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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 3.5

Home Win Probability

Wyoming 38%

Market (Bovada)

Wyoming +4

Edge: Wyoming +4 (0.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
0130619
WyomingWyoming
70141031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-37-107-1314-1321-1324-1331-19
WyomingAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYODOWNS721ydTD646ydPUNT37ydPUNT33ydFG1272ydPUNT618ydTD981ydPUNT622ydFG954ydEND1-1ydTD776ydPUNT518ydTD1194ydPUNT33ydFG1361ydTD775ydTD975ydDOWNS617ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Wyoming
StatisticAir ForceWyoming
Passing6-1316-22
Pass Yards115188
Rush Yards205173
Total Yards320361
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-127-14
Penalties4-353-33
Possession28:3231:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
John Busha
6/13, 115 YDS
rushing
Aiden Calvert
3 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cade Harris
5 REC, 106 YDS
defense
Wyoming
passing
Evan Svoboda
15/21, 165 YDS
rushing
Sam Scott
19 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chris Durr Jr.
3 REC, 71 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

John Busha run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

John Busha pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

John Busha run for 7 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kemper Hodges run for 2 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kemper Hodges run for 3 yds to the AFA 42

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

John Busha run for 2 yds to the AFA 44

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Kemper Hodges run for 2 yds to the AFA 46

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.75

Sam Scott run for 17 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Evan Svoboda run for 3 yds to the AFA 26

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

SVOBODA, Evan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for PELISSIER, Will thrown to the AFA0. PENALTY AFA Offsides on ZDROIK, Payton enforced 5 yards from the AFA26 to the AFA21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the AFA 20

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Evan Svoboda run for 12 yds to the AFA 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Sam Scott run for 8 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Kade Frew run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 21

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Cade Harris run for 10 yds to the AFA 31

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

John Busha run for 1 yd to the AFA 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the WYO 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 62 yds , Brandon Engel returns for 2 yds to the AFA 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

John Busha run for 4 yds to the AFA 21

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Aiden Calvert run for 7 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Dylan Carson run for 15 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

John Busha run for 3 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kemper Hodges run for 5 yds to the WYO 49

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Kemper Hodges run for 5 yds to the WYO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.09

John Busha run for a loss of 5 yards to the WYO 49

2nd & 15Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.93

John Busha pass complete to Cade Harris for 33 yds to the WYO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

John Busha run for 2 yds to the WYO 14

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

John Busha run for no gain to the WYO 16

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

John Busha pass complete to Cade Harris for 5 yds to the WYO 11

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Matthew Dapore 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Justin Stevenson for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 22

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler King run for a loss of 1 yard to the WYO 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.61

Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 20 yds to the WYO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the WYO 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.75

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Tyler King for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Brandon Engel at the AFA 19

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Kade Frew run for 9 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Kade Frew run for 9 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.58

John Busha run for 12 yds to the WYO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.04

John Busha pass complete to Cade Harris for 23 yds to the WYO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kemper Hodges run for 4 yds to the WYO 22

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Dylan Carson run for 7 yds to the WYO 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

John Busha run for 6 yds to the WYO 9

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

QB Keeper BUSHA, John rush to the left for a loss of 5 yards to the WYO14 (SHAY, Connor). PENALTY Before the snap, WYO Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the WYO9 to the WYO4 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Kade Frew run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds , Tyler King return for 14 yds to the WYO 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the WYO 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.23

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for no gain to the WYO 15

3rd & 9Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.87

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Will Pelissier for 29 yds to the WYO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Evan Svoboda run for 2 yds to the WYO 46

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Will Pelissier for 3 yds Will Pelissier fumbled, recovered by WYO

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -1.83

run for a loss of 13 yards to the WYO 36 fumbled, recovered by WYO Evan Svoboda E. Svoboda return for 0 yds

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 28 yds, downed at the AFA 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Cade Harris run for 6 yds to the AFA 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

John Busha run for 2 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Dylan Carson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.79

John Busha pass complete to Cade Harris for 24 yds to the WYO 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Cade Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 16

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

John Busha pass complete to Quin Smith for 9 yds to the WYO 7

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

John Busha run for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 10

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Matthew Dapore 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

[NH] Kneel down by SVOBODA, Evan at WYO24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds , Tyler King return for 24 yds to the WYO 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Evan Svoboda run for 4 yds to the WYO 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.07

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 32 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.99

Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 33 yds to the AFA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Evan Svoboda run for 2 yds to the AFA 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 4 yds to the AFA 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Evan Svoboda run for no gain to the AFA 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Evan Svoboda run for 1 yd for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kade Frew run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

John Busha run for 11 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

John Busha pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

John Busha run for 5 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

John Busha pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 51 yds, downed at the WYO 6

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.62

Sam Scott run for 16 yds to the WYO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 16 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the WYO 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.87

Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 13 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

SVOBODA, Evan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BROWN, Alex thrown to the AFA28. PENALTY AFA Holding on BELLAMY, Jamari enforced 10 yards from the AFA47 to the AFA37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jamari Ferrell run for 2 yds to the AFA 35

2nd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.91

Evan Svoboda run for 22 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.58

Sam Scott run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 17

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.63

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Tyler King for 13 yds to the AFA 4

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.02

Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the AFA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Tyler King run for 3 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kade Frew run for 2 yds to the AFA 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

John Busha pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 39 yds, downed at the WYO 33

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Jamari Ferrell for a loss of 3 yards to the WYO 30

2nd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.50

Jamari Ferrell run for 15 yds to the WYO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Evan Svoboda run for 3 yds to the WYO 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 7 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 4 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Sam Scott run for 15 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the AFA 21

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Sam Scott run for 9 yds to the AFA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Evan Svoboda run for 4 yds to the AFA 8

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Kaden Anderson run for 1 yd to the AFA 7

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Sam Scott run for 1 yd to the AFA 6

4th & 4Field Goal Good+23 yds

John Hoyland 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Cade Harris run for 2 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Air Force Penalty, False Start (Alex Moore) to the AFA 24

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Wyoming Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Bertagnole) to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.42

Kade Frew run for 30 yds to the WYO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

John Busha pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

John Busha run for 1 yd to the WYO 37

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.65

Aiden Calvert run for 37 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the WYO 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Evan Svoboda run for no gain to the WYO 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.07

Kaden Anderson pass complete to Chris Durr Jr. for 23 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jamari Ferrell run for 3 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sam Scott run for no gain to the AFA 39

4th & 3Penalty+15 yds

CULBREATH, Jack punt 29 yards to the AFA10 downed by MERRITT, Caleb. PENALTY AFA Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the AFA39 to the AFA24 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sam Scott run for 5 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the AFA 17

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Evan Svoboda run for 17 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Aiden Calvert run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.83

John Busha pass complete to Cade Harris for 21 yds to the WYO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.25

John Busha sacked by Tyce Westland and Sabastian Harsh for a loss of 12 yards to the AFA 44

2nd & 22Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

John Busha run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 42

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

John Busha pass incomplete

4th & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.30

John Busha pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

[NH] Kneel down by SVOBODA, Evan at AFA43 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

[NH] Kneel down by SVOBODA, Evan at AFA45 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
26 plays
2nd
25%
8 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays