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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami (OH) by 20.5

Home Win Probability

Miami (OH) 88%

Market (Bovada)

Miami (OH) -10.5

Edge: Miami (OH) -10.5 (10.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
70007
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
313102046

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-713-719-726-729-736-746-7
Miami (OH)Central Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(CMM(CMM(CMM(CMM(CMCMM(CMM(CMM(CMM(CMM(CMM(CMFG865ydTD1575ydTD575ydPUNT42ydFG1246ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-3ydMISS518ydFG1067ydEND12ydPUNT3-9ydFG715ydPUNT39ydTD363ydPUNT76ydFG825ydPUNT30ydTD370ydPUNT610ydTD379ydTO211ydFG86ydEND28yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Central Michigan and Miami (OH)
StatisticCentral MichiganMiami (OH)
Passing7-1715-24
Pass Yards62241
Rush Yards106277
Total Yards168518
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-133-11
Penalties6-617-45
Possession26:4933:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Central Michigan
passing
Tyler Jefferson
7/17, 62 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Jefferson
8 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Evan Boyd
2 REC, 21 YDS
defense
Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
10/12, 165 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Keyon Mozee
15 CAR, 120 YDS
receiving
Javon Tracy
5 REC, 118 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 61 yds , Kevin Davis return for 18 yds to the M-OH 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 8 yds to the M-OH 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.74

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 22 yds to the CMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the CMU 46

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Borders,Kolby) 5 yards from CMU46 to MIA49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.93

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 41 yds to the CMU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dylan Downing run for no gain to the CMU 10

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

(10:53) Shotgun Gabbert,Brett pass complete short left to McDonald,Cade caught at CMU05, for 10 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 10:50 PENALTY MIA Pass Interference (Tracy,Javon) 15 yards from CMU10 to CMU25. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Reggie Virgil

3rd & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 12 yds to the CMU 13

4th & 13Field Goal Good+31 yds

Dom Dzioban 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Marion Lukes run for 15 yds to the CMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Chris Parker for 9 yds to the CMU 49

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.40

Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyler Jefferson run for 17 yds to the M-OH 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the M-OH 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Evan Boyd for 7 yds to the M-OH 24

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Jefferson run for no gain to the M-OH 24

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.97

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the M-OH 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the M-OH 18

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler Jefferson run for 9 yds to the M-OH 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty+8 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the M-OH 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush+1 yds

Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the M-OH 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Chris Parker

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Myles Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Brett Gabbert sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 4 yards to the M-OH 21

2nd & 14Rush+72 ydsPPA +4.90

Keyon Mozee run for 72 yds to the CMU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the CMU 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Javon Tracy

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Henry Hesson pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 9 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 65 yds , Marion Lukes return for 13 yds to the CMU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Evan Boyd for 14 yds to the CMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the CMU 22

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMU 24

3rd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Jefferson sacked by Adam Trick for a loss of 9 yards to the CMU 15

4th & 22Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the CMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Keyon Mozee

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Cade McDonald run for 7 yds to the CMU 25

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the CMU 23

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.88

Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the CMU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.13

Henry Hesson pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 12 yds to the CMU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kevin Davis run for no gain to the CMU 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

(08:00) Shotgun Hesson,Henry pass incomplete short left to Tracy,Javon thrown to CMU00 PENALTY CMU Roughing The Passer (Davis,Jaden) 5 yards from CMU10 to CMU05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the CMU 2

2nd & 2Rush+2 yds

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the CMU 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Kevin Davis

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Dom Dzioban 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 31

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Marion Lukes run for no gain to the CMU 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 60 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the M-OH 6

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Javon Tracy

4th & 13Punt+6 yds

Alec Bevelhimer punt for 46 yds , Donte Kent returns for 6 yds to the M-OH 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Solomon Davis for 12 yds to the M-OH 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Tommy McIntosh

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

B.J. Harris run for 3 yds to the M-OH 37

3rd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Tyler Jefferson run for 9 yds to the M-OH 28

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Tristan Mattson 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Keyon Mozee run for 13 yds to the M-OH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA False Start (Daniel,Preston) 5 yards from MIA41 to MIA36. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the M-OH 38

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.73

Henry Hesson pass complete to Cade McDonald for 15 yds to the CMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Henry Hesson sacked by Jaden Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the M-OH 48

