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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2024Week 2
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 1.8

Home Win Probability

Air Force 54%

Market (Bovada)

Air Force -3

Edge: San José State +3 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San José StateSan José State
1400317
Air ForceAir Force
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-77-147-17
Air ForceSan José State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSAFSJSTD875ydPUNT515ydTO315ydTD414ydTD475ydPUNT33ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT619ydPUNT522ydPUNT37ydDOWNS47ydPUNT3-9ydDOWNS929ydEND1-6ydPUNT717ydPUNT738ydPUNT616ydPUNT31ydPUNT610ydFG1263ydTO419ydPUNT613ydTO10ydPUNT30ydDOWNS628ydEND3-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San José State and Air Force
StatisticSan José StateAir Force
Passing17-337-20
Pass Yards26254
Rush Yards50143
Total Yards312197
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-163-16
Penalties5-476-52
Possession30:3729:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San José State
passing
Emmett Brown
17/32, 262 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Floyd Chalk IV
15 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Nick Nash
7 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Jordan Pollard
1 TFL, 1 PD
Air Force
passing
John Busha
7/20, 54 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Cade Harris
8 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Quin Smith
3 REC, 36 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Floyd Chalk IV run for 4 yds to the SJSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 20 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Emmett Brown pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 6 yds to the AFA 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 17 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Floyd Chalk IV run for 7 yds to the AFA 18

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 18 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Aiden Calvert run for 7 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Aiden Calvert run for 3 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Aiden Calvert run for 2 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

John Busha pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

John Busha pass complete to Cade Harris for 3 yds to the AFA 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 20 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSU 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.60

Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 16 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-41 yds

San José State Penalty, Personal Foul (-41 Yards) to the SJSU 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Aiden Calvert run for no gain to the SJSU 14

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Air Force Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSU 19

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

John Busha run for 8 yds to the SJSU 11

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cade Harris run for 5 yds to the SJSU 6

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.93

Cade Harris run for 6 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Air Force Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SJSU 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jabari Bates run for 1 yd to the SJSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+12 yds

BROWN, Emmett pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LOCKHART, Justin thrown to the SJS45. PENALTY AF Pass Interference on BELLAMY, Jamari enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the SJS38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jabari Bates run for 4 yds to the SJSU 42

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +5.12

Emmett Brown pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 58 yds for a TD (Kyler Halvorsen KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Aiden Calvert run for 3 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Roman Bradley run for no gain to the AFA 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

John Busha pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 72 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Emmett Brown run for no gain to the SJSU 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 54 yds, downed at the AFA 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaden Cloud run for 4 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Air Force Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the AFA 24

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.19

run for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 17 fumbled, recovered by AFA John Busha J. Busha return for 0 yds

4th & 19Punt0 yds

punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Emmett Brown run for 5 yds to the SJSU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Walker Eget pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 15 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the AFA 48

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

CLOUD, Kaden rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the AF50 (LATU, Taniela;POLLARD, Jordan). PENALTY AF Personal Foul on LAWRENCE, Tyler enforced 15 yards from the AF48 to the AF33. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 22Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Cade Harris run for no gain to the AFA 33

3rd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Roman Bradley run for 3 yds to the AFA 36

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 42 yds, downed at the SJSU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 17 yds to the SJSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Floyd Chalk IV run for 5 yds to the SJSU 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 12 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -1.87

Emmett Brown sacked by Lincoln Tuioti-Mariner for a loss of 15 yards to the SJSU 41

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Brandon Engel at the AFA 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Cade Harris run for 4 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Cade Harris run for 13 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

John Busha pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Rocco Conti run for 5 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

John Busha pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Matthew Coleman at the SJSU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 7 yds to the SJSU 24

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Brandon Engel at the AFA 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Owen Allen run for 6 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the AFA 31

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the AFA 32

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.13

John Busha run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 30

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.19

Jacob Stewart run for a loss of 9 yards to the AFA 39

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Dino Beslagic punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Rocco Conti run for 6 yds to the AFA 26

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Cade Harris run for 8 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

John Busha pass complete to Quin Smith for 8 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.08

Rocco Conti run for 1 yd to the AFA 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Roman Bradley run for 3 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

John Busha pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Roman Bradley run for 2 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

John Busha run for 6 yds to the SJSU 46

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -1.34

John Busha run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 49 John Busha fumbled, recovered by AFA John Busha J. Busha return for 0 yds

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Emmett Brown sacked by Payton Zdroik for a loss of 6 yards to the SJSU 45

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Aiden Calvert run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Roman Bradley run for 2 yds to the AFA 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

John Busha pass complete to Brandon Engel for 6 yds to the AFA 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

John Busha run for 2 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Roman Bradley run for 2 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

John Busha run for 3 yds to the AFA 41

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Cade Harris run for 1 yd to the AFA 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Floyd Chalk IV run for 5 yds to the SJSU 19

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Floyd Chalk IV run for 11 yds to the SJSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Emmett Brown run for 6 yds to the SJSU 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.56

Emmett Brown pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 15 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Floyd Chalk IV run for no gain to the AFA 49

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Lamar Radcliffe run for 1 yd to the AFA 48

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Dino Beslagic punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Roman Bradley run for 4 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Roman Bradley run for 5 yds to the AFA 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

John Busha run for 3 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Roman Bradley run for 1 yd to the AFA 33

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Roman Bradley run for 4 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Aiden Calvert run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Freer punt for 60 yds, downed at the SJSU 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 7

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Floyd Chalk IV run for 1 yd to the SJSU 5

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Brandon Engel at the AFA 43

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Roman Bradley run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Aiden Calvert run for 2 yds to the SJSU 48

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.91

John Busha run for 1 yd to the SJSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

John Busha pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

John Busha pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

John Busha pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the SJSU 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 6 yds to the SJSU 28

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 4 yds to the SJSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Emmett Brown pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 19 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Emmett Brown pass complete to Nick Nash for 6 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

BROWN, Emmett pass short to the right complete for 8 yards to MACALUSO, Sebastian caught at the AF38 and advanced to the AF35 (GOFF, Camby). PENALTY SJS Pass Interference on LOCKHART, Justin enforced 15 yards to the SJS42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Emmett Brown pass complete to Floyd Chalk IV for 7 yds to the SJSU 49

3rd & 12Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.51

Emmett Brown pass complete to Jackson Canaan for 24 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Emmett Brown pass complete to Jacob Stewart for 10 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jabari Bates run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 19

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Emmett Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

San José State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Floyd Chalk IV) to the AFA 24

3rd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Emmett Brown run for 7 yds to the AFA 17

4th & 10Field Goal Good+34 yds

Kyler Halvorsen 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Roman Bradley run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Cade Harris run for 13 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Roman Bradley run for 7 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.66

John Busha pass intercepted Robert Rahimi return for no gain to the SJSU 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jabari Bates run for 1 yd to the SJSU 26

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Emmett Brown run for 8 yds to the SJSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Floyd Chalk IV run for 3 yds to the SJSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CHALK, Floyd rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the SJS40 (AIHIE, Osaro;GOFF, Camby). PENALTY SJS Holding on NOMANI, Sione enforced 10 yards from the SJS37 to the SJS27 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jabari Bates run for 4 yds to the SJSU 31

2nd & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Jabari Bates run for 7 yds to the SJSU 38

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jabari Bates run for no gain to the SJSU 38

4th & 9Punt+11 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 42 yds , Brandon Engel returns for 11 yds to the AFA 31

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.39

John Busha pass intercepted Jordan Cobbs return for no gain to the AFA 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.92

Floyd Chalk IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 47

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Floyd Chalk IV run for 2 yds to the AFA 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trent Carrizosa punt for 39 yds, downed at the AFA 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

John Busha pass complete to Quin Smith for 6 yds to the AFA 12

2nd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.37

John Busha pass complete to Quin Smith for 22 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

John Busha pass complete to Tre Roberson for 5 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

John Busha pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Air Force Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the AFA 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

John Busha pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.18

John Busha pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

[SG] Kneel down by SJS at AF36 (team loss of 2).

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

[SG] Kneel down by SJS at AF38 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

[SG] Kneel down by SJS at AF39 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
4th

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
13%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play