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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas State by 15.2

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 83%

Market (Bovada)

Arkansas State -3

Edge: Arkansas State -3 (12.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UL MonroeUL Monroe
707721
Arkansas StateArkansas State
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-714-1421-1421-2128-21
Arkansas StateUL Monroe

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASUMASTD575ydTD1474ydDOWNS949ydPUNT35ydPUNT612ydTD953ydTO1271ydPUNT549ydEND533ydPUNT413ydTD265ydPUNT622ydPUNT37ydTD1469ydTD1070ydTD361ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-3ydTO510ydEND419yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UL Monroe and Arkansas State
StatisticUL MonroeArkansas State
Passing11-2218-26
Pass Yards137170
Rush Yards256188
Total Yards393358
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-114-12
Penalties8-707-80
Possession31:1928:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UL Monroe
passing
Aidan Armenta
11/22, 137 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ahmad Hardy
30 CAR, 204 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jacob Godfrey
5 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Travor Randle
1 TFL, 1 PD
Arkansas State
passing
Jaylen Raynor
18/26, 170 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Zak Wallace
18 CAR, 130 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Courtney Jackson
6 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the ULM 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 33

3rd & 2Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.32

Aidan Armenta run for 32 yds to the ARST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Ahmad Hardy run for 9 yds to the ARST 26

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.22

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 26 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Max Larson kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Hornsby return for 26 yds to the ARST 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the ARST 28

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the ARST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 11 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Jaylen Raynor run for 10 yds to the ULM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 7 yds to the ULM 25

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the ULM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Manny Stevenson Jr. for 3 yds to the ULM 18

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Ja'Quez Cross run for 1 yd to the ULM 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 5 yds to the ULM 12

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.51

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the ULM 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Zak Wallace run for 8 yds to the ULM 3

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Zak Wallace run for 1 yd to the ULM 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.46

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the ULM 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the ULM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Artis Cole for 17 yds to the ARST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Illegal Snap on MILLER, Carter enforced (-5 Yards) to the ARST 49

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.55

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 16 yds to the ARST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the ARST 32

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ARST 30

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Aidan Armenta run for 4 yds to the ARST 26

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.06

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zak Wallace run for 5 yds to the ARST 31

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, False Start (Corey Rucker) to the ARST 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the ARST 31

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the ULM 12

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 14

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Aidan Armenta run for 8 yds to the ULM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 20

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the ULM 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Devin Spencer run for 6 yds to the ULM 47

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Devin Spencer run for 6 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for no gain to the ULM 41

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Jaylen Raynor run for 9 yds to the ULM 32

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.38

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the ULM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

RAYNOR, Jaylen pass to the right incomplete intended for EALY, Reagan thrown to the ULM20; QB hurried by PULLEN, Billy. PENALTY ASU Holding on SMITH, Noah enforced 10 yards from the ULM30 to the ULM40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Jaylen Raynor run for 8 yds to the ULM 32

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.53

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 32 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Ahmad Hardy for 2 yds to the ULM 27

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Ahmad Hardy run for 11 yds to the ULM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Carter Miller) to the ULM 33

3rd & 15Penalty+25 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Dontay Joyner) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Davon Wells for 6 yds to the ARST 46

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.74

Ahmad Hardy run for 13 yds to the ARST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 5 yds to the ARST 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Aidan Armenta run for 10 yds to the ARST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+14 ydsPPA -4.41

Ahmad Hardy run for 14 yds to the ARST 4 Ahmad Hardy fumbled, recovered by ARST Trevian Thomas T. Thomas return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the ARST 8

2nd & 6Rush+57 ydsPPA +4.00

Zak Wallace run for 57 yds to the ULM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Personal Foul (Elijah Zollicoffer) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 25Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Devin Spencer for 1 yd to the ULM 49

3rd & 24Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaylen Raynor run for 2 yds to the ULM 47