2nd & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.87

Henry Hesson pass complete to Kam Perry for 19 yds to the CMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Henry Hesson run for 7 yds to the CMU 26

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Henry Hesson pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

3rd & 3Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.29

Henry Hesson pass complete to Javon Tracy for 21 yds to the CMU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Henry Hesson pass incomplete

2nd & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Dom Dzioban 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 27

0th & 10End of Half+2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Marion Lukes run for 7 yds to the CMU 20

3rd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 6 yds to the CMU 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the CMU 39

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.78

Keyon Mozee run for 5 yds to the CMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Brett Gabbert sacked by Michael Heldman for a loss of 4 yards to the CMU 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kam Perry for 5 yds to the CMU 33

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete to Cade McDonald

4th & 9Field Goal Good+51 yds

Dom Dzioban 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 60 yds , Marion Lukes return for 17 yds to the CMU 48 Central Michigan Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (17 Yards) to the CMU 11

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Jesse Prewitt III

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Myles Bailey run for 3 yds to the CMU 14

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Jefferson run for 6 yds to the CMU 20

4th & 1Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cade McDonald at the M-OH 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Reggie Virgil for 7 yds to the M-OH 44

2nd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.33

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Cade McDonald for 20 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Javon Tracy for 36 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

B.J. Harris run for 17 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Tommy McIntosh

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

B.J. Harris run for 7 yds to the CMU 49

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

B.J. Harris run for 3 yds to the M-OH 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Jefferson,Tyler pass incomplete short left to McIntosh,Tommy thrown to MIA37 QB hurried by Ugwu,Brian PENALTY CMU Holding (Koivisto,Martin) 10 yards from MIA48 to CMU42. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the CMU 46

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CMU False Start (Koivisto,Martin) 5 yards from CMU46 to CMU41. NO PLAY.

2nd & 21Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 40

3rd & 22Penalty-15 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the CMU 31

4th & 31Punt+20 yds

David Chapeau punt for 40 yds , Cade McDonald returns for 20 yds to the M-OH 49

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the CMU 43

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the CMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the CMU 33

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the CMU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

Miami (OH) Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Brett Gabbert) to the CMU 36

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the CMU 34

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Kevin Davis for 8 yds to the CMU 26

4th & 7Field Goal Good+44 yds

Dom Dzioban 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 55 yds , Marion Lukes return for 20 yds to the CMU 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Solomon Davis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Tommy McIntosh

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Chris Parker

4th & 10Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the M-OH 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Kevin Davis run for 8 yds to the M-OH 38

2nd & 2Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.48

Kevin Davis run for 60 yds to the CMU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Kevin Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Dom Dzioban KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 62 yds , Marion Lukes return for 19 yds to the CMU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 4 yds to the CMU 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Tommy McIntosh for 5 yds to the CMU 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Tyler Jefferson sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the CMU 32

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete to Solomon Davis

3rd & 11Penalty0 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nahree Biggins) declined

4th & 11Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Jordan Brunson run for 1 yd to the M-OH 22

2nd & 9Rush+75 ydsPPA +5.36

Jordan Brunson run for 75 yds to the CMU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY MIA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from MIA35 to MIA20. NO PLAY.

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan Brunson run for 3 yds for a TD (Kellan McLaughlin KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Kellan McLaughlin kickoff for 63 yds , Marion Lukes return for 4 yds to the CMU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Chris Parker for 11 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+10 ydsPPA -1.48

Tyler Jefferson pass intercepted Christian Schomer return for 10 yds to the CMU 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Ringer run for 2 yds to the CMU 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Nate Milanowski run for no gain to the CMU 27

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Josh Ringer run for no gain to the CMU 27

4th & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.99

Nate Milanowski run for 8 yds to the CMU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Nate Milanowski run for 2 yds to the CMU 21

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Josh Ringer run for 1 yd to the CMU 20

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

D'Shawntae Jones run for 2 yds to the CMU 18

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MIA Delay Of Game 5 yards from CMU18 to CMU23. NO PLAY.

4th & 14Field Goal Good+41 yds

Kellan McLaughlin 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

B.J. Harris run for 7 yds to the CMU 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 33

Situational Analysis

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
45%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play