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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 9.1

Home Win Probability

Louisiana 71%

Market (Bovada)

Louisiana -10

Edge: App State +10 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
0143724
LouisianaLouisiana
31431434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-717-717-1720-1727-2434-24
LouisianaApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOULOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUPUNT522ydFG1275ydPUNT618ydPUNT518ydTD1377ydTD174ydPUNT514ydPUNT323ydTO10ydTD533ydTD1070ydMISS411ydPUNT37ydFG1144ydFG1141ydTO1160ydTD17ydTO10ydPUNT39ydTD767ydTO526ydTO519ydTD732ydTO310ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Louisiana
StatisticApp StateLouisiana
Passing20-4214-23
Pass Yards236198
Rush Yards165168
Total Yards401366
Turnovers51
3rd Down8-146-13
Penalties4-286-52
Possession30:4029:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Joey Aguilar
20/42, 236 YDS, 3 TD, 4 INT
rushing
Kanye Roberts
26 CAR, 148 YDS
receiving
Kaedin Robinson
7 REC, 96 YDS
defense
Louisiana
passing
Ben Wooldridge
14/23, 198 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Zylan Perry
14 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Terrance Carter
4 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Kenneth Almendares kickoff for 65 yds , Makai Jackson return for 25 yds to the APP 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

App State Penalty, False Start (Makai Jackson) to the APP 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.35

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 12 yds to the APP 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 10 yds to the APP 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 5 yds to the APP 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Conner Maynard punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the UL 13

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Zylan Perry run for 19 yds to the UL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.88

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 10 yds to the UL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Zylan Perry run for 5 yds to the UL 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Bill Davis run for 4 yds to the APP 49

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.20

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 5 yds to the APP 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.84

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 28 yds to the APP 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the APP 15

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+32 yds

Kenneth Almendares 32 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Kenneth Almendares kickoff for 62 yds , Makai Jackson return for 18 yds to the APP 21

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the APP 26

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the APP 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.92

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 12 yds to the APP 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the APP 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt-2 yds

Conner Maynard punt for 40 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UL 19

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Dre'lyn Washington run for 13 yds to the UL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Dre'lyn Washington run for 21 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the APP 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-15 yds

(03:33) WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass short to the left complete for 6 yards to LEGENDRE, Lance caught at the APP45 and advanced to the APP40 (HARRINGTON, Brendan), clock 03:29. PENALTY UL Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Robert enforced 15 yards to the UL39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 24Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.14

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the UL 37

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 23

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Kanye Roberts run for 9 yds to the APP 32

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Joey Aguilar run for 8 yds to the APP 43

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Kanye Roberts run for 9 yds to the UL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Kanye Roberts run for 10 yds to the UL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the UL 37

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kanye Roberts run for 6 yds to the UL 31

3rd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Kanye Roberts run for 17 yds to the UL 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the UL 9

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.26

Kanye Roberts run for 7 yds to the UL 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the UL 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Joey Aguilar pass complete to David Larkins for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Cash McVay kickoff for 56 yds , Zylan Perry return for 17 yds to the UL 26

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.01

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 74 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kanye Roberts run for 8 yds to the APP 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the APP 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 4 yds to the APP 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+46 yds

Conner Maynard punt for 46 yds , Jacob Bernard returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 7

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

App State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Andre Hamilton) to the UL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the UL 26

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zylan Perry run for 5 yds to the UL 31

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Zylan Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the UL 30

4th & 2Punt+6 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 50 yds , Kaedin Robinson returns for 6 yds to the APP 26

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+16 ydsPPA -0.99

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Tyree Skipper return for 16 yds to the APP 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 8 yds to the APP 25

2nd & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA -0.16

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 14 yds to the APP 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Bill Davis run for 7 yds to the APP 4

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Bill Davis run for 1 yd to the APP 3

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the APP 8

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.90

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Harvey Broussard for 8 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the APP 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.13

