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← Back to GamesOct 16, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Middle Tennessee by 8.6

Home Win Probability

Middle Tennessee 68%

Market (Bovada)

Middle Tennessee -8

Edge: Middle Tennessee -8 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 16, 2024

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kennesaw StateKennesaw State
20035
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
707014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-214-5
Middle TennesseeKennesaw State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MTKSMTKSMTKSMTKSMTKSMTKSMTKSMTKSMTKSKSMTKSMTKSMTKSMTKSMTPUNT415ydDOWNS680ydSAF10ydPUNT3-1ydTD880ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-4ydTO737ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT33ydPUNT417ydPUNT826ydDOWNS516ydTO27ydEND24ydPUNT35ydDOWNS1471ydTD31ydFG1143ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-3ydMISS957ydPUNT30ydPUNT622ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydDOWNS49ydEND6-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kennesaw State and Middle Tennessee
StatisticKennesaw StateMiddle Tennessee
Passing10-2719-34
Pass Yards103199
Rush Yards13185
Total Yards234284
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-165-16
Penalties7-4010-76
Possession29:4830:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kennesaw State
passing
Khalib Johnson
5/17, 52 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Qua Ashley
11 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Carson Kent
4 REC, 59 YDS
defense
Middle Tennessee
passing
Nick Vattiato
19/34, 199 YDS
rushing
Jaiden Credle
10 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Holden Willis
8 REC, 92 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 10 yds to the MTSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 6 yds to the MTSU 41

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+60 ydsPPA +3.81

Qua Ashley run for 60 yds to the MTSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Michael Benefield run for 13 yds to the MTSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the MTSU 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the MTSU 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Preston Daniels run for 1 yd to the MTSU 2

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -4.15

Preston Daniels run for 1 yd to the MTSU 1

1st & 10Safety-1 ydsPPA -2.01

Jekail Middlebrook run for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETY

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Michael Benefield run for a loss of 5 yards to the KENN 32 Michael Benefield fumbled, recovered by KENN Qua Ashley Q. Ashley return for 1 yds

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Khalib Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Khalib Johnson pass complete to Qua Ashley for 8 yds to the KENN 40

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Kennesaw State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KENN 35

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jacob Ulrich punt for 65 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 22 yds to the MTSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 6 yds to the MTSU 48

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Terry Wilkins run for 6 yds to the KENN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 8 yds to the KENN 38

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.02

Jekail Middlebrook run for 8 yds to the KENN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Kennesaw State Penalty, Disconcerting Signals on SCOTT, Tyler enforced (5 Yards) to the KENN 25

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the KENN 21

2nd & 1Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.19

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 20 yds to the KENN 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Zeke Rankin kickoff for 51 yds , Qua Ashley return for 9 yds to the KENN 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the KENN 25

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 26

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Braden Bohannon run for 4 yds to the KENN 30

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jacob Ulrich punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 18

2nd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.28

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Garland Benyard for a loss of 6 yards to the MTSU 12

3rd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 4 yds to the MTSU 16

4th & 14Punt+47 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 47 yds , Jayven Williams returns for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tykeem Wallace run for 3 yds to the KENN 39

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Khalib Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.36

Khalib Johnson pass complete to Tykeem Wallace for 8 yds to the KENN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.95

Michael Benefield run for 14 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Khalib Johnson run for 8 yds to the MTSU 31

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.22

Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the MTSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.26

Khalib Johnson pass intercepted, touchback. Marvae Myers return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 4 yds to the MTSU 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

(11:16) CHADWICK, Grant punt 60 yards to the KSU16 downed by MYERS, Marvae, clock 11:03. PENALTY Before the snap, MTSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MTSU24 to the MTSU19. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

(10:59) CHADWICK, Grant punt 48 yards to the KSU33, fair catch by WILLIAMS, Jayven, clock 10:55. PENALTY Before the snap, MTSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MTSU19 to the MTSU14. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 51 yds , Jayven Williams returns for 5 yds to the KENN 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the KENN 45

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Benefield run for 2 yds to the KENN 47

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Michael Benefield run for 1 yd to the KENN 48

4th & 7Punt+41 yds

Jacob Ulrich punt for 41 yds , Omari Kelly returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MTSU 15

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Kennesaw State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Khalib Johnson) to the KENN 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 12 yds to the MTSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the MTSU 31

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nicholas Vattiato run for 1 yd to the MTSU 32

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Qua Ashley run for no gain to the KENN 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.47

Braden Bohannon pass complete to Carson Kent for 30 yds to the KENN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Qua Ashley run for 3 yds to the KENN 44

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Braden Bohannon run for 1 yd to the KENN 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.25

Braden Bohannon pass complete to Blake Bohannon for 7 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Braden Bohannon run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Qua Ashley run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 12Penalty-13 yds

Kennesaw State Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Intentional Grounding on BOHANNON, Braden enforced resulting in a (-13 Yards) to the KENN 38

4th & 25Punt+14 yds

Jacob Ulrich punt for 46 yds , Omari Kelly returns for 14 yds to the MTSU 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 12 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(01:26) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass deep to the left complete for 32 yards to WILLIS, Holden caught at the KSU41 and advanced to the KSU25 (PAUL, Isaac), clock 01:20. PENALTY Before the snap, MTSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MTSU43 to the MTSU38. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Nicholas Vattiato run for 11 yds to the MTSU 49

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Garland Benyard for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 47

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Khalib Johnson pass complete to Carson Kent for 7 yds to the MTSU 40

2nd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.93

Khalib Johnson pass intercepted De'Arre McDonald return for no gain to the MTSU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 12 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.48

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Tylon Dunlap for a loss of 8 yards to the MTSU 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Zeke Rankin kickoff for 59 yds , Qua Ashley return for 17 yds to the KENN 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the KENN 27

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Braden Bohannon run for 1 yd to the KENN 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Braden Bohannon pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt-2 yds

Jacob Ulrich punt for 50 yds , Omari Kelly returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 12

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 10

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 9 yds to the MTSU 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 5 yds to the MTSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Jaiden Credle run for 10 yds to the MTSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.90

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Garland Benyard for a loss of 6 yards to the MTSU 28

3rd & 16Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.95

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 17 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.67

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 25 yds to the KENN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the KENN 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 7 yds to the KENN 17

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -3.70

Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the KENN 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Qua Ashley run for 5 yds to the KENN 22

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Qua Ashley run for 1 yd to the KENN 23

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Kennesaw State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Khalib Johnson) to the KENN 18

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Khalib Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+61 yds

Jacob Ulrich punt for 43 yds , Omari Kelly returns for 61 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Zeke Rankin kickoff for 59 yds , Qua Ashley return for 16 yds to the KENN 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Michael Benefield run for 4 yds to the KENN 41

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Benefield run for 5 yds to the KENN 46

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.18

Michael Benefield run for 3 yds to the KENN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Khalib Johnson pass complete to Christian Moss for 12 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Khalib Johnson run for 4 yds to the MTSU 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Khalib Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.50

Khalib Johnson pass complete to Carson Kent for 17 yds to the MTSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Qua Ashley run for 2 yds to the MTSU 16

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.83

Khalib Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTSU 20

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Khalib Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+37 yds

Austin Welch 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Austin Welch kickoff for 65 yds , Kellen Stewart return for 35 yds to the MTSU 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Terry Wilkins run for 3 yds to the MTSU 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 41 yds , Jayven Williams returns for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Khalib Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.51

Michael Benefield run for a loss of 3 yards to the KENN 47

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Khalib Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jacob Ulrich punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Omari Kelly at the MTSU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.10

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 20 yds to the MTSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 2 yds to the MTSU 32

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.78

Jekail Middlebrook run for 11 yds to the MTSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Kennesaw State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Que Billingsley) to the KENN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the KENN 29

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.34

Jaiden Credle run for 29 yds Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Simon Wilson) to the KENN 30

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Terry Wilkins run for 3 yds to the KENN 27

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Terry Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the KENN 28

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

(08:45) RANKIN, Zeke field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD [kick was spotted at KSU35], score nullified by penalty, clock 08:41. PENALTY Before the snap, MTSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the KSU28 to the KSU33. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Zeke Rankin 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Khalib Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Khalib Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Khalib Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jacob Ulrich punt for 57 yds, downed at the MTSU 10

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.49

Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTSU 6

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.58

Jaiden Credle run for 23 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jekail Middlebrook run for 1 yd to the MTSU 30

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (Zach Clayton) to the MTSU 25

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Nicholas Vattiato run for 7 yds to the MTSU 32

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jayven Williams at the KENN 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Braden Bohannon pass complete to Carson Kent for 5 yds to the KENN 25

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Kennesaw State Penalty, Illegal Snap on NORCROSS, Jacob enforced (Jacob Norcross) to the KENN 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Braden Bohannon pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Braden Bohannon pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jacob Ulrich punt for 49 yds, downed at the MTSU 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the MTSU 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jayven Williams at the KENN 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Braden Bohannon pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Braden Bohannon pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 6 yds to the KENN 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Braden Bohannon pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Braden Bohannon pass complete to Christian Moss for 3 yds to the KENN 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the KENN 36

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the KENN 31

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.58

Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the KENN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.19

(02:00) [NH] Kneel down by VATTIATO, Nicholas at KSU37 (team loss of 10), clock 01:46.

2nd & 20Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.72

(01:12) [NHSG] Kneel down by VATTIATO, Nicholas at KSU42 (team loss of 5), clock 01:06.

3rd & 25Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

(00:31) [SG] Kneel down by VATTIATO, Nicholas at KSU45 (team loss of 3), clock 00:27.

Situational Analysis

Kennesaw State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
44%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play