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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Colorado State by 8.8

Home Win Probability

Colorado State 72%

Market (Bovada)

Colorado State -8.5

Edge: Colorado State -8.5 (0.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UTEPUTEP
037717
Colorado StateColorado State
7710327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-324-324-1024-1727-17
Colorado StateUTEP

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CSUTECSUTECSUTECSUTECSUTECSUTECSUTEUTECSUTECSUTECSUTECSUTECSUTECSTD1275ydPUNT36ydDOWNS532ydPUNT621ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT34ydDOWNS957ydTO745ydTO3-1ydFG41ydTD280ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT35ydEND518ydPUNT613ydTD37ydPUNT34ydFG842ydTD775ydPUNT39ydTD992ydPUNT425ydDOWNS1041ydFG1028ydDOWNS49ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UTEP and Colorado State
StatisticUTEPColorado State
Passing26-4414-22
Pass Yards276132
Rush Yards48224
Total Yards324356
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-173-14
Penalties2-183-25
Possession26:4233:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UTEP
passing
Cade McConnell
19/29, 220 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jevon Jackson
10 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Kenny Odom
7 REC, 128 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Colorado State
passing
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi
14/22, 132 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Avery Morrow
21 CAR, 156 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jordan Ross
1 REC, 36 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 8 yds to the CSU 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the CSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Avery Morrow run for 7 yds to the CSU 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.78

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jamari Person for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.29

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jordan Ross for 36 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Marshall run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 16

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Marshall run for 9 yds to the UTEP 7

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Marshall run for 2 yds to the UTEP 5

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.17

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the UTEP 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 5 yds to the UTEP 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Skyler Locklear pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Adam Jacklin punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.17

Caleb Goodie run for 25 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Justin Marshall for 4 yds to the UTEP 36

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 3 yds to the UTEP 39

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.62

Skyler Locklear run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Skyler Locklear pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Jevon Jackson run for 9 yds to the CSU 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Skyler Locklear pass incomplete

3rd & 1Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.64

Skyler Locklear sacked by Ayden Hector and James Mitchell for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 43

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Adam Jacklin punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Lavon Brown at the CSU 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Justin Marshall run for 4 yds to the CSU 24

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Justin Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 23

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.31

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by Lantz Russell for a loss of 7 yards to the CSU 16

4th & 14Punt+24 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 24 yds , Nate Dyman returns for no gain to the CSU 44 , returns for no gain to the CSU 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Skyler Locklear pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Jevon Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 45

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 5 yds to the CSU 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adam Jacklin punt for 39 yds, downed at the CSU 1

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justin Marshall run for 4 yds to the CSU 5

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.94

Avery Morrow run for 20 yds to the CSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the CSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for 11 yds to the CSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 11 yds to the CSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Kobe Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CSU 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 6 yds to the UTEP 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Dane Olson for 5 yds to the UTEP 42

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.85

Justin Marshall run for no gain to the UTEP 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Skyler Locklear pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Skyler Locklear run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.70

Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kenny Odom for 9 yds to the CSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the CSU 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.74

Skyler Locklear pass complete to Kam Thomas for 32 yds to the CSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the CSU 13

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.21

Skyler Locklear pass intercepted Henry Blackburn return for no gain to the CSU 13

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 12

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.30

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass intercepted AJ Odums return for no gain to the CSU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Skyler Locklear pass complete to Jaden Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the CSU 29

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jevon Jackson run for 2 yds to the CSU 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Skyler Locklear pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+45 yds

Buzz Flabiano 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Joe Bowman kickoff for 65 yds , Kobe Johnson return for 20 yds to the CSU 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Avery Morrow run for 7 yds to the CSU 27

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +5.86

Avery Morrow run for 73 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Bryan Hansen kickoff for 64 yds , Kam Thomas return for 16 yds to the UTEP 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Skyler Locklear pass complete to Trey Goodman for 3 yds to the UTEP 20

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Skyler Locklear run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 19

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.20

Skyler Locklear sacked by Mukendi Wa-Kalonji and Cam Bariteau for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 14

4th & 13Punt+1 yds

Adam Jacklin punt for 38 yds , Lavon Brown returns for 1 yd to the CSU 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Justin Marshall run for 4 yds to the UTEP 47

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Justin Marshall run for 1 yd to the UTEP 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 35 yds, downed at the UTEP 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Jevon Jackson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 12

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Jevon Jackson run for 10 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Skyler Locklear pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jevon Jackson run for 6 yds to the UTEP 28

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Skyler Locklear run for 1 yd to the UTEP 29

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Cade McConnell pass complete to Jaden Smith for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Cade McConnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Cade McConnell pass complete to Kenny Odom for 15 yds to the CSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.18

Cade McConnell run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 48 Cade McConnell fumbled, recovered by UTEP Jevon Jackson J. Jackson return for 1 yds

2nd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -1.56

Cade McConnell sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 38 Cade McConnell fumbled, recovered by UTEP Cade McConnell , return for 0 yards

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Cade McConnell pass incomplete