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 9 yds to the APP 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.54

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 24 yds to the UL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Joey Aguilar run for 10 yds to the UL 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the UL 20

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(00:45) AGUILAR, Joey pass deep to the left incomplete intended for STROMAN, Dalton thrown to the UL0, clock 00:41. PENALTY UL Pass Interference on MARTIN, Keyon enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the UL5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Penalty-10 yds

App State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Joey Aguilar) to the UL 15

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.10

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kanye Roberts for 15 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Jackson Moore kickoff for 48 yds , Bill Davis return for 29 yds to the UL 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrance Carter for 9 yds to the APP 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.26

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.88

Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the APP 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+60 yds

Kenneth Almendares 60 Yard Field Goal Missed

0th & 10End of Half-14 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Cash McVay kickoff for 60 yds , Zylan Perry return for 14 yds to the UL 19

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Louisiana Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Ben Wooldridge) to the UL 16

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the UL 17

3rd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Ben Wooldridge run for 9 yds to the UL 26

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the APP 30

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Kanye Roberts run for 18 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the UL 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 3 yds to the UL 45

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.46

Joey Aguilar run for 4 yds to the UL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the UL 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.12

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 11 yds to the UL 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the UL 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+44 yds

Jackson Moore 44 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Cash McVay kickoff for 56 yds , Zylan Perry return for 15 yds to the UL 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bill Davis run for 5 yds to the UL 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Bill Davis run for 1 yd to the UL 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Tavion Smith for 4 yds to the UL 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Bill Davis run for 8 yds to the UL 42

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Bill Davis run for 6 yds to the UL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.10

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 15 yds to the APP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the APP 37

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Ben Wooldridge run for 2 yds to the APP 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+53 yds

Kenneth Almendares 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the APP 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Christan Horn for 8 yds to the APP 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Makai Jackson for 12 yds to the APP 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the UL 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.26

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 15 yds to the UL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.61

Joey Aguilar sacked by Chase Edwards for a loss of 10 yards to the UL 43

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.73

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 22 yds to the UL 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -4.37

Kanye Roberts run for 6 yds to the APP 15 Kanye Roberts fumbled, recovered by UL Justin Agu J. Agu return for 70 yds

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Landon Burton 0 Yd Run (Kenneth Almendares Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Kenneth Almendares kickoff for 59 yds , Makai Jackson return for 17 yds to the APP 23

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.79

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Tyree Skipper return for no gain to the UL 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Zylan Perry run for 6 yds to the UL 34

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the UL 37

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the UL 37

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nathan Torney punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 14 yds to the APP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the APP 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.02

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 16 yds to the UL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 7 yds to the UL 29

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the UL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Eli Wilson for 26 yds for a TD (Jackson Moore KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Cash McVay kickoff for 65 yds , Zylan Perry return for 20 yds to the UL 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ben Wooldridge run for 5 yds to the UL 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.39

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Robert Williams for 7 yds to the UL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Dre'lyn Washington run for 14 yds to the UL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.82

Ben Wooldridge pass intercepted Jordan Favors return for no gain to the APP 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kanye Roberts run for 6 yds to the APP 22

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

Kanye Roberts run for 7 yds to the APP 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kanye Roberts run for 6 yds to the APP 35

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Tyrone Lewis Jr. return for 2 yds to the APP 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the APP 29

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the APP 25

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Zylan Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the APP 26

4th & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.54

Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance LeGendre for 16 yds to the APP 10 for a 1ST down

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Zylan Perry run for 1 yd to the APP 1

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Ben Wooldridge run for 8 yds to the APP 2

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ben Wooldridge run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Joey Aguilar pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 10 yds to the APP 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Joey Aguilar pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.74

Joey Aguilar pass intercepted Tyrone Lewis Jr. return for no gain to the UL 44

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UL43 (team loss of 1), clock 00:50.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

(00:37) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UL42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:33.

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
56%
25 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play