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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 11

Home Win Probability

App State 76%

Market (Bovada)

App State -7.5

Edge: App State -7.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
0167326
App StateApp State
2167833

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428422-02-38-38-1015-1018-1625-2325-2633-26
App StateGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASPUNT30ydMISS847ydPUNT534ydPUNT436ydFG1077ydTD875ydTD763ydTD575ydTD568ydFG1060ydEND1-2ydPUNT39ydPUNT58ydTD560ydTD675ydTO1265ydFG1270ydTD1075ydDOWNS4-2ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and App State
StatisticGeorgia StateApp State
Passing16-2218-27
Pass Yards192299
Rush Yards194180
Total Yards386479
Turnovers01
3rd Down1-87-12
Penalties6-655-55
Possession30:3429:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Zach Gibson
16/22, 192 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Michel Dukes
6 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ted Hurst
3 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD
defense
App State
passing
Joey Aguilar
18/27, 299 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Ahmani Marshall
18 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kaedin Robinson
5 REC, 121 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Freddie Brock

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Freddie Brock run for no gain to the GAST 15

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.09

Zach Gibson run for no gain to the GAST 15

4th & 10Blocked Punt0 yds

James Allen punt blocked by Ahmani Marshall for a SAFETY blocked by Ahmani Marshall for a SAFETY

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Braeden McAlister kickoff for 67 yds , Makai Jackson return for 24 yds to the APP 37

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Joey Aguilar run for 2 yds to the APP 39

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the APP 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 22 yds to the GAST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 15 yds to the GAST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Eli Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the GAST 17

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the GAST 16

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Jackson Moore 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(09:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Gibson,Zach pass incomplete deep middle to Fleming,Dorian thrown to GSU42 broken up by Burks,DJ PENALTY APP Targeting (Burks,DJ) 15 yards from GSU20 to GSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 9 yds to the GAST 44

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Freddie Brock run for 11 yds to the APP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais Credle

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY GSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tucker,Petey) 15 yards from APP45 to GSU40. NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Zach Gibson pass complete to CJ Beasley for 7 yds to the GAST 47

3rd & 18Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Zach Gibson pass complete to CJ Beasley for 7 yds to the APP 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Allen punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY APP False Start (Robinson,Kaedin) 5 yards from APP20 to APP15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.63

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 42 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the GAST 44

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Makai Jackson

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Dalton Stroman

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Conner Maynard punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Cadarrius Thompson at the GAST 14

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.88

Freddie Brock run for 15 yds to the GAST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Freddie Brock run for 12 yds to the GAST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Zach Gibson run for 11 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the GAST 49

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.49

Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 11 yds to the APP 40

3rd & 2Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.42

Michel Dukes run for 27 yds to the APP 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Michel Dukes run for 1 yd to the APP 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Zach Gibson pass complete to Petey Tucker for 5 yds to the APP 9

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Zach Gibson run for 5 yds to the APP 4

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY GSU Delay Of Game (Gibson,Zach) 5 yards from APP04 to APP09. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Liam Rickman 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Ahmani Marshall run for 12 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 43

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.08

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 20 yds to the GAST 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 14 yds to the GAST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the GAST 14

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.75

Ahmani Marshall run for 13 yds to the GAST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY APP UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 15 yards from APP35 to APP20. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Cash McVay kickoff for 65 yds , DJ Riles return for 22 yds to the GAST 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.76

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 21 yds to the APP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

CJ Beasley run for no gain to the APP 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.61

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 24 yds to the APP 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zach Gibson run for 5 yds to the APP 13

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Freddie Brock run for 5 yds to the APP 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Zach Gibson run for 4 yds to the APP 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 4 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY APP False Start (Shrader,Thomas) 5 yards from APP25 to APP20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the APP 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 4 yds to the APP 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.21

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 50 yds to the GAST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the GAST 18

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 18 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Cash McVay kickoff for 65 yds , DJ Riles return for 32 yds to the GAST 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Freddie Brock run for 3 yds to the GAST 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.06

Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.24

Zach Gibson pass complete to Freddie Brock for 31 yds to the APP 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 10 yds to the APP 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Michel Dukes run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 22 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Kaedin Robinson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.31

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Anderson Castle for 20 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 5 yds to the GAST 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 7 yds to the GAST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 6 yds to the GAST 15

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Kaedin Robinson

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Makai Jackson

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 yds

Jackson Moore 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Jackson Moore kickoff for 41 yds , Christian Lorenzo return for no gain to the GAST 24

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Z. Gibson takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half-2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the APP 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Joey Aguilar run for 6 yds to the APP 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the APP 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Conner Maynard punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GAST 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Freddie Brock run for 8 yds to the GAST 38

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the GAST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for no gain to the GAST 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dorian Fleming

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.90

Zach Gibson sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the GAST 38

4th & 17Punt+30 yds

James Allen punt for 52 yds , Kaedin Robinson returns for 30 yds to the APP 40

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Anderson Castle run for 17 yds to the GAST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the GAST 40

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(09:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Aguilar,Joey pass incomplete deep left to Jackson,Makai thrown to GSU00 PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Guy,Izaiah) 15 yards from GSU40 to GSU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Eli Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Makai Jackson run for 2 yds to the GAST 23

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.47

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 23 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Gibson pass complete to Michel Dukes for 3 yds to the GAST 28

2nd & 7Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.32

Michel Dukes run for 35 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.47

CJ Beasley run for 20 yds to the APP 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

CJ Beasley run for 8 yds to the APP 9

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Zach Gibson run for 4 yds to the APP 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Kyle Lowe run for 5 yds for a TD (Liam Rickman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the APP 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the APP 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 3 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Ahmani Marshall run for 14 yds to the APP 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the GAST 44

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.42

Ahmani Marshall run for 11 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the GAST 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the GAST 29

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Ahmani Marshall run for 12 yds to the GAST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the GAST 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete to Christan Horn

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.87

Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the GAST 10 Ahmani Marshall fumbled, recovered by GAST Anthony Blume

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.65

Freddie Brock run for 14 yds to the GAST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Zach Gibson run for 2 yds to the GAST 22

2nd & 12Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.65

Zach Gibson run for 12 yds to the GAST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Michel Dukes run for 4 yds to the GAST 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Zach Gibson run for 2 yds to the GAST 40

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY GSU False Start (Timmons,Trevor) 5 yards from GSU40 to GSU35. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

App State Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Ethan Johnson) to the APP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the APP 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.27

Zach Gibson pass complete to Ted Hurst for 29 yds to the APP 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Freddie Brock run for 2 yds to the APP 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dorian Fleming

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.22

Zach Gibson sacked by Santana Hopper for a loss of 11 yards to the APP 20

4th & 19Field Goal Good+38 yds

Liam Rickman 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the APP 29

2nd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.81

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

(06:06) Shotgun Aguilar,Joey pass intercepted by Johnson,Jeremiah at GSU29, End Of Play PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Guy,Izaiah) 15 yards from APP29 to APP44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Kanye Roberts run for 10 yds to the GAST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the GAST 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 9 yds to the GAST 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the GAST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 15 yds to the GAST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the GAST 17

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Kanye Roberts run for 13 yds to the GAST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the GAST 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanen Hamlett for 4 yds for a TD (J. Aguilar Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Cash McVay kickoff for 62 yds , DJ Murray Jr. return for 9 yds to the GAST 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Michel Dukes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Zach Gibson pass complete to Dorian Fleming for 8 yds to the GAST 20

3rd & 2Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.54

Zach Gibson sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the GAST 10

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.37

Zach Gibson pass incomplete to Dorian Fleming

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

J. Aguilar takes a knee

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

J. Aguilar takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
28 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
63%
8 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
45%
29 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th