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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

James Madison by 24.2

Home Win Probability

James Madison 91%

Market (Bovada)

James Madison -22

Edge: James Madison -22 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Ball StateBall State
70007
James MadisonJames Madison
227201463

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-015-022-729-735-749-756-763-7
James MadisonBall State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20JMBSJMBSJMBSJMBSJMBSBSJMBSJMBSJMBSJMBSJMTD1166ydTO428ydTD535ydTD775ydTD875ydDOWNS1734ydTD959ydTO1143ydEND442ydTD34ydDOWNS830ydTD455ydDOWNS48ydTD233ydPUNT1131ydTD994ydPUNT38ydTD1059ydPUNT39ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Ball State and James Madison
StatisticBall StateJames Madison
Passing23-3821-29
Pass Yards173286
Rush Yards77229
Total Yards250515
Turnovers30
3rd Down7-169-10
Penalties3-204-45
Possession33:4126:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Ball State
passing
Kadin Semonza
22/35, 168 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Braedon Sloan
14 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Tanner Koziol
9 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense
James Madison
passing
Alonza Barnett
20/28, 280 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Wayne Knight
6 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Taylor Thompson
5 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Carson Holmer kickoff for 65 yds , George Pettaway return for 34 yds to the JMU 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 10 yds to the JMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to George Pettaway for 4 yds to the JMU 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Purdy run for 5 yds to the BALL 47

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.18

Alonza Barnett III run for 6 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

George Pettaway run for 4 yds to the BALL 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.55

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 11 yds to the BALL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler Purdy run for 5 yds to the BALL 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.11

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 9 yds to the BALL 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 12 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 5 yds to the BALL 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Braedon Sloan run for 5 yds to the BALL 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Braedon Sloan run for 18 yds to the JMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+40 ydsPPA -3.39

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted Terrence Spence return for 40 yds to the BALL 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 2 yds to the BALL 33

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.48

Alonza Barnett III run for 9 yds to the BALL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

George Pettaway run for 24 yds for a TD (PAT RUSH by T. Thompson GOOD)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.02

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 26 yds to the JMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kiael Kelly pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kiael Kelly run for 1 yd to the JMU 48

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

SEMONZA, Kadin pass deep to the left incomplete intended for MAGWOOD, Qian thrown to the JMU15. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on THOMAS, Jacob enforced 15 yards to the JMU33 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Cam Pickett run for 6 yds to the JMU 27

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.12

Braedon Sloan run for 12 yds to the JMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 15 yds for a TD (Carson Holmer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Wayne Knight run for 16 yds to the JMU 41 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.56

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 18 yds to the BALL 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Dylan Williams for 6 yds to the BALL 35

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.99

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Logan Kyle for 30 yds to the BALL 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 5 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 5 yds to the BALL 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the BALL 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Christian Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 6 yds to the BALL 41

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 6 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Kadin Semonza sacked by Khairi Manns for a loss of 2 yards to the BALL 45

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Braedon Sloan run for 3 yds to the BALL 48

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.85

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 12 yds to the JMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Christian Davis run for 1 yd to the JMU 39

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

James Madison Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the JMU 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 10 yds to the JMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the JMU 24

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.53

Kadin Semonza sacked by Eric O'Neill for a loss of 10 yards to the JMU 34

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 20Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Kadin Semonza sacked by Khairi Manns for a loss of 7 yards to the JMU 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

George Pettaway run for 2 yds to the JMU 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.58

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 8 yds to the BALL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 16 yds to the BALL 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Purdy run for 2 yds to the BALL 31

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.62

Alonza Barnett III sacked by Sam Feeney for a loss of 9 yards to the BALL 40

3rd & 17Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.20

Alonza Barnett III run for 17 yds to the BALL 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BARNETT III, Alonza pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for KNIGHT, Yamir thrown to the BSU0. PENALTY BSU Offsides on CONLEY, Darin enforced 5 yards from the BSU23 to the BSU18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Alonza Barnett III run for 4 yds to the BALL 14

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Purdy run for 4 yds to the BALL 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 10 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Braedon Sloan run for 7 yds to the BALL 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 3 yds to the BALL 34

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.04

Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the BALL 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -2.38

Kadin Semonza sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the BALL 29 Kadin Semonza fumbled, recovered by BALL Damon Kaylor , return for 0 yards

2nd & 21Penalty+15 yds

SEMONZA, Kadin pass to the right incomplete intended for MAGWOOD, Qian broken up by BARKSDALE, DJ at the BSU40. PENALTY JMU Personal Foul on SUMMERALL III, Lloyd enforced 15 yards from the BSU29 to the BSU44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.79

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 12 yds to the JMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 4 yds to the JMU 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Braedon Sloan for 6 yds to the JMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.13

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted DJ Barksdale return for no gain to the JMU 16

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.24

Alonza Barnett III run for 18 yds to the JMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Alonza Barnett III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Yamir Knight for 20 yds to the BALL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Alonza Barnett III sacked by Riley Tolsma for a loss of 4 yards to the BALL 42

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Braedon Sloan run for 9 yds to the BALL 34

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Ball State Penalty, False Start (Christian Abney) to the BALL 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown+27 ydsPPA -7.16

Kadin Semonza pass intercepted Eric O'Neill return for 27 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kiael Kelly run for 3 yds to the BALL 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Braedon Sloan run for 6 yds to the BALL 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Braedon Sloan run for 2 yds to the BALL 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.67

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Dahya Patel for 19 yds to the JMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the JMU 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

George Pettaway run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Alonza Barnett III run for 1 yd to the BALL 49

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.40

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 23 yds to the BALL 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Cam Ross for 26 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Braedon Sloan run for no gain to the BALL 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Dahya Patel for 9 yds to the BALL 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Qian Magwood for a loss of 1 yard to the BALL 33

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Kadin Semonza pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 15 yds to the BALL 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Alonza Barnett III run for 18 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kiael Kelly run for 2 yds to the BALL 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 1 yd to the BALL 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 14 yds to the BALL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Cam Pickett for 4 yds to the BALL 46

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.04

Isaiah Thacker run for 6 yds to the JMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 5 yds to the JMU 43

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Christian Davis run for 2 yds to the JMU 41

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Kadin Semonza pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 4 yds to the JMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Christian Davis run for no gain to the JMU 37

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Kadin Semonza sacked by Eric O'Neill for a loss of 4 yards to the JMU 41

3rd & 14Penalty-10 yds

SEMONZA, Kadin pass to the left complete for 11 yards to MAGWOOD, Qian caught at the JMU34 and advanced to the JMU30 (SHEARIN, Chris;DOBBS, Jacob). PENALTY BSU Holding on TYO, Taran enforced 10 yards from the JMU41 to the BSU49 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 24Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Kadin Semonza run for 7 yds to the JMU 44

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kadin Semonza punt for 38 yds, downed at the JMU 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the JMU 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Maxwell Moss for 11 yds to the JMU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Wayne Knight run for 2 yds to the JMU 21

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Alonza Barnett III sacked by Sam Feeney for a loss of 8 yards to the JMU 13

3rd & 16Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.10

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 22 yds to the JMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+37 ydsPPA +2.48

Wayne Knight run for 37 yds to the BALL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Wayne Knight run for 1 yd to the BALL 27

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Wayne Knight run for 5 yds to the BALL 22

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.10

Alonza Barnett III pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 22 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tj Horton run for 3 yds to the BALL 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Aidan Leffler pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Aidan Leffler pass complete to Dahya Patel for 5 yds to the BALL 33

4th & 2Punt+19 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 45 yds , Yamir Knight returns for 19 yds to the JMU 41

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jobi Malary run for 6 yds to the JMU 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.65

Dylan Morris pass complete to Dylan Williams for 6 yds to the BALL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jobi Malary run for 3 yds to the BALL 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ke'Marion Baldwin run for 3 yds to the BALL 41

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.30

Ke'Marion Baldwin run for 4 yds to the BALL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ke'Marion Baldwin run for 4 yds to the BALL 33

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jobi Malary run for 2 yds to the BALL 31

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.88

Jobi Malary run for 7 yds to the BALL 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ke'Marion Baldwin run for 2 yds to the BALL 22

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

(03:28) BALDWIN, Ke'Marion rush to the left for a loss of 2 yards to the BSU24 (COLEMAN, Jordan). PENALTY JMU Holding on HOLLINGSWORTH, Gabriel enforced 10 yards from the BSU22 to the BSU32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.25

Jobi Malary run for 32 yds for a TD (Max Lipinski KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tj Horton run for 3 yds to the BALL 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Charlie Spegal run for 5 yds to the BALL 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Charlie Spegal run for 1 yd to the BALL 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brian Cooey Jr. punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Yamir Knight at the JMU 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

[NHSG] Kneel down by MORRIS, Dylan at JMU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
28 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
38%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

James Madison

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
43%
30 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
58%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
83%
6 plays
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play