4th & 24Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Dane Olson blocked by Dane Olson (12:53) Punt by JACKLIN, Adam at the UTEP38 is blocked by OLSON, Dane, recovered by CSU LONG, Owen at the UTEP7, returned 0 yards to the UTEP7, End of Play, clock 12:47. , returns for no gain to the UTEP 7

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the UTEP 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

B. Fowler-Nicolosi pass to A. Winfield for 5 yds for a TD (J. Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cade McConnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jevon Jackson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cade McConnell pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Adam Jacklin punt for 32 yds, downed at the CSU 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Colorado State Penalty, False Start (Drew Moss) to the CSU 34

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jamari Person for 6 yds to the CSU 40

3rd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.15

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi run for 16 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.78

Justin Marshall run for 23 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justin Marshall run for 5 yds to the UTEP 16

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.72

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 19

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+37 yds

Jordan Noyes 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Corey Wren run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26

2nd & 9Penalty-15 yds

(07:05) MCCONNELL, Cade pass short to the right complete for 15 yards to GOODMAN, Trey caught at the UTEP31 and advanced to the UTEP41 (KIRSCHKE, Gabe), clock 07:03. PENALTY UTEP Face mask on HENRY, Azizi enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the UTEP26 to the UTEP13 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 22Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Cade McConnell pass complete to Kam Thomas for 5 yds to the UTEP 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.23

Cade McConnell pass complete to Ashton Nickelberry for 29 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Cade McConnell pass complete to Emari White for 7 yds to the CSU 46

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

(05:13) MCCONNELL, Cade pass deep to the left incomplete intended for ODOM, Kenny broken up by BLACKBURN, Henry at the CSU13; QB hurried by KIRSCHKE, Gabe, clock 05:10. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on GARDNER, Jaylen enforced 15 yards to the CSU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Cade McConnell pass complete to Kam Thomas for 3 yds to the CSU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Cade McConnell pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.68

C. McConnell pass to K. Odom for 28 yds for a TD (B. Flabiano KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Avery Morrow run for 4 yds to the CSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Avery Morrow run for 5 yds to the CSU 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Avery Morrow run for no gain to the CSU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Cade McConnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Cade McConnell pass complete to Kenny Odom for 11 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Cade McConnell run for 7 yds to the UTEP 26

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.41

Cade McConnell pass complete to Emari White for 6 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Corey Wren run for 5 yds to the UTEP 37

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Cade McConnell pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.11

Cade McConnell pass complete to Jaden Smith for 8 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Corey Wren run for no gain to the UTEP 45

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +5.44

C. McConnell pass to K. Odom for 55 yds for a TD (B. Flabiano KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Joe Bowman kickoff for 59 yds , Kobe Johnson return for 24 yds to the CSU 30

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Avery Morrow run for 18 yds to the CSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Vince Brown II for 9 yds to the UTEP 43

2nd & 1Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.46

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi sacked by Bryton Thompson for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Armani Winfield for 3 yds to the UTEP 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Paddy Turner punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kam Thomas at the UTEP 8

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Corey Wren run for 7 yds to the UTEP 15

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Cade McConnell pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.58

Cade McConnell pass complete to Jaden Smith for 18 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Corey Wren run for 6 yds to the UTEP 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Cade McConnell pass complete to Kam Thomas for no gain to the UTEP 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.78

Cade McConnell pass complete to Trey Goodman for 5 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Cade McConnell pass complete to Jaden Smith for 7 yds to the CSU 49

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.72

Cade McConnell pass complete to Jaden Smith for 2 yds to the CSU 47

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Cade McConnell run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 49

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Cade McConnell pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Avery Morrow run for 1 yd to the UTEP 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.48

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Avery Morrow for 9 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Avery Morrow run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 43

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.66

Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi pass complete to Jamari Person for 13 yds to the UTEP 30

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Avery Morrow run for no gain to the UTEP 30

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.26

Avery Morrow run for 2 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Avery Morrow run for 6 yds to the UTEP 22

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Colorado State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 27

2nd & 9Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.82

Justin Marshall run for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 33

3rd & 15Penalty+5 yds

(02:00) FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden pass to the left intercepted by ALLEN, Josiah at the UTEP33 intended for WINFIELD, Armani. Allen return for 67 yards to the CSU0, End of Play, clock 01:53. PENALTY UTEP Offsides on TAFUNA, Tevita enforced 5 yards from the UTEP33 to the UTEP28 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Avery Morrow run for 7 yds to the UTEP 21

4th & 3Field Goal Good+39 yds

Jordan Noyes 39 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Bryan Hansen kickoff for 65 yds , Kenny Odom return for 23 yds to the UTEP 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Cade McConnell pass complete to Kam Thomas for 3 yds to the UTEP 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cade McConnell pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Cade McConnell pass complete to Trey Goodman for 6 yds to the UTEP 32

4th & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.13

Cade McConnell pass complete to Marcus Vinson for no gain to the UTEP 32

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

(01:05) Kneel down by FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden at UTEP34 (team loss of 2), clock 00:57.

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

(00:26) Kneel down by FOWLER-NICOLOSI, Brayden at UTEP36 (team loss of 2), clock 00:21.

Situational Analysis

UTEP

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
26 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
47%
15 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
4 plays