Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 23, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Jacksonville State by 19.4

Home Win Probability

Jacksonville State 88%

Market (Bovada)

Jacksonville State -20.5

Edge: Middle Tennessee +20.5 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
1003720
Jacksonville StateJacksonville State
14021742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-1014-1021-1328-1335-2042-20
Jacksonville StateMiddle Tennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MTJSMTJSMTJSMTJSMTJSMTJSMTJSMTJSMTJSMTJSTD475ydTD675ydFG1046ydTD1275ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT317ydPUNT739ydTO1181ydPUNT622ydPUNT829ydEND1-1ydTD475ydFG852ydTD975ydPUNT31ydTD763ydTD875ydTD875ydDOWNS968ydEND515yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Middle Tennessee and Jacksonville State
StatisticMiddle TennesseeJacksonville State
Passing25-3610-18
Pass Yards297137
Rush Yards67438
Total Yards364575
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-138-13
Penalties4-305-47
Possession29:5630:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Middle Tennessee
passing
Nick Vattiato
25/36, 297 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaiden Credle
8 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Omari Kelly
8 REC, 128 YDS
defense
Jacksonville State
passing
Tyler Huff
10/18, 137 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tre Stewart
21 CAR, 210 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Cam Vaughn
4 REC, 82 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for a loss of 4 yards to the MTSU 21

2nd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Jaiden Credle run for 13 yds to the MTSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 61 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Huff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the JVST 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 11 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Tre Stewart run for 7 yds to the JVST 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Tyler Huff run for 49 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jekail Middlebrook run for 12 yds to the MTSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the MTSU 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 8 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 5 yds to the JVST 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 2 yds to the JVST 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.43

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 7 yds to the JVST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jekail Middlebrook run for 3 yds to the JVST 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nicholas Vattiato run for 5 yds to the JVST 29

4th & 2Field Goal Good+47 yds

Zeke Rankin 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tyler Huff pass complete to Jordan McCants for 6 yds to the JVST 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Tre Stewart run for 2 yds to the JVST 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.78

Tyler Huff sacked by Damonte Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the JVST 30

2nd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 10 yds to the JVST 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.16

Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 21 yds to the MTSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the MTSU 38

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tre Stewart run for 6 yds to the MTSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tyler Huff pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.91

Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 18 yds to the MTSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Tyler Huff run for 10 yds to the MTSU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Andrew Paul run for 4 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Garrison Rippa kickoff for 59 yds , Brian Brewton return for 22 yds to the MTSU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 4 yds to the MTSU 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 27

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 55 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 5 yds to the JVST 23

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the JVST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Demarcus Lacey run for 2 yds to the JVST 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Huff pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Huff pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Dawson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Omari Kelly at the MTSU 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the MTSU 15

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.88

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 11 yds to the MTSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.65

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 21 yds to the MTSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Terry Wilkins run for 2 yds to the MTSU 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Nicholas Vattiato run for 2 yds to the JVST 49

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Samario Rudolph at the JVST 11

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Tre Stewart run for 10 yds to the JVST 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the JVST 25

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.05

Tre Stewart run for 19 yds to the JVST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(10:01) HUFF, Tyler scrambles up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the JSU47 (WOODS, Shakai), clock 09:48. PENALTY Before the snap, JSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the JSU44 to the JSU39. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.41

Tre Stewart run for 21 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Huff run for 4 yds to the MTSU 36

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the MTSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Huff run for 3 yds to the MTSU 26

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Tyler Huff run for 12 yds to the MTSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tre Stewart run for 8 yds to the MTSU 6

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tre Stewart run for 1 yd to the MTSU 5

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -4.51

Tre Stewart run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTSU 8 Tre Stewart fumbled, recovered by MTSU Muaaz Byard M. Byard return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the MTSU 13

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 8

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaiden Credle run for 4 yds to the MTSU 12

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.25

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 15 yds to the MTSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 25

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jaiden Credle run for 5 yds to the MTSU 30

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 55 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 2 yds to the JVST 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the JVST 24

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.12

Samario Rudolph run for 3 yds to the JVST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyler Huff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 6 yds to the JVST 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.76

Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 7 yds to the JVST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Tyler Huff sacked by Brandon Buckner for a loss of 4 yards to the JVST 36

2nd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Tyler Huff run for 10 yds to the JVST 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyler Huff pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jack Dawson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Omari Kelly at the MTSU 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

(00:32) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at MTSU9 (team loss of 1), clock 00:16.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+65 ydsPPA +3.56

Tre Stewart run for 65 yds to the MTSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan McCants run for 3 yds to the MTSU 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyler Huff pass incomplete

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Tyler Huff pass complete to Michael Pettway for 7 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.03

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 38 yds to the JVST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Reginald Hughes and Laletia Hale for a loss of 2 yards to the JVST 39

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Evan Poticher for 9 yds to the JVST 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 8 yds to the JVST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the JVST 20

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Omari Kelly run for a loss of 3 yards to the JVST 23

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Taharin Sudderth for no gain to the JVST 23

4th & 11Field Goal Good+41 yds

Zeke Rankin 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.98

Tyler Huff pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 37 yds to the MTSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Jacksonville State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 43

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Demarcus Lacey run for 3 yds to the MTSU 40

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Demarcus Lacey run for 3 yds to the MTSU 37

3rd & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.09

Tyler Huff run for 22 yds to the MTSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyler Huff run for 2 yds to the MTSU 13

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Tyler Huff run for 7 yds to the MTSU 6

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Demarcus Lacey run for 4 yds to the MTSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyler Huff pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Tyler Huff run for 2 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

(05:34) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LACY, Cam'ron thrown to the JSU40, clock 05:26. PENALTY JSU Offsides on DAVIS II, Fred MTSU Holding on ELLIS, Ethan , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the MTSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Ethan Crite for 6 yds to the MTSU 31

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MTSU 26

4th & 9Punt+17 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 44 yds , Samario Rudolph returns for 17 yds to the JVST 37

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Tyler Huff run for 15 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Tyler Huff pass complete to Tre Stewart for 14 yds to the MTSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Tre Stewart run for 16 yds to the MTSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tre Stewart run for 4 yds to the MTSU 14

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.68

Tre Stewart run for 13 yds to the MTSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tre Stewart run for no gain to the MTSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tre Stewart run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 32 yds to the JVST 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(14:59) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for WILLIS, Holden broken up by PERRY, Fred at the JSU0, clock 14:53. PENALTY JSU Roughing the Passer enforced 15 yards from the JSU43 to the JSU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 6 yds to the JVST 22

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 11 yds to the JVST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Terry Wilkins run for 2 yds to the JVST 9

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 5 yds to the JVST 4

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jekail Middlebrook run for no gain to the JVST 4

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.94

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 4 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tre Stewart run for 3 yds to the JVST 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Logan Smothers run for 8 yds to the JVST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Tre Stewart run for 16 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Logan Smothers run for 2 yds to the MTSU 46

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Logan Smothers run for 4 yds to the MTSU 42

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Tre Stewart run for 5 yds to the MTSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Tre Stewart run for 11 yds to the MTSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Andrew Paul run for 26 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 7 yds to the MTSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 13 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.41

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 23 yds to the JVST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the JVST 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Omari Kelly for 7 yds to the JVST 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Nicholas Vattiato run for 4 yds to the JVST 7

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.84

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Andrew Paul run for 6 yds to the JVST 13

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Andrew Paul run for 5 yds to the JVST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Andrew Paul run for 6 yds to the JVST 24

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

(01:11) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at JSU23 (team loss of 1), clock 01:01.

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

(00:29) [NH] Kneel down by TEAM at JSU22 (team loss of 1), clock 00:24.

Situational Analysis

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Jacksonville State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
55%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play