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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Marshall by 17.4

Home Win Probability

Southern Miss 14%

Market (Bovada)

Southern Miss +13.5

Edge: Marshall -13.5 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MarshallMarshall
31417337
Southern MissSouthern Miss
03003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-103-173-243-343-37
Southern MissMarshall

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMMARSMMARSMMARSMMARSMMARSMMARSMMARSMMARSMMARSMMARSMMARSMMARSMMARSMPUNT39ydFG576ydDOWNS728ydMISS938ydTO10ydDOWNS47ydPUNT33ydTD748ydFG841ydTD775ydPUNT35ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-29ydTO10ydDOWNS5-1ydTD473ydPUNT3-8ydTD441ydTO31ydFG1441ydTO112ydMISS712ydPUNT55ydFG963ydTO1049ydTO314ydEND414yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Marshall and Southern Miss
StatisticMarshallSouthern Miss
Passing16-255-18
Pass Yards25970
Rush Yards267113
Total Yards526183
Turnovers24
3rd Down6-161-14
Penalties5-4010-79
Possession33:2526:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Marshall
passing
Braylon Braxton
14/21, 220 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ethan Payne
13 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
defense
Ian Foster
2 TFL, 2 PD
Southern Miss
passing
Ethan Crawford
5/18, 70 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Rodrigues Clark
8 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Tiaquelin Mims
1 REC, 35 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the USM 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the USM 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

punt for 47 yds

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

Marshall Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the USM 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+69 ydsPPA +3.91

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 69 yds to the USM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the USM 5

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Braylon Braxton pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Braylon Braxton pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+23 yds

Nathan Totten 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kenyon Clay run for 1 yd to the USM 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Ethan Crawford pass complete to Larry Simmons for 7 yds to the USM 33

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.20

Kenyon Clay run for 14 yds to the USM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kenyon Clay run for 5 yds to the MRSH 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the MRSH 47

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Ethan Payne run for a loss of 5 yards to the MRSH 42

2nd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Ethan Payne run for 10 yds to the USM 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.30

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 16 yds to the USM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ethan Payne run for 4 yds to the USM 28

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.40

Ethan Payne run for 16 yds to the USM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Marshall Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USM 17

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the USM 14

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Braylon Braxton run for 4 yds to the USM 10

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.09

Braylon Braxton sacked by Brodarius Lewis for a loss of 5 yards to the USM 15

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Nathan Totten 32 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA -0.61

Ethan Crawford pass intercepted Landyn Watson return for 12 yds to the USM 9

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ethan Payne run for no gain to the USM 9

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the USM 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the USM 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Braylon Braxton pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Ethan Crawford run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 1

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ethan Crawford pass complete to Chandler Pittman for 4 yds to the USM 5

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 43 yds, downed at the USM 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the USM 47

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

(01:49) TURNER, A.J. rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the USM37 (MCNEAL, Ques), out of bounds, clock 01:43. PENALTY MU Holding on CHESTER, Carl enforced 10 yards from the USM47 to the MU43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 8 yds to the USM 49

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

(01:04) BRAXTON, Braylon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for FITZPATRICK, Christian thrown to the USM20, clock 00:59. PENALTY USM Offsides on JOHNSON, Ryan enforced 5 yards from the USM49 to the USM44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Chuck Montgomery for 14 yds to the USM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Houston run for 2 yds to the USM 28

2nd & 8Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.91

A.J. Turner run for 21 yds to the USM 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

A.J. Turner run for 5 yds to the USM 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Braylon Braxton run for 2 yds for a TD (Nathan Totten KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, False Start (Larry Simmons) to the USM 20

1st & 15Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Ethan Crawford pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 19

2nd & 16Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.33

Rodrigues Clark run for 20 yds to the USM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(12:51) CLARK, Rodrigues rush to the right for a gain of 5 yards to the USM44 (GREEN-MCKNIGHT, Jadarius), clock 12:45. PENALTY USM Holding on WELCH, Tanner enforced 10 yards from the USM39 to the USM29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +4.09

Ethan Crawford pass complete to Tiaquelin Mims for 35 yds to the MRSH 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Ethan Crawford sacked by Chris Thomas Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the MRSH 39

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the MRSH 38

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MRSH 43

3rd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Rodrigues Clark run for 9 yds to the MRSH 34

4th & 8Field Goal Good+51 yds

Connor Gibbs 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Braylon Braxton run for a loss of 6 yards to the MRSH 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Braylon Braxton pass complete to A.J. Turner for 5 yds to the MRSH 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.32

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Bralon Brown for 15 yds to the MRSH 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the MRSH 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Tychaun Chapman for 7 yds to the MRSH 47

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.18

Braylon Braxton run for 17 yds to the USM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Ethan Payne run for 36 yds for a TD (Nathan Totten KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ethan Crawford run for 9 yds to the USM 34

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.91

Kenyon Clay run for a loss of 4 yards to the USM 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 54 yds , Jacobie Henderson returns for no gain to the MRSH 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Houston run for 4 yds to the MRSH 20

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Braylon Braxton run for 1 yd to the MRSH 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 3 yds to the MRSH 24

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Alec Clark punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tiaquelin Mims at the USM 34

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(03:41) CRAWFORD, Ethan pass to the right complete for 0 yards to JESIOLOWSKI, Reed caught at the USM34 and advanced to the USM34 (ROBERTS, J.J.), clock 03:37. PENALTY USM Pass Interference on MIMS, Tiaquelin enforced 15 yards to the USM19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Jalen Washington run for 1 yd to the USM 20

2nd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

3rd & 24Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.04

Ethan Crawford sacked by Mike Green for a loss of 11 yards to the USM 9

4th & 35Penalty-4 yds

Southern Miss Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the USM 5

4th & 39Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 40 yds, downed at the USM 45

