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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 15.8

Home Win Probability

Air Force 82%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Air Force -30.5

Edge: Merrimack +30.5 (14.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Merrimack
00066
Air ForceAir Force
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-021-6
Air ForceMerrimack

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MERAFMERAFMERAFMERAFAFMERAFMERAFMERAFMERAFMERAFMERAFMERTO429ydTD1338ydPUNT3-9ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS45ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydPUNT823ydMISS42ydMISS861ydTD1180ydEND18ydPUNT33ydPUNT52ydPUNT31ydPUNT923ydPUNT1053ydTO39ydTD614ydPUNT35ydPUNT525ydTD1550yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Merrimack and Air Force
StatisticMerrimackAir Force
Passing17-306-14
Pass Yards10371
Rush Yards114166
Total Yards217237
Turnovers30
3rd Down3-157-17
Penalties11-883-35
Possession26:5633:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Merrimack
passing
Malakai Anthony
14/21, 74 YDS
rushing
Jermaine Corbett
8 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Jalen McDonald
5 REC, 39 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
John Busha
6/14, 71 YDS
rushing
Owen Allen
16 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Aiden Calvert
1 REC, 21 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 65 yds , Donovan Wadley return for no gain to the MRMK 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Malakai Anthony run for 3 yds to the MRMK 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 4 yds to the MRMK 16

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jermaine Corbett run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRMK 13

4th & 6Penalty+15 yds

PETERSON, Cole punt 45 yards to the AF42, fair catch by HARRIS, Cade. PENALTY AF Personal Foul on BREIER, Cameron enforced 15 yards from the MC13 to the MC28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -1.14

Gavin McCusker run for 10 yds to the MRMK 38 Gavin McCusker fumbled, recovered by AFA Grant Uyl G. Uyl return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Dylan Carson run for 1 yd to the MRMK 37

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Dylan Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRMK 38 Dylan Carson fumbled, recovered by AFA Dylan Carson D. Carson return for 0 yds

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

John Busha pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +3.15

John Busha pass complete to Quin Smith for 12 yds to the MRMK 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the MRMK 22

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dylan Carson run for 4 yds to the MRMK 18

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the MRMK 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Merrimack Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the MRMK 11

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the MRMK 9

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Dylan Carson run for 2 yds to the MRMK 7

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

John Busha run for 2 yds to the MRMK 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Terrence Gist run for 1 yd to the MRMK 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

John Busha run for 2 yds to the MRMK 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Cade Harris run for 2 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malakai Anthony run for no gain to the MRMK 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jermaine Corbett run for 4 yds to the MRMK 29

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Merrimack Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MRMK 24

3rd & 11Penalty-15 yds

Merrimack Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WADLEY, Donovan enforced (-15 Yards) to the MRMK 16

4th & 19Punt+24 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 58 yds , Cade Harris returns for 24 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Aiden Calvert run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Terrence Gist run for 4 yds to the MRMK 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

John Busha pass complete to Kade Frew for 5 yds to the MRMK 41

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.95

Aiden Calvert run for no gain to the MRMK 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jermaine Corbett run for 1 yd to the MRMK 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Malakai Anthony pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Merrimack Penalty, Delay Of Game (Josh Addo) to the MRMK 37

3rd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jelani Mason for 13 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.13

Malakai Anthony run for a loss of 4 yards to the MRMK 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

John Busha pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kade Frew run for 4 yds to the MRMK 42

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Kade Frew run for no gain to the MRMK 42

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jalen McDonald run for 3 yds to the MRMK 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jermaine Corbett for 1 yd to the MRMK 24

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper ANTHONY, Malakai rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the MC32 (AIHIE, Osaro). PENALTY MC Holding on SMITH, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the MC24 to the MC14 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 16Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Jermaine Corbett run for 10 yds to the MRMK 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Merrimack Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the AFA 37

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Owen Allen run for 5 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the AFA 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Owen Allen run for 2 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Terrence Gist run for 2 yds to the MRMK 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

John Busha pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

John Busha pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

Carson Bay punt for 43 yds , Jalen McDonald returns for 5 yds to the MRMK 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the MRMK 8

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the MRMK 5

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.63

Cade Harris run for a loss of 4 yards to the MRMK 9

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Matthew Dapore 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Malakai Anthony run for 9 yds to the MRMK 29

2nd & 1Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.18

Jermaine Corbett run for 33 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 7 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.01

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Ty Yocum for 7 yds to the AFA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Malakai Anthony run for 6 yds to the AFA 18

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.06

Malakai Anthony sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 23 Malakai Anthony fumbled, recovered by MRMK Malakai Anthony , return for 0 yards

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jermaine Corbett for 4 yds to the AFA 19

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Carlton Thai 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Cade Harris run for 11 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

John Busha pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

John Busha pass complete to Cade Harris for 6 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.63

