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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas State by 3.5

Home Win Probability

UL Monroe 36%

Market (Bovada)

UL Monroe +9.5

Edge: UL Monroe +9.5 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
141401038
UL MonroeUL Monroe
0014317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-210-287-2814-2814-3117-38
UL MonroeTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSUMTSUMTSUMTSUMTSUMTSUMTSUMUMTSUMTSUMTSUMTSUMTSUMPUNT510ydPUNT35ydTD976ydPUNT30ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydTD141ydDOWNS48ydTD633ydTO537ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT613ydTD1483ydEND14ydTD1375ydPUNT4-5ydTD963ydPUNT421ydPUNT33ydPUNT417ydTO10ydFG618ydFG862ydTD1075ydEND633yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and UL Monroe
StatisticTexas StateUL Monroe
Passing8-1413-24
Pass Yards72119
Rush Yards326159
Total Yards398278
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-113-12
Penalties5-552-5
Possession31:0128:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Jordan McCloud
4/5, 56 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brad Jackson
17 CAR, 126 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kole Wilson
3 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
defense
UL Monroe
passing
Aidan Armenta
13/24, 119 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ahmad Hardy
20 CAR, 105 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Davon Wells
3 REC, 37 YDS
defense
Travor Randle
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Max Larson kickoff for 58 yds , Ismail Mahdi return for 18 yds to the TXST 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the TXST 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the TXST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the TXST 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for no gain to the TXST 35

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lars Rau punt for 32 yds, downed at the ULM 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the ULM 38

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the ULM 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joey Hobert at the TXST 24

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the TXST 22

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for 9 yds to the TXST 31

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

Brad Jackson run for 4 yds to the TXST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Torrance Burgess Jr. run for no gain to the TXST 35

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.91

Ismail Mahdi run for 10 yds to the TXST 45 Texas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TXST 30

2nd & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.79

Ismail Mahdi run for 17 yds to the TXST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.04

Deion Hankins run for 47 yds to the ULM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Deion Hankins run for 3 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 27

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.48

run for no gain to the ULM 27 Aidan Armenta fumbled, recovered by ULM return for 0 yds

3rd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.28

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Julian Nixon for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joey Hobert at the TXST 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brad Jackson run for 4 yds to the TXST 41

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the TXST 43

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Brad Jackson run for 1 yd to the TXST 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Lars Rau punt for 55 yds, downed at the ULM 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

James Jones run for no gain to the ULM 1

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the ULM 1

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the ULM 1

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the ULM 1

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Joey Hobert at the ULM 41

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kole Wilson for 41 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Aidan Armenta sacked by Dominique Ratcliff for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 23

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the ULM 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for 4 yds to the ULM 32

4th & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.02

Hunter Herring run for 1 yd to the ULM 33

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Texas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ULM 38

1st & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.41

Ismail Mahdi run for 14 yds to the ULM 24

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.38

Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the ULM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the ULM 13

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.85

Brad Jackson run for 8 yds to the ULM 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Brad Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Davon Wells for 10 yds to the ULM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

James Jones run for 2 yds to the ULM 37

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(10:57) ARMENTA, Aidan pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WELLS, Davon broken up by NOLAN, Ryan at the TXS47; QB hurried by LANDRY, Jo'Laison, clock 10:53. PENALTY TXS Roughing the Passer on LANDRY, Jo'Laison enforced 15 yards from the ULM37 to the TXS48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Ahmad Hardy run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

UL Monroe Penalty, Delay Of Game (Aidan Armenta) to the ULM 45

2nd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.12

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 17 yds to the TXST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.91

Ahmad Hardy run for no gain to the TXST 38 Ahmad Hardy fumbled, recovered by TXST Jordan Polk J. Polk return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Ismail Mahdi run for a loss of 3 yards to the TXST 35

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Ismail Mahdi for 6 yds to the TXST 41

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.89

Jordan McCloud sacked by Jaylan Ware for a loss of 6 yards to the TXST 35

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Lars Rau punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Davon Wells run for 7 yds to the ULM 37

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Hunter Herring run for 2 yds to the ULM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the ULM 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 40 yds , Joey Hobert returns for no gain to the TXST 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Brad Jackson run for 6 yds to the TXST 23

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the TXST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Brad Jackson run for 2 yds to the TXST 29

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Brad Jackson pass complete to Joey Hobert for 2 yds Joey Hobert fumbled, recovered by TXST

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.01

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Joey Hobert for 9 yds to the TXST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brad Jackson run for no gain to the TXST 40

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Brad Jackson run for 18 yds to the ULM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the ULM 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Brad Jackson pass complete to Kole Wilson for 9 yds to the ULM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Brad Jackson run for 14 yds to the ULM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Brad Jackson pass complete to Kole Wilson for 3 yds to the ULM 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brad Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.83

Brad Jackson run for 12 yds to the ULM 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Brad Jackson run for 2 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

James Jones run for 4 yds to the ULM 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Davon Wells for 15 yds to the ULM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Ahmad Hardy run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd to the TXST 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Jake Godfrey for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 49

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.15

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Artis Cole for 15 yds to the TXST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ahmad Hardy run for 5 yds to the TXST 31

2nd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.61

Aidan Armenta sacked by Brice Bass for a loss of 9 yards to the TXST 40

3rd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Tyler Griffin for 6 yds to the TXST 34

4th & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.63

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Wesley Campbell VI for 12 yds to the TXST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.73

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Julian Nixon for 14 yds to the TXST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Ahmad Hardy run for 7 yds to the TXST 1 Ahmad Hardy fumbled, recovered by ULM Julian Nixon J. Nixon return for 0 yds

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Larson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Max Larson kickoff for 62 yds , Kole Wilson return for 22 yds to the TXST 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the TXST 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brad Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Texas State Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the TXST 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Brad Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Lars Rau punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

James Jones run for 6 yds to the ULM 43

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.75

James Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the ULM 40

3rd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.21

James Jones run for 20 yds to the TXST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Nate Sullivan Jr. for 10 yds to the TXST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

James Jones run for 1 yd to the TXST 29

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Aidan Armenta run for 12 yds to the TXST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the TXST 15

2nd & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.83

Ahmad Hardy run for 14 yds to the TXST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ahmad Hardy run for 1 yd for a TD (Max Larson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Max Larson kickoff for 59 yds , Kole Wilson return for 19 yds to the TXST 25

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Brad Jackson run for 18 yds to the TXST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Ismail Mahdi run for a loss of 1 yard to the TXST 42

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brad Jackson run for 4 yds to the TXST 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brad Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Lars Rau punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 19

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(00:45) ARMENTA, Aidan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for COLE, Artis thrown to the ULM45, clock 00:40. PENALTY TXS Pass Interference on EATON, Joshua enforced 15 yards to the ULM34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Darius Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the ULM 31

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the ULM 27 fumbled, recovered by ULM James Jones J. Jones return for 0 yds

3rd & 17Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.13

Aidan Armenta sacked by Kalil Alexander and Terry Webb for a loss of 5 yards to the ULM 22

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Makenzie Ryan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Joey Hobert at the TXST 35

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Deion Hankins run for 13 yds to the TXST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the TXST 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brad Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the ULM 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lars Rau punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Davon Wells at the ULM 11

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.24

Aidan Armenta pass intercepted Trez Moore return for no gain to the ULM 33

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the ULM 25

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.26

Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the ULM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the ULM 12

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 13

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the ULM 15

4th & 5Field Goal Good+32 yds

Mason Shipley 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Davon Wells for 12 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.56

Ahmad Hardy run for 48 yds to the TXST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ahmad Hardy run for 2 yds to the TXST 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 yds

Max Larson 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Deion Hankins run for 17 yds to the TXST 37 Deion Hankins fumbled, recovered by TXST Deion Hankins for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Lincoln Pare run for 8 yds to the TXST 45

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Lincoln Pare run for 15 yds to the ULM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the ULM 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the ULM 36

3rd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.53

Brad Jackson run for 14 yds to the ULM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Brad Jackson run for 7 yds to the ULM 15

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Lincoln Pare run for 3 yds to the ULM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Lincoln Pare run for a loss of 1 yard to the ULM 13

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.89

Brad Jackson run for 13 yds for a TD (Mason Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Bennett Galloway run for 7 yds to the ULM 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Aidan Armenta pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.93

Bennett Galloway run for 5 yds to the ULM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Bennett Galloway run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Aidan Armenta pass complete to Wesley Campbell VI for 8 yds to the TXST 42

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
42%
12 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play