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -3.52

Braylon Braxton pass intercepted Braxton Myers return for 6 yds to the USM 45

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Rodrigues Clark run for 14 yds to the MRSH 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.78

Ethan Crawford sacked by Mike Green for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 19Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.12

Larry Simmons run for a loss of 6 yards to the USM 44

3rd & 25Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Ethan Crawford run for 10 yds to the MRSH 46

4th & 15Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.22

Ethan Crawford sacked by Mike Green for a loss of 10 yards to the USM 44

0th & 15End of Half+12 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Luke Stewart kickoff for 65 yds , Ian Foster return for 27 yds to the MRSH 27

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Braylon Braxton run for 11 yds to the MRSH 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Braylon Braxton run for 6 yds to the MRSH 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +2.00

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Carl Chester for 42 yds to the USM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Tychaun Chapman run for 14 yds for a TD (Nathan Totten KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(13:25) CLAY, Kenyon rush to the left for a gain of 28 yards to the MU47, out of bounds, clock 13:17. PENALTY Before the snap, USM Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the USM25 to the USM20. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.20

Ethan Crawford sacked by Jadarius Green-McKnight for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 17

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 39 yds , Chuck Montgomery returns for no gain to the USM 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jordan Houston run for 1 yd to the USM 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Braylon Braxton pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.34

Braylon Braxton run for 22 yds to the USM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Toby Payne for 18 yds for a TD (Nathan Totten KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jalen Washington run for no gain to the USM 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ethan Crawford run for 1 yd to the USM 26

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA +0.07

Ethan Crawford pass intercepted Braydin Ward return for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the USM 49

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jordan Houston run for 7 yds to the USM 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Braylon Braxton run for 1 yd to the USM 41

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.95

Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the USM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds to the USM 35

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.52

Braylon Braxton run for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 38

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the USM 32

4th & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.92

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 9 yds to the USM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Ethan Payne for a loss of 3 yards to the USM 26

2nd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.89

Ethan Payne run for 15 yds to the USM 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Braylon Braxton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

Marshall Penalty, Illegal Shift (Yards) declined

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ethan Payne run for 5 yds to the USM 9

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Nathan Totten 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -0.92

Rodrigues Clark run for 12 yds to the USM 37 Rodrigues Clark fumbled, recovered by MRSH Jaden Yates J. Yates return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jordan Houston run for no gain to the USM 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Bryan Robinson for 13 yds to the USM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Braylon Braxton run for 12 yds to the USM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(01:43) HOUSTON, Jordan rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the USM6 (MCNEAL, Ques;MOORE, Khalid), clock 01:37. PENALTY Before the snap, MU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the USM12 to the USM17. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Penalty-15 yds

(01:26) BRAXTON, Braylon pass deep to the left complete for 17 yards to BROWN, Bralon caught at the USM0 and advanced to the USM0; QB hurried by JOHNSON, Ryan, TOUCHDOWN MU, score nullified by penalty, clock 01:21 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MU Pass Interference on BROWN, Bralon enforced 15 yards to the USM32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 30Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braylon Braxton pass complete to Jordan Houston for 4 yds Jordan Houston fumbled, recovered by MRSH Bralon Brown B. Brown return for 0 yds

2nd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Braylon Braxton pass incomplete

3rd & 26Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the USM 25

4th & 23Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Nathan Totten 43 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kenyon Clay run for 2 yds to the USM 27

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Kenyon Clay run for 13 yds to the USM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(13:46) CLAY, Kenyon rush to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the MU49, out of bounds, clock 13:43. PENALTY Before the snap, USM Illegal Motion on HEATH, Kyirin enforced 5 yards from the USM40 to the USM35. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.08

Ethan Crawford run for a loss of 4 yards to the USM 31

2nd & 19Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the USM 30

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Ethan Crawford pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Bryce Lofton punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chuck Montgomery at the MRSH 29

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Ethan Payne run for 15 yds to the MRSH 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Stone Earle pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Moses Gray run for 3 yds to the MRSH 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Stone Earle pass complete to Bryan Robinson for 20 yds to the USM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.35

Stone Earle pass complete to Bryan Robinson for 19 yds to the USM 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Moses Gray run for no gain to the USM 14

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Moses Gray run for 6 yds to the USM 8

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Stone Earle pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 yds

Nathan Totten 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

JQ Gray run for 6 yds to the USM 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

JQ Gray run for no gain to the USM 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

JQ Gray run for 3 yds to the USM 34

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.95

JQ Gray run for 5 yds to the USM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jalen Washington run for 7 yds to the USM 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.36

Ethan Crawford pass complete to Ray Daly Jr. for 25 yds to the MRSH 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jalen Washington run for 6 yds to the MRSH 23

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(04:41) WASHINGTON, Jalen rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the MU14 (MCGHEE, AG), clock 04:35. PENALTY USM Holding on JESIOLOWSKI, Reed enforced 10 yards from the MU23 to the MU33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Jalen Washington run for 10 yds to the MRSH 23

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

JQ Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRSH 26

4th & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.61

Ethan Crawford pass intercepted, touchback. TaShawn Jeter return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Moses Gray run for 3 yds to the MRSH 23

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Cole Pennington run for 6 yds to the MRSH 29

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -0.61

Moses Gray run for 5 yds to the MRSH 34 fumbled, recovered by USM Joseph Harper J. Harper return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jalen Washington run for 5 yds to the MRSH 29

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Washington run for 2 yds to the MRSH 27

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.21

Jalen Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRSH 29

4th & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Jalen Washington run for 9 yds to the MRSH 20 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Marshall

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
70%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
17 plays
0%
4 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play