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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Colorado State by 20.4

Home Win Probability

Colorado State 87%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Colorado State -31

Edge: Northern Colorado +31 (10.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Colorado
707317
Colorado StateColorado State
10147738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-724-724-1431-1438-17
Colorado StateNorthern Colorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCNCCSNCCSNCCSNCCSNCCSNCCSNCCSNCCSNCCSNCCSNCCSNCTD35ydPUNT615ydFG784ydPUNT527ydTO423ydTD433ydTD1075ydDOWNS733ydTD1458ydEND14ydPUNT30ydTD578ydPUNT39ydPUNT34ydTD380ydPUNT825ydPUNT37ydPUNT39ydPUNT1046ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydFG946ydTD744ydEND319yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Colorado and Colorado State
StatisticNorthern ColoradoColorado State
Passing12-2317-26
Pass Yards191180
Rush Yards107246
Total Yards298426
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-157-14
Penalties2-171-7
Possession27:5432:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Colorado
passing
Peter Costelli
11/22, 187 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Peter Costelli
10 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Brayden Munroe
3 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Colorado State
passing
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi
17/26, 180 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Keegan Holles
10 CAR, 89 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caleb Goodie
3 REC, 52 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the UNCO 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Peter Costelli pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 4 yds to the UNCO 30

4th & 5Punt+78 yds

Hunter Green punt for 48 yds , Tory Horton returns for 78 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Bryan Hansen kickoff for 58 yds , Justin Guin return for 23 yds to the UNCO 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Peter Costelli run for 3 yds to the UNCO 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.10

Peter Costelli run for 8 yds to the UNCO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Darius Stewart run for 2 yds to the UNCO 43

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Darius Stewart run for 2 yds to the UNCO 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 41 yds, downed at the CSU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.29

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 30 yds to the CSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 12 yds to the UNCO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +2.20

Justin Marshall run for 42 yds to the UNCO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Justin Marshall run for no gain to the UNCO 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Marshall run for no gain to the UNCO 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Jordan Noyes 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Vann Schield run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.96

Peter Costelli pass complete to Cash Cheeks for 25 yds to the UNCO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the CSU 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the CSU 45

3rd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Vann Schield run for a loss of 3 yards to the CSU 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tory Horton at the CSU 10

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.27

Tory Horton run for 22 yds to the CSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 5 yds to the CSU 37

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.46

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by Michael Jordan Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the CSU 33

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.12

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justin Marshall for no gain Justin Marshall fumbled, recovered by UNCO Sam Iongi-Amituanai S. Iongi-Amituanai return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Darius Stewart run for 3 yds to the CSU 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Peter Costelli pass complete to Charles Garrison for 14 yds to the CSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

COSTELLI, Peter pass to the right incomplete intended for MUNROE, Brayden thrown to the CSU9, clock 00:50. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on MORRIS, Dominic enforced at the spot of the foul for 7 yards to the CSU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Fisher Clements 9 Yd pass from Peter Costelli (Hunter Green Kick)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Keegan Holles run for 18 yds to the CSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Keegan Holles run for 16 yds to the UNCO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Keegan Holles run for 7 yds to the UNCO 34

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.01

Keegan Holles run for 5 yds to the UNCO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the UNCO 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.39

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 10 yds to the UNCO 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Marshall run for 5 yds to the UNCO 11

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Marshall run for no gain to the UNCO 11

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.65

Keegan Holles run for 9 yds to the UNCO 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Vann Schield run for 2 yds to the UNCO 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Peter Costelli run for 1 yd to the UNCO 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.09

Peter Costelli pass complete to Charles Garrison for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

David Afari run for 2 yds to the CSU 48

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Peter Costelli run for 1 yd to the CSU 47

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

David Afari run for 5 yds to the CSU 42

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.71

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 2 yds to the CSU 44

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Marshall run for 3 yds to the CSU 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.40