Terrence Gist run for 4 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

BUSHA, John pass to the right incomplete intended for HARRIS, Cade thrown to the MC48. PENALTY MC Holding on ROSEMOND JR., Garry enforced 10 yards from the AF41 to the MC49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

John Busha pass complete to Tylor Latham for 6 yds to the MRMK 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.78

John Busha pass complete to Tre Roberson for 21 yds to the MRMK 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

John Busha pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.34

John Busha run for 8 yds to the MRMK 14

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Terrence Gist run for 6 yds to the MRMK 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

John Busha run for 4 yds to the MRMK 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Cade Harris run for 4 yds for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Reagan Tubbs kickoff for 61 yds , Jalen McDonald return for 24 yds to the MRMK 28

0th & 2End of Half-8 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Jermaine Corbett run for 8 yds to the MRMK 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Terrence Gist run for 1 yd to the AFA 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Terrence Gist run for 2 yds to the AFA 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

John Busha pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+10 yds

Carson Bay punt for 45 yds , Garry Rosemond Jr. returns for 10 yds to the MRMK 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Malakai Anthony run for 3 yds to the MRMK 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Malakai Anthony pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

ANTHONY, Malakai sacked for a loss of 10 yards at the MC30 (UYL, Grant). PENALTY AF Holding on BELLAMY, Jamari enforced 10 yards from the MC40 to the MC50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CORBETT, Jermaine rush to the left for no gain to the MC50 (ADAMS, Jackson). PENALTY MC Holding on JOHNSON, Amir enforced 10 yards from the MC50 to the MC40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jared Dunn for no gain to the MRMK 40

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 9 yds to the MRMK 49

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Malakai Anthony pass incomplete

4th & 11Penalty-10 yds

PETERSON, Cole punt 49 yards to the AF2 downed by SIMMS, Danny. PENALTY MC Holding on MARYLAND, Nasir enforced 10 yards from the MC49 to the MC39 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Cade Harris at the AFA 14

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.52

Cade Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 12

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

John Busha pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Terrence Gist run for 3 yds to the AFA 15

4th & 9Punt+12 yds

Carson Bay punt for 54 yds , Garry Rosemond Jr. returns for 12 yds to the MRMK 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Malakai Anthony pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jermaine Corbett for no gain to the MRMK 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.06

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Donovan Wadley for 13 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jermaine Corbett run for 4 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Malakai Anthony run for 4 yds to the AFA 36

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.71

Jermaine Corbett run for 2 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Matthias Latham run for 2 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Malakai Anthony run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Malakai Anthony pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 31 yds, downed at the AFA 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Terrence Gist run for 2 yds to the AFA 5

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Terrence Gist run for 4 yds to the AFA 9

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.48

John Busha run for 5 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

John Busha run for 2 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.88

John Busha pass complete to Aiden Calvert for 21 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Owen Allen run for 9 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.09

Owen Allen run for 5 yds to the MRMK 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the MRMK 46

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

ALLEN, Owen rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the MC40 (PALANICA JR., Nate;COOPER, Rajahn). PENALTY AF Holding on LAWRENCE, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the MC46 to the AF44. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.27

John Busha run for 11 yds to the MRMK 45

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the MRMK 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Garry Rosemond Jr. at the MRMK 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malakai Anthony run for 5 yds to the MRMK 15

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Malakai Anthony pass incomplete

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jermaine Corbett for 4 yds Jermaine Corbett fumbled, recovered by AFA Luke Fisher L. Fisher return for 5 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Owen Allen run for 4 yds to the MRMK 10

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Owen Allen run for 5 yds to the MRMK 5

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

John Busha run for no gain to the MRMK 5

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.64

John Busha run for 3 yds to the MRMK 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Owen Allen run for 1 yd to the MRMK 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Aiden Calvert run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Donovan Wadley for a loss of 3 yards to the MRMK 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Malakai Anthony pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 8 yds to the MRMK 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Malakai Anthony pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 68 yds, downed at the AFA 2

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Merrimack Penalty, Offsides (Jay Thompson) to the AFA 7

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Owen Allen run for 3 yds to the AFA 10

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Owen Allen run for 10 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Darius Stone run for 3 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Darius Stone run for 4 yds to the AFA 27

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Darius Stone run for no gain to the AFA 27

4th & 3Punt+14 yds

Carson Bay punt for 37 yds , Jalen McDonald returns for 14 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ayden Pereira pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Matthias Latham for 8 yds to the AFA 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Ayden Pereira run for 1 yd to the AFA 41

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Matthias Latham run for 2 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Ayden Pereira run for 8 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Ayden Pereira pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Ayden Pereira pass complete to LJ Robinson for 10 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Ayden Pereira pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Matthias Latham run for 4 yds to the AFA 17

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ayden Pereira run for 4 yds to the AFA 13

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.61

Ayden Pereira run for 2 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ayden Pereira pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ayden Pereira pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ayden Pereira pass incomplete

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.57

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 11 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

Merrimack

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
10%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
19%
21 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play