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← Back to GamesNov 29, 2024Week 14

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 33.8

Home Win Probability

Boise State 97%

Market (Bovada)

Boise State -18

Edge: Boise State -18 (15.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 29, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oregon StateOregon State
073818
Boise StateBoise State
1476734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-724-724-1027-1834-18
Boise StateOregon State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSOSBSTD1481ydPUNT30ydTD1153ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT734ydTO1179ydTD292ydTD875ydDOWNS46ydPUNT34ydFG1550ydFG1055ydFG563ydTD1075ydPUNT3-3ydDOWNS521ydDOWNS638ydDOWNS629ydTD632ydDOWNS513ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon State and Boise State
StatisticOregon StateBoise State
Passing21-3717-33
Pass Yards226195
Rush Yards116270
Total Yards342465
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-138-15
Penalties6-473-30
Possession25:3434:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon State
passing
Ben Gulbranson
21/37, 226 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Anthony Hankerson
11 CAR, 110 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Darrius Clemons
8 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Jaden Robinson
1.5 TFL, 2 PD
Boise State
passing
Maddux Madsen
17/33, 195 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Ashton Jeanty
37 CAR, 226 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cam Camper
6 REC, 73 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Latrell Caples return for 19 yds to the BOIS 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 23

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.67

Ashton Jeanty run for 16 yds to the BOIS 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BOIS 46

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.22

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Maddux Madsen run for no gain to the BOIS 49

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jambres Dubar run for 2 yds to the ORST 49

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

(11:14) MADSEN, Maddux pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CAMPER, Cameron thrown to the OSU30; QB hurried by AYERS, Exodus, clock 11:09. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on VADRAWALE III, Sailasa enforced 15 yards to the OSU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 33

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ben Ford for 8 yds to the ORST 25

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the ORST 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 10 yds to the ORST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the ORST 11

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.65

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Taren Schive kickoff for 64 yds , Zachary Card return for 24 yds to the ORST 41 Oregon State Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ORST 12

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Oregon State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ORST 7

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.08

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for a loss of 2 yards to the ORST 5

3rd & 17Penalty-2 yds

Oregon State Penalty, False Start (Yards) to the ORST 3

3rd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.03

Anthony Hankerson run for 9 yds to the ORST 12

4th & 10Punt+5 yds

Josh Green punt for 46 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 5 yds to the BOIS 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 9 yds to the ORST 44

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.79

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the ORST 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 9 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the ORST 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Maddux Madsen run for 7 yds to the ORST 21

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the ORST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Ashton Jeanty run for 11 yds to the ORST 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Anthony Hankerson run for 6 yds to the ORST 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for no gain to the ORST 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

Josh Green punt for 51 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 5 yds to the BOIS 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 22

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 64 yds, downed at the ORST 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 6 yds to the ORST 20

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.31

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 21 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 19 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(11:29) HANKERSON, Anthony rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the BSU30 (SIMPSON, Andrew), clock 11:24. PENALTY OSU Holding on GONZALEZ, Flavio enforced 10 yards from the BSU40 to the OSU50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the BOIS 49

2nd & 19Penalty-5 yds

(10:21) GULBRANSON, Ben pass to the right complete for 24 yards to WALKER, Trent caught at the BSU50 and advanced to the BSU25 (BENEFIELD, Ty), out of bounds, clock 10:14. PENALTY Before the snap, OSU Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the BSU49 to the OSU46. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 24Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 5 yds to the BOIS 49

3rd & 19Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Ben Gulbranson sacked by Braxton Fely for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 48

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Josh Green punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the BOIS 13

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the BOIS 21

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Ashton Jeanty run for 12 yds to the BOIS 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Maddux Madsen run for 10 yds to the BOIS 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 8 yds to the ORST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the ORST 46

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Jambres Dubar run for 7 yds to the ORST 39

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.02

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 3 yds to the ORST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the ORST 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.02

