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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 25.4

Home Win Probability

Memphis 93%

Market (Bovada)

Memphis -27

Edge: Middle Tennessee +27 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
00707
MemphisMemphis
01410024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142814-014-721-724-7
MemphisMiddle Tennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MEMMTMTMEMMTMEMMTMEMMTMEMMTMEMMTMTMEMMTMEMMTMEMMTMEMMTMEMPUNT421ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT36ydMISS1269ydTO480ydPUNT636ydTO1-5ydTD312ydPUNT38ydTD1370ydPUNT630ydPUNT826ydEND14ydTD875ydTD750ydPUNT725ydFG644ydPUNT633ydPUNT842ydPUNT838ydPUNT731ydDOWNS611ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Middle Tennessee and Memphis
StatisticMiddle TennesseeMemphis
Passing21-3126-41
Pass Yards283227
Rush Yards29189
Total Yards312416
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-124-13
Penalties5-464-33
Possession25:5134:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Middle Tennessee
passing
Nick Vattiato
21/31, 283 YDS
rushing
Jaiden Credle
10 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Omari Kelly
6 REC, 174 YDS
defense
Memphis
passing
Seth Henigan
26/41, 227 YDS
rushing
Mario Anderson
18 CAR, 118 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Roc Taylor
6 REC, 69 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Zeke Rankin kickoff for 60 yds , Davion Ross return for 26 yds to the MEM 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 18 yds to the MEM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the MTSU 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.90

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for no gain to the MTSU 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

(13:12) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass to the left incomplete intended for BUTLER, Myles broken up by ROSS, Davion at the MTSU20, clock 13:10. PENALTY MTSU Holding on BYARD, Muaaz enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the MTSU12 to the MTSU6 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the MTSU 6

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt+34 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 34 yds , Koby Drake returns for no gain to the MTSU 39 , returns for no gain to the MTSU 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the MTSU 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 5 yds to the MTSU 48

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 2 yds to the MTSU 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 2 yds to the MEM 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brendan Doyle for 4 yds to the MEM 20

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.41

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 22 yds to the MEM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.10

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 11 yds to the MTSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Roc Taylor run for 4 yds to the MTSU 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 25 yds to the MTSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the MTSU 21

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mario Anderson Jr. run for no gain to the MTSU 21

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 4 yds to the MTSU 17

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Caden Costa 35 Yard Field Goal Missed

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 7 yds to the MTSU 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Terry Wilkins run for 2 yds to the MTSU 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Terry Wilkins run for 2 yds to the MTSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+69 ydsPPA -1.39

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 69 yds Omari Kelly fumbled, recovered by MEM TEAM return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.19

Brandon Thomas run for 20 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcello Bussey for 18 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Seth Henigan run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 44

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 12Penalty+36 yds

(00:10) SLOAN, Joshua punt 36 yards to the MTSU8 downed by MATHENA, Donovan, clock 00:00. PENALTY Before the snap, MEM Illegal Formation MTSU Offsides , Offsetting penalties [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Nicholas Vattiato sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the MTSU 12 Nicholas Vattiato fumbled, recovered by MEM Chandler Martin , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 11 yds to the MTSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Mario Anderson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 4 yds to the MTSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the MTSU 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the MTSU 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 30

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MEM 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.03

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds to the MEM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 7 yds to the MEM 49

2nd & 3Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Brandon Thomas run for 16 yds to the MTSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

Seth Henigan pass complete to Brandon Thomas for no gain to the MTSU 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 6 yds to the MTSU 29

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Memphis Penalty, False Start (Demeer Blankumsee) to the MTSU 34

4th & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.80

Seth Henigan pass complete to Demeer Blankumsee for 16 yds to the MTSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(08:36) ANDERSON JR., Mario rush to the left for a gain of 12 yards to the MTSU6 (WILLIAMS, Xavier), clock 08:30. PENALTY MEM Holding on HILL, Xavier enforced 10 yards from the MTSU18 to the MTSU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 8 yds to the MTSU 20

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.58

Seth Henigan pass complete to Koby Drake for 10 yds to the MTSU 10

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

(06:52) ANDERSON JR., Mario rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the MTSU9 (SMITH, Damonte), clock 06:48. PENALTY MTSU Offsides on LOWE, Jayson enforced 5 yards from the MTSU10 to the MTSU5 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 1 yd to the MTSU 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the MTSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the MTSU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.92

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 20 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Terry Wilkins run for 7 yds to the MEM 44

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Nicholas Vattiato run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 1 yd to the MEM 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Seth Henigan pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 3 yds to the MEM 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.75

Seth Henigan pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 11 yds to the MEM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 5 yds to the MEM 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcello Bussey for 6 yds to the MEM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Omari Kelly at the MTSU 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the MTSU 16

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the MTSU 25

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Jaiden Credle run for 11 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 7 yds to the MTSU 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.82

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 37 yds to the MEM 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jaiden Credle run for 6 yds to the MEM 14

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 4 yds to the MEM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nicholas Vattiato run for 5 yds to the MEM 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Terry Wilkins run for 5 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Zeke Rankin kickoff for 46 yds , Jamari Hawkins return for 31 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MTSU 45

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 13 yds to the MTSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the MTSU 30

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Seth Henigan run for 16 yds to the MTSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.92

Seth Henigan pass complete to Anthony Landphere for 13 yds to the MTSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Brandon Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Caden Costa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the MTSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.47

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 16 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Jaiden Credle run for 11 yds to the MEM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 6 yds to the MEM 42

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 1 yard to the MEM 43

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.11

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Elijah Herring and Matt Hudson for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Seth Henigan pass complete to Roc Taylor for 11 yds to the MEM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.11

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 31 yds to the MTSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the MTSU 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+47 yds

Caden Costa 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 12 yds to the MTSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Terry Wilkins run for 1 yd to the MTSU 38

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 ydsPPA +2.44

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 17 yds Holden Willis fumbled, recovered by MTSU Omari Kelly O. Kelly return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 3 yds to the MEM 42

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Illegal Shift (TEAM) declined

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 11

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 2 yds to the MEM 13

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Seth Henigan pass complete to Marcello Bussey for 13 yds to the MEM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 2 yds to the MEM 28

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the MEM 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.09

Seth Henigan pass complete to Mario Anderson Jr. for 23 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Demeer Blankumsee run for 1 yd to the MTSU 44

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Brandon Thomas run for 2 yds to the MTSU 42

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Seth Henigan pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

(08:55) SLOAN, Joshua punt 35 yards to the MTSU7, fair catch by KELLY, Omari, clock 08:50. PENALTY Before the snap, MEM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MTSU42 to the MTSU47. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds, downed at the MTSU 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 5

3rd & 12Penalty+13 yds

(07:50) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass to the left incomplete intended for KELLY, Omari thrown to the MTSU20, clock 07:49. PENALTY MEM Pass Interference on RA-EL, Tahj enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the MTSU18 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 2 yds to the MTSU 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 4 yds to the MTSU 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.73

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 37 yds to the MEM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 7 yds to the MEM 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the MEM 47

3rd & 18Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.82

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Chandler Martin for a loss of 8 yards to the MTSU 45

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Koby Drake at the MEM 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MEM 18

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 12 yds to the MEM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Mario Anderson Jr. run for 3 yds to the MEM 33

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.29

Brandon Thomas run for 7 yds to the MEM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ja'Koby Banks run for 4 yds to the MEM 44

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.59

Ja'Koby Banks run for a loss of 3 yards to the MEM 41

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Ja'Koby Banks run for 3 yds to the MEM 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Joshua Sloan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Omari Kelly at the MTSU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 1 yd to the MTSU 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.26

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 25 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the MTSU 40

4th & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA +0.05

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Elijah Herring for a loss of 15 yards to the MTSU 25

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.81

(00:35) [NHSG] Kneel down by HENIGAN, Seth at MTSU28 (team loss of 3), clock 00:27.

Situational Analysis

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
40%
15 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play