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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boise State by 27.1

Home Win Probability

Boise State 94%

Market (Bovada)

Boise State -24.5

Edge: Boise State -24.5 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
01001424
Boise StateBoise State
211471456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-028-028-335-1042-1049-1049-1756-1756-24
Boise StateSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSBSSDSBSSDSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSSDSBSPUNT33ydTD866ydPUNT715ydTD1075ydTD10ydTO3-10ydTD958ydFG852ydPUNT38ydTD565ydTD1375ydEND1-6ydTD975ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT618ydPUNT34ydTD1390ydTD1675ydTD875ydTD754ydEND1-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Boise State
StatisticSan Diego StateBoise State
Passing14-3026-34
Pass Yards155322
Rush Yards101219
Total Yards256541
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-149-13
Penalties5-424-37
Possession20:2839:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Danny O'Neil
14/30, 155 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Marquez Cooper
16 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Napier
8 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Boise State
passing
Maddux Madsen
24/32, 307 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Ashton Jeanty
31 CAR, 149 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Latrell Caples
6 REC, 90 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

San Diego State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSU 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 8 yds to the SDSU 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 15 yds to the BOIS 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the SDSU 43

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Crowe run for 3 yds to the SDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 11 yds to the SDSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Crowe run for 3 yds to the SDSU 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the SDSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 18 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 6 yds to the SDSU 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the SDSU 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 34

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.85

Trey White run for 4 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Ja'Shaun Poke for 2 yds to the SDSU 40

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Latrell Caples at the BOIS 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.24

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 13 yds to the BOIS 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(05:43) MADSEN, Maddux pass to the right complete for 26 yards to WAGNER, Matt caught at the BSU42 and advanced to the SDS30 (LOUIS, Marlem), clock 05:33. PENALTY BSU Holding on JEANTY, Ashton enforced 10 yards from the BSU44 to the BSU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ashton Jeanty run for 5 yds to the BOIS 39

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.97

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 16 yds to the SDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSU 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.44

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 11 yds to the SDSU 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the SDSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Wagner for 14 yds to the SDSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 19 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+35 ydsPPA -7.92

Danny O'Neil pass intercepted A'Marion McCoy return for 35 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Danny O'Neil sacked by Braxton Fely and Michael Callahan for a loss of 9 yards to the SDSU 16

2nd & 19Penalty-5 yds

San Diego State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSU 11

2nd & 24Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 4 yds to the SDSU 15

3rd & 20Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.36

Danny O'Neil pass intercepted Alexander Teubner return for no gain to the BOIS 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 45

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.44

Maddux Madsen run for 8 yds to the SDSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Ashton Jeanty run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.24

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 10 yds to the SDSU 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Ashton Jeanty for 15 yds to the SDSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 10 yds to the SDSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the SDSU 14

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.81

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Taren Schive kickoff for 37 yds , DJ Herman return for 12 yds to the SDSU 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Nate Bennett for 12 yds to the BOIS 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSU 49

3rd & 13Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.82

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 40 yds to the BOIS 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BOIS 8

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Marquez Cooper run for no gain to the BOIS 8

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Gabriel Plascencia 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 6 yds to the BOIS 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+14 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 46 yds , Mekhi Shaw returns for 14 yds to the SDSU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for no gain to the SDSU 35

2nd & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.59

Marquez Cooper run for 42 yds to the BOIS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.13

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 11 yds to the BOIS 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds to the BOIS 6

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Marquez Cooper run for 6 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Lauter for 8 yds to the BOIS 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the BOIS 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.57

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 9 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Cameron Camper for 16 yds to the SDSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Chase Penry for 8 yds to the SDSU 29

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

(02:50) JEANTY, Ashton rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the SDS25 (HERMAN, DJ), clock 02:45. PENALTY BSU Illegal Block in the Back on CAMPER, Cameron enforced 10 yards from the SDS29 to the SDS39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.54

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 16 yds to the SDSU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ashton Jeanty run for no gain to the SDSU 23

