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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 13.3

Home Win Probability

Louisiana 79%

Market (Bovada)

Louisiana -14

Edge: Arkansas State +14 (0.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Arkansas StateArkansas State
066719
LouisianaLouisiana
102117755

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-010-017-024-031-034-641-1248-1255-1255-19
LouisianaArkansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOULOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASPUNT519ydPUNT33ydTO20ydTD771ydDOWNS1043ydFG641ydPUNT69ydTD664ydPUNT419ydTD541ydPUNT515ydTD794ydTD1183ydEND1-1ydFG947ydTD775ydTD670ydTO821ydTD580ydPUNT625ydTD980ydTD879ydPUNT34ydEND413yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas State and Louisiana
StatisticArkansas StateLouisiana
Passing25-3722-33
Pass Yards192301
Rush Yards209278
Total Yards401579
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-137-12
Penalties4-454-25
Possession29:2330:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas State
passing
Jaylen Raynor
23/35, 167 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Ja'Quez Cross
14 CAR, 81 YDS
receiving
Corey Rucker
6 REC, 73 YDS
defense
Louisiana
passing
Ben Wooldridge
17/26, 264 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dre'Lyn Washington
8 CAR, 123 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Lance LeGendre
4 REC, 58 YDS
defense
K.C. Ossai
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ja'Quez Cross run for 9 yds to the ARST 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the ARST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 6 yds to the ARST 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the UL 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 46 yds , Courtney Jackson returns for no gain to the ARST 30

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ja'Quez Cross run for no gain to the ARST 30

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jaylen Raynor pass intercepted Tyrone Lewis Jr. return for no gain to the UL 29

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Bill Davis run for 8 yds to the UL 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.95

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dalen Cambre for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the ARST 47

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Dre'lyn Washington run for 6 yds to the ARST 41

3rd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.20

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jaydon Johnson for 17 yds to the ARST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the ARST 20

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.71

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 20 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ja'Quez Cross run for 7 yds to the ARST 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Malik Hornsby for no gain to the ARST 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.46

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 16 yds to the ARST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 10 yds to the UL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Zak Wallace run for 6 yds to the UL 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 5 yds to the UL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the UL 28

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Jaylen Raynor sacked by Mason Narcisse and K.C. Ossai for a loss of 4 yards to the UL 32

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.57

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Zylan Perry run for 21 yds to the ARST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.80

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 17 yds to the ARST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zylan Perry run for no gain to the ARST 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 3 yds to the ARST 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+44 yds

Kenneth Almendares 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Kenneth Almendares kickoff for 64 yds , Ja'Quez Cross return for 21 yds to the ARST 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ja'Quez Cross run for 6 yds to the ARST 28

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Ja'Quez Cross run for 2 yds to the ARST 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.22

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 5 yds to the ARST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ARST 30

1st & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Jaylen Raynor sacked by Jordan Lawson and Mason Narcisse for a loss of 2 yards to the ARST 28

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Ja'Quez Cross for 3 yds to the ARST 31

4th & 14Punt+4 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 37 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for 4 yds to the UL 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the UL 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Ty Stamey for 5 yds to the UL 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Bill Davis run for 3 yds to the UL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Ben Wooldridge run for 6 yds to the ARST 46 Ben Wooldridge fumbled, recovered by UL Terrance Carter T. Carter return for 0 yds

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.83

Dre'lyn Washington run for 46 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Kenneth Almendares kickoff for 60 yds , Ja'Quez Cross return for 15 yds to the ARST 10

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.52

Ja'Quez Cross run for 12 yds to the ARST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jaylen Raynor run for 6 yds to the ARST 28

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Zak Wallace run for 2 yds to the ARST 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Zak Wallace for a loss of 1 yard to the ARST 29

4th & 3Punt+32 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 44 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for 32 yds to the ARST 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 4 yds to the ARST 37

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the ARST 33

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Zylan Perry run for 9 yds to the ARST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.99

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 20 yds to the ARST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Zylan Perry run for 4 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Kenneth Almendares kickoff for 62 yds , Ja'Quez Cross return for 27 yds to the ARST 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 11 yds to the ARST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 11 yds to the UL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Zak Wallace for 1 yd to the UL 47

3rd & 9Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.69

Jaylen Raynor sacked by Jordan Lawson for a loss of 13 yards to the ARST 40

4th & 22Penalty+5 yds

Louisiana Penalty, Offsides (Mason Narcisse) to the ARST 45

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jacob Bernard at the UL 6

1st & 10Rush+94 yds

Bill Davis run for 94 yds Louisiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (Terrance Carter) to the UL 5

1st & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.50

Ben Wooldridge run for 13 yds to the UL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Dre'lyn Washington run for 13 yds to the UL 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.96

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 47 yds to the ARST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 9 yds to the ARST 13

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.60

Bill Davis run for 13 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Kenneth Almendares kickoff for 63 yds , Ja'Quez Cross return for 15 yds to the ARST 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Manny Stevenson Jr. for 8 yds to the ARST 25

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 7 yds to the ARST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Zak Wallace for 11 yds to the ARST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 15 yds to the UL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.44

Jaylen Raynor run for 14 yds to the UL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 4 yds to the UL 24

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Ja'Quez Cross run for 4 yds to the UL 16 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Miller McCrumby for 4 yds to the UL 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.90

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Adam Jones for 16 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(00:07) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UL24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Zylan Perry run for 17 yds to the UL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the UL 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.62

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 25 yds to the ARST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Louisiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jax Harrington) to the ARST 40

1st & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 7 yds to the ARST 33

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 5 yds to the ARST 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+45 yds

Kenneth Almendares 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Manny Stevenson Jr. for 4 yds to the ARST 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ja'Quez Cross run for 5 yds to the ARST 34

3rd & 1Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.91

Zak Wallace run for 26 yds to the UL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Ja'Quez Cross run for 15 yds to the UL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Ja'Quez Cross run for 11 yds to the UL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaylen Raynor run for 1 yd to the UL 13

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Zak Wallace run for 13 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Clayton Amaya kickoff for 58 yds , Zylan Perry return for 23 yds to the UL 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Bill Davis run for 1 yd to the UL 31

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Nate Martey) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.08

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 22 yds to the ARST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.25

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Bill Davis for 18 yds to the ARST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Bill Davis run for 10 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zak Wallace run for 4 yds to the ARST 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 6 yds to the ARST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 7 yds to the ARST 42

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.26

Ja'Quez Cross run for no gain to the ARST 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Manny Stevenson Jr. for 5 yds to the ARST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ja'Quez Cross run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.86

Jaylen Raynor sacked by Jordan Lawson for a loss of 4 yards to the ARST 46

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jaylen Raynor pass intercepted Tyree Skipper return for no gain to the UL 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dre'lyn Washington run for 3 yds to the UL 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.30

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 28 yds to the ARST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.21

Dre'lyn Washington run for 35 yds to the ARST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Dre'lyn Washington run for 14 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Devin Spencer run for 6 yds to the ARST 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the ARST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Jaylen Raynor pass complete to Corey Rucker for 13 yds to the ARST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Devin Spencer run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jaylen Raynor pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Heicher punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Chandler Fields pass complete to Ty Stamey for 7 yds to the UL 27

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Arkansas State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Justin Parks) to the UL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Bill Davis run for 15 yds to the ARST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.67

Chandler Fields pass complete to Ty Stamey for 19 yds to the ARST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Chandler Fields pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the ARST 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Chandler Fields pass complete to Trayv'on Culbert for 6 yds to the ARST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Chandler Fields pass complete to Chaz Ward for 2 yds to the ARST 12

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Chandler Fields run for 12 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the ARST 8

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Braxton Guilbeau kickoff for 61 yds , Malik Hornsby return for 17 yds to the ARST 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the ARST 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.86

Timmy McClain pass complete to Tennel Bryant for 17 yds to the ARST 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Timmy McClain run for 9 yds to the UL 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.22

Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the UL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Timmy McClain pass complete to Devin Spencer for 8 yds to the UL 37

2nd & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.20

Devin Spencer run for 23 yds to the UL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the UL 10

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Timmy McClain run for 10 yds for a TD (Clune Van Andel KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tylon Citizen run for 1 yd to the UL 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Daniel Beale pass complete to Dale Martin for 3 yds to the UL 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Daniel Beale pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 54 yds, downed at the ARST 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Devin Spencer run for 3 yds to the ARST 20

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the ARST 24

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.94

Devin Spencer run for 4 yds to the ARST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Timmy McClain run for 2 yds to the ARST 30

Situational Analysis

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
35 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
86%
7 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
30 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th