14

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.98

Keyon Mozee run for 15 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the BALL 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.92

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 17 yds to the BALL 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 12 yds to the BALL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.64

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the BALL 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Dom Dzioban 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the BALL 26

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.31

Kadin Semonza sacked by Corey Suttle for a loss of 10 yards to the BALL 16

4th & 19Punt+1 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds , Kevin Davis returns for 1 yd to the M-OH 40

4th & 19Punt+1 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds , Kevin Davis returns for 1 yd to the M-OH 40

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(09:39) Shotgun Mozee,Keyon rush left for 25 yards gain to the BSU35 (Newson,Keionte; Udo,George) PENALTY MIA Holding (Young,John) 10 yards from MIA40 to MIA30. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the M-OH 38

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 54 yds , Qian Magwood returns for no gain to the BALL 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 5 yds to the BALL 11

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 1 yd to the BALL 12

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BALL 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the BALL 45

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the BALL 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.43

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 5 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Keyon Mozee run for 9 yds to the BALL 26

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the BALL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the BALL 21

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+39 yds

Dom Dzioban 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Justin Bowick for 12 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.11

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 14 yds to the M-OH 49 for a 1ST down Miami (OH) Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Eli Blakey) to the M-OH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Kadin Semonza run for 1 yd to the M-OH 35

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.06

Kadin Semonza sacked by Matt Salopek for a loss of 7 yards to the M-OH 42

4th & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

(00:53) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at MIA41 for loss of 1 yard.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

(00:51) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at MIA40 for loss of 1 yard.

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA Illegal Formation 5 yards from MIA40 to MIA35. NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.18

(00:11) Kneel down by Miami (OH) at MIA34 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
26%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
71%
14 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
42%
12 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play