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← Back to GamesNov 24, 2024Week 13
Air ForceAir Force
22
-Final
19
NevadaNevada
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 1

Home Win Probability

Nevada 48%

Market (Bovada)

Nevada -2.5

Edge: Air Force +2.5 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 24, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
0701522
NevadaNevada
066719

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-76-712-712-1519-22
NevadaAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFPUNT824ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-4ydTD1481ydPUNT37ydMISS554ydFG1061ydPUNT518ydFG1072ydEND529ydPUNT521ydTD980ydTO1135ydPUNT414ydTD1474ydTO828ydTD825ydTD775ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Nevada
StatisticAir ForceNevada
Passing0-322-35
Pass Yards0268
Rush Yards31994
Total Yards319362
Turnovers11
3rd Down11-164-12
Penalties1-55-50
Possession35:4324:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Quentin Hayes
0/3, 0 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Owen Allen
23 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Nevada
passing
Brendon Lewis
22/35, 268 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brendon Lewis
13 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Cortez Braham
7 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds , Ky Woods return for 36 yds to the NEV 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 11 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Brendon Lewis run for 11 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Deston Hawkins run for 3 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

(12:28) LEWIS, Brendon pass deep up the middle complete for 34 yards to BRAHAM, Cortez caught at the AFA0 and advanced to the AFA0, TOUCHDOWN NEV, score nullified by penalty, clock 12:22 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY NEV Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BRAHAM, Cortez enforced 5 yards from the AFA34 to the AFA39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 40

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 37 yds, downed at the AFA 3

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AFA 8

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the AFA 9

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the AFA 10

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the NEV 46

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.91

Brendon Lewis sacked by David Santiago for a loss of 9 yards to the NEV 37

3rd & 18Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Caleb Ramseur for 9 yds to the NEV 46

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Nevada Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the NEV 41

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 40 yds, downed at the AFA 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dylan Carson run for 5 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Kade Frew run for 6 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Owen Allen run for 7 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Quentin Hayes run for 3 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(04:40) HAYES, Quentin pass short to the left incomplete intended for HARRIS, Cade thrown to the AFA45, clock 04:36. PENALTY NEV Roughing the Passer on ROPATI, Nelson enforced 15 yards from the AFA42 to the NEV43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Dylan Carson run for 8 yds to the NEV 35

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the NEV 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Quentin Hayes run for 4 yds to the NEV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the NEV 27

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Quentin Hayes run for 6 yds to the NEV 21

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.18

Quentin Hayes run for 2 yds to the NEV 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Quentin Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 20

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Kade Frew run for 9 yds to the NEV 11

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.66

Dylan Carson run for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 39 yds , Adam Weynand return for 7 yds to the NEV 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Savion Red run for 4 yds to the NEV 37

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Chubba Purdy run for 1 yd to the NEV 38

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the NEV 40

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.64

Dylan Carson run for 50 yds to the NEV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the NEV 30

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the NEV 29

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Quentin Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 30

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Matthew Dapore 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 18 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deston Hawkins for no gain to the NEV 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Nate Burleson II for 9 yds to the AFA 43

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.48

Brendon Lewis run for 15 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.71

Deston Hawkins run for 22 yds to the AFA 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Savion Red run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Kian Afrookhteh 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Dylan Carson run for 8 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Dylan Carson run for 7 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Dylan Carson run for no gain to the AFA 40

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Quentin Hayes pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Savion Red run for 3 yds to the NEV 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.11

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 15 yds to the NEV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.66

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 20 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Air Force Penalty, Offsides (Payton Zdroik) to the AFA 37

1st & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.36

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marquis Ashley for 11 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 16 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the AFA 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Savion Red run for 3 yds to the AFA 5

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Brendon Lewis sacked by Daniel Grobe and Grant Uyl for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Kian Afrookhteh 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kade Frew run for 5 yds to the AFA 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(00:15) QB Keeper HAYES, Quentin rush up the middle for a loss of 2 yards, HAYES, Quentin fumbled at AFA33 , recovered by NEV LABARBERA, Dylan at the AFA33, returned 0 yards to the AFA33, End of Play, clock 00:10. PENALTY NEV Holding on CRAWFORD, Kitan enforced 10 yards from the AFA35 to the AFA45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cade Harris run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kade Frew run for 4 yds to the NEV 46

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.44

Owen Allen run for 11 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the AFA 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Quentin Hayes pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kemper Hodges run for 5 yds to the AFA 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Brendon Lewis run for 11 yds to the NEV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deston Hawkins for 9 yds to the NEV 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 17 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Deston Hawkins run for 2 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.91

Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 45

3rd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.07

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 20 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Deston Hawkins run for 2 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.94

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 23 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Owen Allen run for 8 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Quentin Hayes run for no gain to the AFA 40

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.56

Quentin Hayes run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the NEV 46

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Owen Allen run for 5 yds to the NEV 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.74

Quentin Hayes run for 2 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kade Frew run for 3 yds to the NEV 36

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Kade Frew run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 40

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Nevada Penalty, Personal Foul (Tongiaki Mateialona) to the NEV 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 14 yds to the NEV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.62

Quentin Hayes run for 11 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Owen Allen run for 6 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Owen Allen run for 6 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Quentin Hayes run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 46

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Quentin Hayes run for 3 yds to the AFA 49

3rd & 12Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.28

Quentin Hayes run for 16 yds to the NEV 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kemper Hodges run for 6 yds to the NEV 29

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the NEV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the NEV 23

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Quentin Hayes run for 7 yds to the NEV 16

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.12

Quentin Hayes run for 3 yds to the NEV 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the NEV 9

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Owen Allen run for 9 yds for a TD (O. Allen Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Deston Hawkins run for 2 yds to the NEV 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 12 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Deston Hawkins run for 1 yd to the NEV 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deston Hawkins for 6 yds to the NEV 46

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.60

Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deston Hawkins for 3 yds to the AFA 47

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+39 ydsPPA -1.65

Brendon Lewis pass intercepted Osaro Aihie return for 39 yds to the NEV 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Owen Allen run for no gain to the NEV 25

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Owen Allen run for 9 yds to the NEV 16

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.11

Quentin Hayes run for 2 yds to the NEV 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Owen Allen run for 8 yds to the NEV 6

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.89

Quentin Hayes run for 4 yds to the NEV 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Quentin Hayes run for 1 yd to the NEV 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Quentin Hayes run for no gain to the NEV 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Quentin Hayes run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 13 yds to the NEV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deston Hawkins for 2 yds to the NEV 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deston Hawkins for 8 yds to the NEV 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deston Hawkins for 5 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Brendon Lewis run for 8 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Brendon Lewis run for 12 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 27 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Kian Afrookhteh kickoff for 6 yds , return for no gain to the NEV 41

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

(00:01) [NH] Kneel down by HAYES, Quentin at NEV42 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
38%
26 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
47%
15 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play