Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Texas by 12

Home Win Probability

North Texas 76%

Market (Bovada)

North Texas -6.5

Edge: North Texas -6.5 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WyomingWyoming
3140017
North TexasNorth Texas
72014344

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-310-317-317-1027-1841-1744-17
North TexasWyoming

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WYONTWYONTWYONTWYONTNTNTWYONTWYONTWYONTWYONTWYONTWYONTFG1162ydTD775ydPUNT616ydFG1480ydDOWNS856ydTD875ydTD875ydTD776ydFG848ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-9ydTD635ydPUNT34ydTD792ydPUNT30ydPUNT58ydDOWNS1153ydPUNT418ydPUNT32ydFG720ydPUNT410ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wyoming and North Texas
StatisticWyomingNorth Texas
Passing15-2830-43
Pass Yards175318
Rush Yards69216
Total Yards244534
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-144-14
Penalties4-348-70
Possession28:1331:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wyoming
passing
Evan Svoboda
11/23, 155 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Sam Scott
11 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
defense
North Texas
passing
Chandler Morris
28/41, 305 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Shane Porter
13 CAR, 120 YDS
receiving
DT Sheffield
8 REC, 109 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

DJ Jones run for no gain to the WYO 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

DJ Jones run for 3 yds to the WYO 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Devin Boddie Jr. for 13 yds to the WYO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Sam Scott run for 7 yds to the WYO 48

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the UNT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.99

Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 31 yds to the UNT 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

DJ Jones run for 2 yds to the UNT 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 yds

John Hoyland 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Shane Porter run for 3 yds to the UNT 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 6 yds to the UNT 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.81

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 24 yds to the WYO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the WYO 40

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Chandler Morris run for 11 yds to the WYO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 29 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(07:17) FERRELL, Jamari rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the WYO26 (VAILEA, Fatafehi;BROWN, Chavez), clock 07:14. PENALTY WYO Holding on BARNETT, Caden enforced 10 yards from the WYO25 to the WYO15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.13

Evan Svoboda pass complete to DJ Jones for 9 yds to the WYO 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for 11 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Evan Svoboda run for 6 yds to the WYO 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sam Scott run for no gain to the WYO 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+43 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 43 yds , DT Sheffield returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 15

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.14

Shane Porter run for 40 yds to the WYO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.81

Chandler Morris run for a loss of 4 yards to the WYO 49

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Chandler Morris pass complete to Nick Rempert for 8 yds to the WYO 41

4th & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.72

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 6 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Chandler Morris pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 7 yds to the WYO 28

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.83

Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for no gain to the WYO 28

4th & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.47

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 7 yds to the WYO 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 11 yds to the WYO 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Shane Porter run for 4 yds to the WYO 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Shane Porter run for 1 yd to the WYO 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Kali Nguma 23 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Blake Ford kickoff for 65 yds , Tyler King return for 19 yds to the WYO 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(13:55) JONES, D.J. rush to the right for a gain of 4 yards to the WYO23 (SMITH, Jaylen;RUDER, Jace), clock 13:50. PENALTY UNT Face mask on BROWN, Jordan enforced 15 yards from the WYO23 to the WYO38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the WYO 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.26

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Tyler King for 14 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DJ Jones run for 5 yds to the UNT 37

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

North Texas Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the UNT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Evan Svoboda run for 5 yds to the UNT 27

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Evan Svoboda run for 1 yd to the UNT 26

4th & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -2.94

Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 1 yd to the UNT 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Chandler Morris pass complete to Oscar Hammond for 17 yds to the UNT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for a loss of 2 yards to the UNT 40

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.56

Chandler Morris run for 14 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 8 yds to the WYO 38

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.02

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 8 yds to the WYO 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Chandler Morris pass complete to Nick Rempert for 11 yds to the WYO 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Chandler Morris pass complete to Nick Rempert for no gain to the WYO 19

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.97

Chandler Morris pass complete to Blair Conwright for 19 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jamari Ferrell run for 6 yds to the WYO 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 5 yds to the WYO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

DJ Jones run for 1 yd to the WYO 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.71

Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 11 yds to the WYO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Sam Scott run for 3 yds to the UNT 49

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.17

Evan Svoboda run for 8 yds to the UNT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Evan Svoboda pass complete to Sam Scott for 41 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

John Hoyland kickoff for 65 yds , DT Sheffield return for 24 yds to the UNT 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Shane Porter run for 3 yds to the UNT 27

2nd & 7Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.29

Shane Porter run for 19 yds to the WYO 46 for a 1ST down Wyoming Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Devin Boddie Jr.) to the WYO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.58

Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 24 yds to the WYO 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chandler Morris pass complete to Nick Rempert for 6 yds to the WYO 9

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

(01:25) MORRIS, Chandler pass to the left incomplete intended for CARNES, Dalton broken up by PARKS, Keany at the WYO0, clock 01:23. PENALTY WYO Offsides on HARSH, Sabastian enforced 5 yards from the WYO9 to the WYO4 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Makenzie McGill run for 4 yds for a TD (Kali Nguma KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Tyler King 100 Yd Kickoff Return (John Hoyland Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 8 yds to the UNT 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Shane Porter run for 6 yds to the UNT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 10 yds to the UNT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 8 yds to the WYO 43

