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← Back to GamesNov 10, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 35

Home Win Probability

Boise State 97%

Market (Bovada)

Boise State -23.5

Edge: Boise State -23.5 (11.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 10, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NevadaNevada
770721
Boise StateBoise State
1407728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-714-1421-1428-1428-21
Boise StateNevada

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVBSNEVBSNEVBSNEVBSNEVBSNEVBSNEVBSNEVBSNEVBSNEVBSNEVBSNEVBSPUNT3-6ydTD1268ydPUNT30ydTD454ydTD675ydTO21ydTO624ydTO537ydTD766ydPUNT33ydPUNT36ydPUNT423ydDOWNS43ydTD895ydPUNT37ydPUNT729ydPUNT632ydPUNT35ydPUNT35ydTD1062ydTO933ydPUNT39ydTD464ydEND622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nevada and Boise State
StatisticNevadaBoise State
Passing18-279-20
Pass Yards232119
Rush Yards87274
Total Yards319393
Turnovers22
3rd Down3-145-10
Penalties5-554-35
Possession28:4531:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nevada
passing
Brendon Lewis
17/26, 188 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Sean Dollars
15 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Jaden Smith
4 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Boise State
passing
Maddux Madsen
9/20, 119 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ashton Jeanty
34 CAR, 209 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Matt Lauter
5 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Taren Schive kickoff for 59 yds , Bryson Parker return for 25 yds to the NEV 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the NEV 33

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.52

Brendon Lewis sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan for a loss of 8 yards to the NEV 25

4th & 16Punt+2 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 45 yds , Latrell Caples returns for 2 yds to the BOIS 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 34

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BOIS 41

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jambres Dubar run for 5 yds to the BOIS 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.32

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 12 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the NEV 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 8 yds to the NEV 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.24

Ashton Jeanty run for 17 yds to the NEV 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the NEV 4

2nd & 3Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.82

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds Boise State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NEV 11

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 11 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds to the NEV 30

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -1.36

Sean Dollars run for a loss of 13 yards to the NEV 17 Sean Dollars fumbled, recovered by NEV Sean Dollars S. Dollars return for 0 yds

3rd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.06

Sean Dollars run for 8 yds to the NEV 25

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 40 yds , Latrell Caples returns for 11 yds to the BOIS 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.02

Ashton Jeanty run for 46 yds to the NEV 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Maddux Madsen run for 4 yds to the NEV 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean Dollars run for 5 yds to the NEV 30

2nd & 5Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.57

Sean Dollars run for 26 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Sean Dollars run for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.77

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 14 yds to the BOIS 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 14 yds to the BOIS 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Brendon Lewis run for 17 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Kian Afrookhteh kickoff for 65 yds , Dylan Riley return for 29 yds to the BOIS 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 30

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Maddux Madsen pass intercepted Tori Daffin return for 2 yds to the NEV 47

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the NEV 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 9 yds to the BOIS 44

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.05

Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the BOIS 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 8 yds to the BOIS 30

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -3.74

Sean Dollars run for 1 yd to the BOIS 29 Sean Dollars fumbled, recovered by BOIS Marco Notarainni M. Notarainni return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 7 yds to the BOIS 36

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Ashton Jeanty run for 11 yds to the NEV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Maddux Madsen run for 12 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.95

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the NEV 34 Ashton Jeanty fumbled, recovered by NEV Stone Combs S. Combs return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ky Woods run for 5 yds to the NEV 39

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Caleb Ramseur run for 1 yd to the NEV 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.99

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 7 yds to the NEV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Sean Dollars run for 1 yd to the NEV 48

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Caleb Ramseur run for 5 yds to the BOIS 47

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(07:31) QB Keeper LEWIS, Brendon rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the BSU40 (BENEFIELD, Ty), clock 07:26. PENALTY NEV Holding on MADRIGAL, Andrew enforced 10 yards from the BSU47 to the NEV43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.41

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 13 yds to the BOIS 44

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +5.34

Marcus Bellon pass complete to Caleb Ramseur for 44 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Kian Afrookhteh kickoff for 63 yds , Cameron Bates return for 25 yds to the BOIS 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dylan Riley run for 3 yds to the BOIS 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 44 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for no gain to the NEV 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Marcus Bellon run for 2 yds to the NEV 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marquis Ashley for 1 yd to the NEV 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 3 yds to the NEV 32

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BOIS 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.05

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 23 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.16

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 5 yards to the BOIS 42

2nd & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 2 yds to the BOIS 44

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 8 yds to the NEV 48

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Boise State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BOIS 47

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Sean Dollars run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 10

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Brendon Lewis run for 7 yds to the NEV 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for a loss of 3 yards to the NEV 14

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.32

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

0th & 7End of Half+72 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Kian Afrookhteh kickoff for 57 yds , Seth Knothe return for no gain to the BOIS 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 6

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

(14:22) MADSEN, Maddux pass to the right incomplete intended for CAPLES, Latrell thrown to the BSU21, clock 14:17. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on COBB, Keyshawn enforced 15 yards to the BSU21 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the BOIS 30

2nd & 1Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.32

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 38 yds to the NEV 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the NEV 28

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.41

Maddux Madsen run for 18 yds to the NEV 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the NEV 10

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Maddux Madsen run for 9 yds to the NEV 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Brendon Lewis run for 7 yds to the NEV 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt-7 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 43 yds , Latrell Caples returns for a loss of 7 yards to the BOIS 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 10 yds to the BOIS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 28

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(08:10) MADSEN, Maddux pass deep up the middle intercepted by CRAWFORD, Kitan at the BSU45 intended for PENRY, Chase. Crawford return for 23 yards to the BSU22 (HOLMES, Zach), clock 07:42. PENALTY NEV Pass Interference on COBB, Keyshawn enforced 15 yards to the BSU43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the BOIS 46

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 47

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 46 yds , Marquis Ashley returns for no gain to the NEV 7

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Sean Dollars run for 8 yds to the NEV 15

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Sean Dollars run for a loss of 2 yards to the NEV 13

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Boise State Penalty, Offsides (Braxton Fely) to the NEV 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 13 yds to the NEV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the NEV 33

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Caleb Ramseur run for 4 yds to the NEV 37

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Brendon Lewis run for 2 yds to the NEV 39

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 34 yds, downed at the BOIS 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 29

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the BOIS 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Marquis Ashley at the NEV 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 6 yds to the NEV 26

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.81

Sean Dollars run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+37 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 37 yds , Seth Knothe returns for no gain to the BOIS 38 , returns for no gain to the BOIS 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.20

Ashton Jeanty run for 31 yds to the NEV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the NEV 22

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.21

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the NEV 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Ashton Jeanty run for 9 yds to the NEV 10

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Jambres Dubar run for 2 yds to the NEV 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Maddux Madsen run for 6 yds to the NEV 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+48 yds

Jarrett Reeser kickoff for 46 yds , Ky Woods return for 48 yds to the BOIS 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 5 yds to the BOIS 28

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.81

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Nate Burleson II for 16 yds to the BOIS 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Nevada Penalty, False Start (Josiah Timoteo) to the BOIS 17

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.30

Brendon Lewis sacked by Max Stege for a loss of 8 yards to the BOIS 25

2nd & 23Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 6 yds to the BOIS 19

3rd & 17Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 16 yds to the BOIS 3

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.88

Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the BOIS 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -6.06

Sean Dollars run for 1 yd Sean Dollars fumbled, recovered by BOIS Jeremiah Earby J. Earby return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 21

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the BOIS 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the BOIS 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 35 yds, downed at the NEV 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.96

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marshaun Brown for 24 yds to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the BOIS 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.18

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 36 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Kian Afrookhteh kickoff for 9 yds , Tyler Crowe return for no gain to the NEV 44

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.09

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 5 yards to the NEV 49

2nd & 15Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.63

Ashton Jeanty run for 17 yds to the NEV 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Maddux Madsen run for 3 yds to the NEV 29

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Ashton Jeanty run for 10 yds to the NEV 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

(01:09) Kneel down by TEAM at NEV21 (team loss of 2), clock 01:03.

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

(00:27) Kneel down by TEAM at NEV22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
55%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
31 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
69%
16 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th