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dylan Goffney for 12 yds to the UNCO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Keegan Holles run for 9 yds to the UNCO 32

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Keegan Holles run for 9 yds to the UNCO 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Keegan Holles run for 8 yds to the UNCO 15

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.33

Damian Henderson II run for 4 yds to the UNCO 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Peter Montini for 1 yd to the UNCO 10

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Damian Henderson II run for 8 yds to the UNCO 2

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.52

Damian Henderson II run for 1 yd to the UNCO 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Damian Henderson II run for no gain to the UNCO 1

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Damian Henderson II run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNCO 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Keegan Holles run for 4 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Bryan Hansen kickoff for 56 yds , Kobe Kossak return for no gain to the UNCO 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UNCO 13

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Brayden Munroe at the UNCO 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Vann Schield run for 5 yds to the UNCO 27

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Peter Costelli run for 4 yds to the UNCO 31

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.14

Darius Stewart run for 5 yds to the UNCO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Peter Costelli pass complete to Kobe Kossak for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Peter Costelli pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 50 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Hunter Green kickoff for 65 yds , Kobe Johnson return for 17 yds to the CSU 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Keegan Holles run for 4 yds to the CSU 21

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Justin Marshall run for 5 yds to the CSU 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Justin Marshall run for no gain to the CSU 26

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 45 yds, downed at the UNCO 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UNCO 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 67 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.62

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Tory Horton for 31 yds to the UNCO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Justin Marshall run for 9 yds to the UNCO 40

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +2.70

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 40 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Vann Schield run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 24

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Peter Costelli run for 8 yds to the UNCO 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Peter Costelli run for 6 yds to the UNCO 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Peter Costelli pass complete to Jordan Riles for 11 yds to the UNCO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 32 yds, downed at the CSU 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Damian Henderson II run for no gain to the CSU 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Damian Henderson II for 7 yds to the CSU 25

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Darius Stewart run for 3 yds to the UNCO 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darius Stewart run for 5 yds to the UNCO 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Peter Costelli pass complete to Darius Stewart for 1 yd to the UNCO 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 59 yds, downed at the CSU 12

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Caleb Goodie run for 6 yds to the CSU 18

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.87

Damian Henderson II run for 6 yds to the CSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Damian Henderson II run for 22 yds to the CSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Damian Henderson II for 6 yds to the UNCO 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jamari Person for 3 yds to the UNCO 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.82

Kobe Johnson run for 1 yd to the UNCO 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Kobe Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Kobe Johnson for 4 yds to the UNCO 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi punt for 38 yds, downed at the UNCO 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Vann Schield run for 2 yds to the UNCO 4

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Vann Schield run for 7 yds to the UNCO 11

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Peter Costelli run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 9

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kobe Johnson run for no gain to the CSU 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Kobe Johnson for no gain to the CSU 40

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brayden Munroe at the UNCO 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.65

Peter Costelli pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 32 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

David Afari run for 4 yds to the CSU 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Peter Costelli pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Peter Costelli pass complete to Kobe Kossak for 5 yds to the CSU 41

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.86

Hank Gibbs run for 1 yd to the CSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the CSU 39

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Peter Costelli run for 6 yds to the CSU 33

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.66

Peter Costelli run for a loss of 3 yards to the CSU 36

4th & 6Field Goal Good+53 yds

Hunter Green 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the UNCO 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jamari Person for 11 yds to the UNCO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Avery Morrow run for 11 yds to the UNCO 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Avery Morrow run for 6 yds to the UNCO 12

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jamari Person for 6 yds to the UNCO 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNCO 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Avery Morrow run for 8 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Bryan Hansen kickoff for 58 yds , Justin Guin return for 13 yds to the UNCO 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jonah Chong run for 1 yd to the UNCO 21

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Jonah Chong run for 14 yds to the UNCO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jonah Chong pass complete to Charles Garrison for 4 yds to the UNCO 39

Situational Analysis

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
24 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
38%
13 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
63%
27 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th