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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 2.7

Home Win Probability

Middle Tennessee 44%

Market (Bovada)

Middle Tennessee +7.5

Edge: Middle Tennessee +7.5 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
14721749
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
0014721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-140-217-287-3514-4214-4921-49
Middle TennesseeWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MTWKMTWKMTWKMTWKMTWKMTWKMTWKMTWKMTWKDOWNS959ydTD1260ydPUNT3-3ydTD565ydDOWNS774ydDOWNS1062ydTO850ydTD1199ydEND249ydTD269ydTD782ydTD767ydTD171ydTD685ydDOWNS1133ydTD764ydTD664ydEND1272yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee
StatisticWestern KentuckyMiddle Tennessee
Passing31-3724-31
Pass Yards481456
Rush Yards15058
Total Yards631514
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-104-8
Penalties3-257-57
Possession31:2228:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
Caden Veltkamp
27/30, 398 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
LT Sanders
8 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Kisean Johnson
8 REC, 129 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Middle Tennessee
passing
Nick Vattiato
24/31, 456 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nick Vattiato
9 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
Omari Kelly
9 REC, 239 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+1 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 65 yds , Brian Brewton return for 1 yd to the MTSU 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the MTSU 2

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaiden Credle run for 6 yds to the MTSU 8

3rd & 3Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.35

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 32 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Terry Wilkins run for 4 yds to the MTSU 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jacob Coleman for 9 yds to the WKU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Nicholas Vattiato run for 8 yds to the WKU 39

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKU 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 4 yds to the WKU 40

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.77

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 46

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.59

Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

TJ Finley pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 7 yds to the MTSU 42

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Elijah Young run for no gain to the MTSU 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

TJ Finley pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.74

TJ Finley pass complete to River Helms for 18 yds to the MTSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

TJ Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.53

TJ Finley sacked by James Stewart and Andy Nwaoko for a loss of 10 yards to the MTSU 34

3rd & 20Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.11

TJ Finley pass complete to Elijah Young for 22 yds to the MTSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 6 yds to the MTSU 6

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Elijah Young run for 2 yds to the MTSU 4

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 4 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Terry Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Terrion Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 22

4th & 13Punt+13 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 56 yds , K.D. Hutchinson returns for 13 yds to the WKU 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 3 yds to the WKU 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.88

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 34 yds to the MTSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.71

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 22 yds to the MTSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Elijah Young run for no gain to the MTSU 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 17 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the MTSU 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.06

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 54 yds to the WKU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the WKU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the WKU 1

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nicholas Vattiato run for no gain to the WKU 1 Nicholas Vattiato fumbled, recovered by MTSU return for 0 yds

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the WKU 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the WKU 2

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

L.T. Sanders run for 1 yd to the WKU 3

3rd & 8Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.54

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 37 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 6 yds to the WKU 46

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

L.T. Sanders run for no gain to the WKU 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.24

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 11 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dalvin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 6 yds to the MTSU 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.93

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 9 yds to the MTSU 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.43

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 13 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(06:55) VATTIATO, Nicholas scrambles to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the WKU37, out of bounds, clock 06:50. PENALTY MTS Holding on MILLER, Marcus enforced 10 yards from the WKU41 to the MTS49 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.59

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 27 yds to the WKU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the WKU 20

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Western Kentucky Penalty, Disconcerting Signals on BENJAMIN, Sebastian enforced (Sebastian Benjamin) to the WKU 15

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Nicholas Vattiato run for 7 yds to the WKU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Kylan Guidry for a loss of 5 yards to the WKU 13

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.03

Nicholas Vattiato pass intercepted Anthony Johnson Jr. return for no gain to the WKU 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the WKU 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to River Helms for 11 yds to the WKU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds to the WKU 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.91

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 19 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Caden Veltkamp sacked by Jalen Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the WKU 39

2nd & 12Penalty+5 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offsides (Shakai Woods) to the WKU 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.30

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Demick Starling for 27 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 7 yds to the MTSU 22

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA -0.07

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Bryce Childress for 12 yds to the MTSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Elijah Young run for no gain to the MTSU 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 10 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 64 yds , Brian Brewton return for no gain to the MTSU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 17 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.84

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 32 yds to the WKU 26 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Zach Benedict kickoff for 60 yds , Deante McCray return for 26 yds to the WKU 31

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.24

Elijah Young run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKU 28

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +6.85

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 72 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 61 yds , Kellen Stewart return for 14 yds to the MTSU 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 13 yds to the MTSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the MTSU 33

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Upton Stout for a loss of 6 yards to the MTSU 27

3rd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.73

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 16 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 15 yds to the WKU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nicholas Vattiato run for 5 yds to the WKU 37

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.20

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 37 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Zach Benedict kickoff for 63 yds , Easton Messer return for 31 yds to the WKU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.38

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 30 yds to the MTSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 9 yds to the MTSU 28

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to L.T. Sanders for 2 yds to the MTSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.52

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 19 yds to the MTSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Michael Mathison for 3 yds to the MTSU 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 3 yds to the MTSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 56 yds , Kellen Stewart return for 20 yds to the MTSU 29

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +5.78

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 71 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Zach Benedict kickoff for 50 yds , Lofton Howard return for no gain to the WKU 15

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Easton Messer run for 10 yds to the WKU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Moussa Barry for 9 yds to the WKU 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Easton Messer run for 8 yds to the WKU 46

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Western Kentucky Penalty, False Start (Demick Starling) to the WKU 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.37

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 23 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Dalvin Smith pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 36 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 64 yds , Kellen Stewart return for 30 yds to the MTSU 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 10 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the MTSU 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.62

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 11 yds to the WKU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MTSU 48

1st & 17Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 6 yds to the WKU 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.81

Nicholas Vattiato run for 12 yds to the WKU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKU 39

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 2 yds to the WKU 37

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Terry Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 38

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the WKU 36

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.24

L.T. Sanders run for 31 yds to the MTSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.29

L.T. Sanders run for 13 yds to the MTSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the MTSU 18

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.77

George Hart III run for 12 yds to the MTSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

L.T. Sanders run for 3 yds to the MTSU 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

L.T. Sanders run for no gain to the MTSU 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Trevor Borland for 3 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 63 yds , Kellen Stewart return for 34 yds to the MTSU 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 9 yds to the MTSU 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 11 yds to the WKU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 14 yds to the WKU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(07:12) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass short to the right incomplete intended for KELLY, Omari thrown to the WKU25; QB hurried by EDWARDS, Zach, clock 07:03. PENALTY MTS Holding on SCOTT, Morgan enforced 10 yards from the WKU30 to the WKU40 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.61

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 20 yds to the WKU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Terry Wilkins run for 13 yds to the WKU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 7 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

George Hart III run for 14 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

George Hart III run for 6 yds to the WKU 45

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

George Hart III run for 6 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the MTSU 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Face mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the MTSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jalen Hampton run for 6 yds to the MTSU 6

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Hampton run for 1 yd to the MTSU 5

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen Hampton run for no gain to the MTSU 5

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA +2.02

Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the MTSU 1 Jalen Hampton fumbled, recovered by WKU Demick Starling D. Starling return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

(00:48) [NH] Kneel down by HELTON, Turner at MTS2 (team loss of 1), clock 00:34.

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

(00:19) [NH] Kneel down by HELTON, Turner at MTS3 (team loss of 1), clock 00:13.

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
63%
30 plays
2nd
14%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
78%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
64%
22 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play