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 8 yds to the ORST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -4.37

Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the ORST 8 Ashton Jeanty fumbled, recovered by ORST Nikko Taylor N. Taylor return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Salahadin Allah run for 9 yds to the ORST 17

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+83 ydsPPA +6.07

Anthony Hankerson run for 83 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 10 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 14 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the ORST 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.31

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 19 yds to the ORST 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 20 yds to the ORST 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Maddux Madsen run for 2 yds to the ORST 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 6 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Jake Reichle run for 9 yds to the ORST 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kneel down by TEAM at OSU31 (team loss of 3); OSU turnover on downs, clock 00:00.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Anthony Hankerson run for 2 yds to the ORST 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Josh Green punt for 50 yds , Cooper Jones returns for 3 yds to the BOIS 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 23

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.43

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 17 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Maddux Madsen run for 9 yds to the ORST 39

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the ORST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the ORST 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 5 yds to the ORST 29

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

(09:05) JEANTY, Ashton rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the OSU29, End of Play, 1ST DOWN, clock 08:57. PENALTY BSU Holding on STRACHAN, Prince OSU Face mask on AYERS, Exodus , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.47

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the ORST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+43 yds

Jonah Dalmas 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Salahadin Allah run for 1 yd to the ORST 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.66

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 22 yds to the ORST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Salahadin Allah run for 4 yds to the BOIS 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 4 yds to the BOIS 44

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Anthony Hankerson run for 4 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Anthony Hankerson run for 1 yd to the BOIS 39

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

(04:15) GULBRANSON, Ben pass to the right incomplete intended for NOGA, Jeremiah thrown to the BSU29, clock 04:11. PENALTY BSU Roughing the Passer on NOTARAINNI, Marco enforced 15 yards from the BSU39 to the BSU24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Salahadin Allah run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 5 yds to the BOIS 20

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 yds

Everett Hayes 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.52

Ashton Jeanty run for 60 yds to the ORST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the ORST 12

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jonah Dalmas 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Hankerson run for 3 yds to the ORST 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.28

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 19 yds to the ORST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Gevani McCoy run for 2 yds to the ORST 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.60

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Trent Walker for 10 yds to the BOIS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 9 yds to the BOIS 32

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.06

Anthony Hankerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Anthony Hankerson run for no gain to the BOIS 33

4th & 2Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 21 yds to the BOIS 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 12 yds for a TD (Ben Gulbranson pass to Darrius Clemons for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Boise State Penalty, False Start (Hall Schmidt) to the 50 yard line

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 10 yds , Jeremiah Noga return for no gain to the ORST 45

1st & 15Penalty-10 yds

(11:47) JEANTY, Ashton rush to the left for a gain of 25 yards to the OSU25 (AYERS, Exodus), out of bounds, clock 11:42. PENALTY BSU Holding on CARREON, Roger enforced 10 yards from the OSU50 to the BSU40 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 12 yds to the ORST 48

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 21 yds to the ORST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.50

Ben Gulbranson sacked by Marco Notarainni for a loss of 12 yards to the ORST 29

2nd & 22Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to David Wells Jr. for 1 yd to the ORST 30

3rd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.25

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 11 yds to the ORST 41

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.03

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.68

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 26 yds to the ORST 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Ashton Jeanty run for 10 yds to the ORST 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.52

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Darrius Clemons for 27 yds to the ORST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Jeremiah Noga for 5 yds to the ORST 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.66

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to David Wells Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the ORST 32

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.16

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the ORST 30

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the ORST 30

3rd & 8Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.24

Ashton Jeanty run for 26 yds to the ORST 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the ORST 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the ORST 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Ben Gulbranson pass complete to Anthony Hankerson for 13 yds to the ORST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.10

Ben Gulbranson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

(00:22) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at OSU40 (team loss of 2), clock 00:18.

Situational Analysis

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
56%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
41%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
43%
14 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays