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← Back to GamesNov 3, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Colorado State by 6.1

Home Win Probability

Nevada 34%

Market (Bovada)

Nevada +2

Edge: Colorado State -2 (4.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 3, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
143111038
NevadaNevada
0071421

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-177-2814-2814-3521-3521-38
NevadaColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CSNEVCSNEVCSNEVCSNEVCSNEVCSNEVCSNEVCSNEVCSNEVCSNEVTD767ydPUNT735ydTD780ydPUNT535ydPUNT34ydPUNT36ydPUNT34ydPUNT33ydFG4-2ydDOWNS973ydEND14ydTO17ydFG828ydTD675ydPUNT836ydTD1295ydTD659ydTD1577ydFG826ydEND527yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Nevada
StatisticColorado StateNevada
Passing9-1620-28
Pass Yards153252
Rush Yards170189
Total Yards323441
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-133-11
Penalties4-406-37
Possession28:5831:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
rushing
Avery Morrow
18 CAR, 77 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Caleb Goodie
2 REC, 66 YDS
defense
Nevada
passing
Brendon Lewis
20/28, 252 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brendon Lewis
14 CAR, 109 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Cortez Braham
9 REC, 141 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 11 yds to the CSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 43 Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi fumbled, recovered by CSU Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi B. Fowler-Nicolosi return for 0 yds

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Avery Morrow run for no gain to the CSU 43

3rd & 11Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.98

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dane Olson for 41 yds to the NEV 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Avery Morrow run for 7 yds to the NEV 9

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the NEV 7

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.52

Avery Morrow run for 7 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 7 yds to the NEV 35

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Caleb Ramseur run for 4 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Caleb Ramseur run for 4 yds to the NEV 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.93

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marshaun Brown for 19 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Caleb Ramseur run for a loss of 5 yards to the CSU 42 Caleb Ramseur fumbled, recovered by NEV Caleb Ramseur C. Ramseur return for 1 yds

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brendon Lewis run for 5 yds to the CSU 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Andrew Madrigal punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Justin Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jamari Person for 12 yds to the CSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(05:26) MARSHALL, Justin rush to the right for a gain of 14 yards to the CSU45 (CRAWFORD, Kitan), clock 05:21. PENALTY CSU Holding on MORLEY, Tanner enforced 10 yards from the CSU31 to the CSU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Justin Marshall run for 4 yds to the CSU 25

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the CSU 28

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+55 ydsPPA +4.58

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 55 yds Caleb Goodie fumbled, recovered by CSU Dane Olson D. Olson return for 4 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the NEV 8

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.46

Justin Marshall run for 8 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.71

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 20 yds to the NEV 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.27

Brendon Lewis run for 16 yds to the CSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Caleb Ramseur run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 43

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the CSU 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for 3 yds to the CSU 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryan Hansen punt for 45 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for no gain to the NEV 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Savion Red run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 30

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Savion Red run for 2 yds to the NEV 32

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Nevada Penalty, False Start (Marcus Bellon) to the NEV 27

3rd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 10 yds to the NEV 37

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Justin Marshall run for no gain to the CSU 34

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 4 yds to the CSU 38

4th & 6Punt+18 yds

Bryan Hansen punt for 51 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for 18 yds to the NEV 3

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Sean Dollars run for 9 yds to the NEV 13

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Brendon Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NEV 12

3rd & 2Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.35

Savion Red run for a loss of 5 yards to the NEV 7

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Guy Gillespie punt for 34 yds, downed at the NEV 41

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(07:06) FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden pass deep to the right complete for 41 yards to BROWN II, Vince caught at the NEV24 and advanced to the NEV0, TOUCHDOWN CSU, score nullified by penalty, clock 06:58 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY CSU Holding on MORLEY, Tanner enforced 10 yards from the NEV41 to the CSU49 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the NEV 49

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for 6 yds to the NEV 43

4th & 12Field Goal Good+60 yds

Jordan Noyes 60 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Savion Red run for no gain to the NEV 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 4 yds to the NEV 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 12 yds to the NEV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +1.96

Brendon Lewis run for 34 yds to the CSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Brendon Lewis run for 17 yds to the CSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Savion Red run for 2 yds to the CSU 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Savion Red run for 4 yds to the CSU 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Savion Red run for no gain to the CSU 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justin Marshall run for 4 yds to the CSU 6

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -0.85

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 7 yds Marcus Bellon fumbled, recovered by CSU Gabe Kirschke G. Kirschke return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the NEV 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen Dupree run for 3 yds to the NEV 25

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the NEV 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 10 yds to the NEV 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dane Olson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Avery Morrow run for 3 yds to the NEV 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty+25 yds

NOYES, Jordan field goal attempt from 25 yards NO GOOD (right upright) [kick was spotted at NEV15], clock 11:33. PENALTY NEV Offsides on CRAWFORD, Kitan enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the NEV7 to the NEV3 [FG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Jordan Noyes 21 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Fumble Return Touchdown0 yds

Jace Bellah 0 Yd Fumble Return (Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi Pass to Jamari Person for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sean Dollars run for 2 yds to the NEV 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Sean Dollars run for 6 yds to the NEV 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Savion Red run for 4 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.00

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 57 yds to the CSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Savion Red run for 3 yds to the CSU 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Kian Afrookhteh kickoff for 65 yds , Kobe Johnson return for 28 yds to the CSU 28

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Justin Marshall run for 8 yds to the CSU 36

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the CSU 37

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Justin Marshall run for 2 yds to the CSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.91

Jalen Dupree run for 24 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the NEV 32

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for a loss of 4 yards to the NEV 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi punt for 31 yds, downed at the NEV 5

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

Nevada Penalty, False Start (Oliver Stuart) to the NEV 2

1st & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.60

Sean Dollars run for 15 yds to the NEV 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 12 yds to the NEV 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Brendon Lewis run for 16 yds to the NEV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Savion Red run for 4 yds to the NEV 49

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

(01:21) LEWIS, Brendon pass deep to the right intercepted by BLACKBURN, Henry at the CSU10 intended for SMITH, Jaden. Blackburn return for 0 yards to the CSU10, End of Play, clock 01:17. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on ESSISSIMA, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the CSU36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.96

Brendon Lewis sacked by Gabe Kirschke for a loss of 11 yards to the CSU 47

2nd & 21Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Brendon Lewis run for 7 yds to the CSU 40

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 9 yds to the CSU 31

4th & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 12 yds to the CSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Brendon Lewis run for 9 yds to the CSU 10

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the CSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Dollars run for 3 yds to the CSU 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Brendon Lewis run for 3 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.69

Justin Marshall run for 24 yds to the NEV 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the NEV 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Justin Marshall run for 2 yds to the NEV 28

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.59

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the NEV 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Justin Marshall run for 9 yds to the NEV 15

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Avery Morrow run for 15 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Bryan Hansen kickoff for 62 yds , Ky Woods return for 20 yds to the NEV 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 7 yds to the NEV 30

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the NEV 31

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.55

Sean Dollars run for 8 yds to the NEV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 6 yds to the NEV 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 10 yds to the CSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean Dollars run for 5 yds to the CSU 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 10 yds to the CSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Savion Red run for 7 yds to the CSU 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Savion Red for 1 yd to the CSU 22

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Savion Red run for no gain to the CSU 22

4th & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Sean Dollars run for 9 yds to the CSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.69

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jaden Smith for 13 yds for a TD (Kian Afrookhteh KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Nevada Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CSU 8

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Colorado State Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the NEV 48

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Matthew Killam kickoff for 8 yds , Jordan Noyes return for no gain to the NEV 43

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Avery Morrow run for 9 yds to the NEV 39

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the NEV 35

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the NEV 34

4th & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for 11 yds to the NEV 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the NEV 21

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Avery Morrow run for no gain to the NEV 21

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jalen Dupree run for 4 yds to the NEV 17

4th & 4Field Goal Good+35 yds

Jordan Noyes 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brendon Lewis run for 6 yds to the NEV 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Marshaun Brown for 6 yds to the NEV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Sean Dollars for 17 yds to the CSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

(00:25) LEWIS, Brendon pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to BROWN, Marshaun caught at the CSU41 and advanced to the CSU41 (VINCENT, Jett), clock 00:19. PENALTY NEV Face mask on WORLD, Isaiah enforced 15 yards from the CSU46 to the NEV39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Cortez Braham Jr. for 13 yds to the CSU 48

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
18 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
59%
27 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play