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 12

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARMENTA, Aidan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for COLE, Artis thrown to the ASU48. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on MAHONEY, Jordan enforced 15 yards to the ULM27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.04

Ahmad Hardy run for 14 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Aidan Armenta run for 6 yds to the ULM 47

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.17

Aidan Armenta sacked by Bryan Whitehead for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 45

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Max Larson kickoff for 56 yds , Malik Hornsby return for 29 yds to the ARST 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 11 yds to the ARST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.72

Jaylen Raynor run for a loss of 6 yards to the ARST 24

3rd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 8 yds to the ARST 32

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Aidan Armenta sacked by Charles Willekes for a loss of 7 yards to the ULM 28

2nd & 17Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +7.03

Ahmad Hardy run for 72 yds for a TD (Max Larson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Max Larson kickoff for 65 yds , Malik Hornsby return for 21 yds to the ARST 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Devin Spencer run for 3 yds to the ARST 24

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Jaylen Raynor run for 8 yds to the ARST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Manny Stevenson Jr. for 11 yds to the ARST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for no gain to the ARST 43

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jaylen Raynor run for no gain to the ARST 43

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+24 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 47 yds , Davon Wells returns for 24 yds to the ULM 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 3 yds to the ULM 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Ahmad Hardy for 2 yds to the ULM 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 28 yds, downed at the ARST 31

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Zak Wallace run for 13 yds to the ARST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 9 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Zak Wallace run for 7 yds to the ULM 34

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaylen Raynor run for 3 yds to the ULM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Devin Spencer run for 7 yds to the ULM 24

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.12

Devin Spencer run for 5 yds to the ULM 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the ULM 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 5 yds to the ULM 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the ULM 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Zak Wallace run for no gain to the ULM 8

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaylen Raynor sacked by Billy Pullen for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 12

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.23

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Hunter Summers for 12 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 8 yds to the ULM 38

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Ahmad Hardy run for 4 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.01

Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 37

2nd & 15Penalty+10 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tim Hardiman) to the ARST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ARST 47

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Ahmad Hardy run for 11 yds to the ARST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the ARST 29

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Ahmad Hardy run for 6 yds to the ARST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Que McBroom) to the ARST 28

1st & 15Penalty-10 yds

(10:11) QB Keeper ARMENTA, Aidan rush up the middle for a gain of 28 yards to the ASU0, TOUCHDOWN ULM, score nullified by penalty, clock 10:04 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY ULM Holding on MILLER, Carter enforced 10 yards from the ASU28 to the ASU38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.66

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 37 yds to the ARST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Larson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Max Larson kickoff for 54 yds , Malik Hornsby return for 28 yds to the ARST 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Zak Wallace run for 3 yds to the ARST 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Zak Wallace for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 41

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(08:11) RAYNOR, Jaylen pass to the left incomplete intended for JACKSON, Courtney thrown to the ASU48, clock 08:04. PENALTY ULM Roughing the Passer on WELLS, Kevontay enforced 15 yards from the ASU41 to the ULM44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 44 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Clayton Amaya kickoff for 70 yds , Jake Godfrey return for 11 yds to the ULM 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the ULM 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 36 yds, downed at the ARST 42

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.47

Jaylen Raynor sacked by Carl Glass Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the ARST 32

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Manny Stevenson Jr. for 6 yds to the ARST 38

3rd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaylen Raynor run for 1 yd to the ARST 39

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the ULM 21

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Ahmad Hardy run for 3 yds to the ULM 24

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the ULM 25

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.04

Aidan Armenta run for 1 yd to the ULM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.99

Aidan Armenta pass intercepted Trevian Thomas return for no gain to the ARST 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zak Wallace run for 5 yds to the ARST 35

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jaylen Raynor run for 1 yd to the ARST 36

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.51

Zak Wallace run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

(00:32) [SG] Kneel down by RAYNOR, Jaylen at ASU49 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
3 plays