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Makenzie McGill run for 1 yd to the WYO 42

4th & 1Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.40

Chandler Morris pass complete to DT Sheffield for 15 yds to the WYO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+45 yds

Kali Nguma 45 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 4 yds to the UNT 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler King at the WYO 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the WYO 38

2nd & 4Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.05

Tyrecus Davis run for a loss of 10 yards to the WYO 28

3rd & 14Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.19

Evan Svoboda sacked by Breylon Charles for a loss of 5 yards to the WYO 23

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 12 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Shane Porter run for 1 yd to the WYO 34

2nd & 9Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.18

Shane Porter run for 26 yds to the WYO 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty+4 yds

(11:18) PORTER, Shane rush up the middle for no gain to the WYO8 (SHAY, Connor), clock 11:15. PENALTY WYO Face mask on HARSH, Sabastian enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the WYO8 to the WYO4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Shane Porter run for 2 yds to the WYO 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Shane Porter run for no gain to the WYO 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

M. McGill run for 2 yds for a TD (K. Nguma KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Blake Ford kickoff for 41 yds , Isaac Schoenfeld return for 11 yds to the WYO 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Evan Svoboda run for 4 yds to the WYO 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 53 yds, downed at the UNT 8

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.64

Makenzie McGill run for 15 yds to the UNT 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.86

Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 34 yds to the WYO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 2 yds to the WYO 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Chandler Morris pass complete to Landon Sides for 10 yds to the WYO 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(06:41) MORRIS, Chandler pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CARNES, Dalton thrown to the WYO5, clock 06:37. PENALTY UNT Holding on MOORE III, Larry enforced 10 yards from the WYO31 to the WYO41 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chandler Morris pass complete to Shane Porter for 4 yds to the WYO 37

2nd & 16Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.38

Shane Porter run for 13 yds to the WYO 24

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.09

M. McGill run for 24 yds for a TD (K. Nguma KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jamari Ferrell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WYO 23

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Sam Scott run for 2 yds to the WYO 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 50 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 11 yds to the UNT 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Chandler Morris run for 1 yd to the UNT 37

2nd & 9Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.16

Kiefer Sibley run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(02:24) MORRIS, Chandler pass deep to the right complete for 18 yards to SHEFFIELD, DT caught at the WYO32 and advanced to the WYO32, out of bounds, clock 02:20. PENALTY UNT Holding on MOORE III, Larry enforced 10 yards from the UNT50 to the UNT40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kiefer Sibley run for 4 yds to the UNT 44

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler King at the WYO 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

DJ Jones run for 4 yds to the WYO 17

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

North Texas Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jace Ruder) to the WYO 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Evan Svoboda pass complete to DJ Jones for 11 yds to the WYO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Sam Scott run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Evan Svoboda run for 3 yds to the UNT 47

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.26

Sam Scott run for 4 yds to the UNT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Evan Svoboda pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Sam Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNT 44

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Evan Svoboda pass complete to John Michael Gyllenborg for 8 yds to the UNT 36

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.16

Evan Svoboda run for 2 yds to the UNT 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.86

Chandler Morris pass complete to Dalton Carnes for 21 yds to the WYO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Chandler Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.31

Makenzie McGill run for a loss of 8 yards to the UNT 47

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

North Texas Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UNT 42

3rd & 23Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Kiefer Sibley run for 10 yds to the WYO 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Sawyer Evans punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

DJ Jones run for 2 yds to the WYO 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kaden Anderson pass complete to Nick Miles for no gain to the WYO 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.17

Kaden Anderson pass complete to Sam Scott for no gain to the WYO 22

4th & 8Punt+20 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 34 yds , DT Sheffield returns for 20 yds to the WYO 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Kiefer Sibley run for no gain to the WYO 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Blair Conwright for 7 yds to the WYO 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Drew Mestemaker pass complete to Nick Rempert for 6 yds to the WYO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Texas Penalty, False Start (Larry Moore III) to the WYO 28

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kiefer Sibley run for 2 yds to the WYO 26

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kiefer Sibley run for 5 yds to the WYO 21

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kiefer Sibley run for 5 yds to the WYO 16

4th & 3Field Goal Good+34 yds

Kali Nguma 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Kaden Anderson pass complete to Jaylen Sargent for 10 yds to the WYO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.94

Jamari Ferrell run for a loss of 10 yards to the WYO 25

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Kaden Anderson pass complete to Justin Stevenson for 10 yds to the WYO 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaden Anderson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jack Culbreath punt for 40 yds, fair catch by DT Sheffield at the UNT 25

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

(00:49) [NH] Kneel down by MESTEMAKER, Drew at UNT23 (team loss of 2), clock 00:38.

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

(00:24) [NH] Kneel down by MESTEMAKER, Drew at UNT22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

North Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
52%
29 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
64%
11 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play