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(01:53) MADSEN, Maddux pass to the right incomplete intended for STRACHAN, Prince thrown to the SDS10; QB hurried by LETULI, Tano, clock 01:46. PENALTY BSU Holding on STEELE, Jake enforced 10 yards from the SDS23 to the SDS33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Austin Bolt for 18 yds to the SDSU 15

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Ashton Jeanty run for 1 yd to the SDSU 14

4th & 1Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.10

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 14 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Taren Schive kickoff for 38 yds , Michael Harrison return for 14 yds to the SDSU 41

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Danny O'Neil sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSU 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ashton Jeanty run for 8 yds to the BOIS 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Maddux Madsen run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.28

Ashton Jeanty run for 35 yds to the SDSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the SDSU 11

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the SDSU 8

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

Maddux Madsen run for 4 yds to the SDSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Danny O'Neil run for 4 yds to the SDSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.52

Danny O'Neil sacked by Jayden Virgin-Morgan and Ahmed Hassanein for a loss of 10 yards to the SDSU 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 79 yds, downed at the BOIS 2

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Ashton Jeanty run for 7 yds to the BOIS 9

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Ashton Jeanty run for 6 yds to the BOIS 15 Boise State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Cameron Camper) to the BOIS 7

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Latrell Caples for 12 yds to the BOIS 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 21

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.18

Maddux Madsen sacked by Krishna Clay and Tano Letuli for a loss of 1 yard to the BOIS 20

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 43 yds, downed at the SDSU 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the SDSU 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.84

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Marquez Cooper for a loss of 6 yards to the SDSU 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Pastula punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the BOIS 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ashton Jeanty run for 2 yds to the BOIS 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 3 yds to the BOIS 15

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.06

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Prince Strachan for 22 yds to the BOIS 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds to the BOIS 41

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BOIS 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Maddux Madsen pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.66

Marco Notarainni run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the SDSU 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Maddux Madsen pass complete to Matt Wagner for 9 yds to the SDSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Ashton Jeanty run for 12 yds to the SDSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Cameron Bates run for 9 yds to the SDSU 17

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.38

Ashton Jeanty run for 13 yds to the SDSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Ashton Jeanty run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Marquez Cooper run for 7 yds to the SDSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Marquez Cooper run for 1 yd to the SDSU 33

4th & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.24

Marquez Cooper run for 8 yds to the SDSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marquez Cooper run for 5 yds to the SDSU 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.26

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BOIS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BOIS 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

4th & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +3.26

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 10 yds to the BOIS 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Marquez Cooper run for 2 yds to the BOIS 33

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Marquez Cooper run for 3 yds to the BOIS 30

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.52

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Jordan Napier for 30 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

San Diego State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the BOIS 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tyler Crowe run for no gain to the BOIS 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Malachi Nelson pass complete to Cameron Bates for 11 yds to the SDSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Malachi Nelson pass complete to Tyler Crowe for 4 yds to the SDSU 45

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Dylan Riley run for 11 yds to the SDSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Dylan Riley run for 4 yds to the SDSU 30

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dylan Riley run for 5 yds to the SDSU 25

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

(04:02) NELSON, Malachi pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for PENRY, Chase broken up by NIMMO JR., William at the SDS0, clock 03:59. PENALTY SDS Pass Interference on NIMMO JR., William enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the SDS10 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyler Crowe run for 6 yds to the SDSU 4

2nd & 4Penalty+2 yds

(03:20) CROWE, Tyler rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the SDS2 (LETULI, Tano), clock 03:17. PENALTY Before the snap, SDS Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the SDS4 to the SDS2. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Tyler Crowe run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+46 yds

Taren Schive kickoff for 65 yds , Chris Johnson return for 46 yds to the SDSU 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Cam Davis run for 6 yds to the BOIS 48

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Cam Davis run for 1 yd to the BOIS 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Danny O'Neil pass incomplete

4th & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.10

Cam Davis run for 19 yds to the BOIS 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.26

Cam Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the BOIS 33

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Cam Davis run for 3 yds to the BOIS 30

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +4.35

Danny O'Neil pass complete to Mekhi Shaw for 30 yds for a TD (Gabriel Plascencia KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Dylan Riley run for a loss of 4 yards to the BOIS 21

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
49%
35 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
71%
7 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays