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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 6

Home Win Probability

Liberty 66%

Market (Bovada)

Liberty -1

Edge: Liberty -1 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
0714021
LibertyLiberty
02171038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-721-1428-2131-2138-21
LibertyWestern Kentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LIBWKLIBWKLIBWKLIBWKLIBWKLIBWKWKLIBWKLIBWKLIBWKLIBPUNT945ydTO24ydDOWNS43ydTO854ydTO753ydTD664ydTD892ydTO842ydTD867ydPUNT531ydTD790ydEND1-1ydTD975ydTD238ydTD1375ydFG1461ydPUNT516ydTD1386ydDOWNS413ydEND437yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Kentucky and Liberty
StatisticWestern KentuckyLiberty
Passing20-347-12
Pass Yards262137
Rush Yards107419
Total Yards369556
Turnovers41
3rd Down6-108-13
Penalties2-263-20
Possession25:1734:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Kentucky
passing
Caden Veltkamp
20/34, 262 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Elijah Young
9 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Kisean Johnson
7 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Liberty
passing
Kaidon Salter
6/11, 108 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Quinton Cooley
24 CAR, 166 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Julian Gray
2 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+43 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 57 yds , Julian Gray return for 43 yds to the LIB 22 Liberty Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LIB 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Julian Gray run for 3 yds to the LIB 23

2nd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.96

Quinton Cooley run for 18 yds to the LIB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the LIB 46

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.24

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the WKU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Kaidon Salter run for 10 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Quinton Cooley run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKU 39

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the WKU 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 35 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Elijah Young run for 4 yds to the WKU 24

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.53

Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Kisean Johnson return for no gain to the WKU 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Kaidon Salter run for 7 yds to the WKU 27

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.64

Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKU 31

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.14

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the WKU 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.74

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 15 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.97

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 20 yds to the LIB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Caden Veltkamp run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 4 yds to the LIB 26

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.99

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 10 yds to the LIB 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

George Hart III run for 1 yd to the LIB 15

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -4.17

Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Jerome Jolly Jr. return for 3 yds to the LIB 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the LIB 11

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Kaidon Salter run for 12 yds to the LIB 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the LIB 28

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.93

Vaughn Blue run for 18 yds to the LIB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Vaughn Blue run for 5 yds to the WKU 49

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the WKU 45

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -2.77

Quinton Cooley run for 9 yds to the WKU 36 Quinton Cooley fumbled, recovered by WKU Devonte' Mathews D. Mathews return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Elijah Young run for 3 yds to the WKU 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.90

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 38 yds to the LIB 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Elijah Young run for no gain to the LIB 23

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Caden Veltkamp run for 10 yds to the LIB 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 4 yds to the LIB 9

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 63 yds , Julian Gray return for no gain to the LIB 8

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

(13:13) SALTER, Kaidon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MOBLEY, Tyson thrown to the LU25, clock 13:08. PENALTY WKU Pass Interference on JOHNSON JR., Anthony enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the LU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Billy Lucas run for 11 yds to the LIB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Vaughn Blue for 7 yds to the LIB 37

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Billy Lucas run for 8 yds to the LIB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Billy Lucas run for 7 yds to the WKU 48

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.52

Billy Lucas run for 10 yds to the WKU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.88

Kaidon Salter run for 36 yds to the WKU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Billy Lucas run for 2 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

George Hart III run for 1 yd to the WKU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.31

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 25 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Elijah Young run for 6 yds to the LIB 43

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.53

Elijah Young run for 7 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

George Hart III run for no gain to the LIB 36

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.27

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 3 yds Kisean Johnson fumbled, recovered by LIB Bryce Dixon B. Dixon return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Quinton Cooley run for 15 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the WKU 47

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Julian Gray run for 5 yds to the WKU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the WKU 38

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the WKU 33

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.51

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the WKU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the WKU 22

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.44

Quinton Cooley run for 22 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Elijah Young for 7 yds to the WKU 32

2nd & 3Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.38

Elijah Young run for 30 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.05

K.D. Hutchinson run for a loss of 6 yards to the LIB 44

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Billy Lucas run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 7

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Billy Lucas run for 4 yds to the LIB 11

3rd & 9Rush+36 ydsPPA +3.18

Billy Lucas run for 36 yds to the LIB 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Reese Smith for 16 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Western Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (Marcus Patterson) to the WKU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the WKU 11

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.65

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Julian Gray for 11 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(00:10) [NHSG] Kneel down by VELTKAMP, Caden at WKU24 (team loss of 1), clock 00:03.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elijah Young run for 5 yds to the WKU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 7 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Elijah Young run for no gain to the WKU 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds to the WKU 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Caden Veltkamp run for no gain to the WKU 46

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.17

Caden Veltkamp run for 2 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.39

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 32 yds to the LIB 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 18 yds to the LIB 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

George Hart III run for 2 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+56 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 59 yds , Julian Gray return for 56 yds to the WKU 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.88

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Julian Gray for 36 yds to the WKU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jalen Hampton run for 9 yds to the WKU 34

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Jalen Hampton run for 11 yds to the WKU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to L.T. Sanders for 1 yd to the WKU 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.83

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 11 yds to the LIB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 7 yds to the LIB 36

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Caden Veltkamp run for 10 yds to the LIB 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the LIB 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Easton Messer for 11 yds to the LIB 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

George Hart III run for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 16

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.04

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 16 yds for a TD (Lucas Carneiro KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Riley Stephens kickoff for 54 yds , Julian Gray return for 17 yds to the LIB 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Billy Lucas run for 6 yds to the LIB 34

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, False Start (Jordan White) to the LIB 29

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.76

Vaughn Blue run for 11 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Billy Lucas run for 7 yds to the LIB 47

2nd & 3Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.01

Kaidon Salter sacked by Kent Robinson for a loss of 12 yards to the LIB 35

3rd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.83

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 24 yds to the WKU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, False Start (Jacob Jenkins) to the WKU 46

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Billy Lucas run for 8 yds to the WKU 38

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Billy Lucas run for 8 yds to the WKU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Billy Lucas run for no gain to the WKU 30

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Billy Lucas run for 9 yds to the WKU 21

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Julian Gray run for 6 yds to the WKU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the WKU 12

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the WKU 11

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Colin Karhu 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Caden Veltkamp pass complete to Kisean Johnson for 15 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Caden Veltkamp run for 1 yd to the WKU 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+2 yds

Cole Maynard punt for 47 yds , Brylan Green returns for 2 yds to the LIB 14

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Quinton Cooley run for 14 yds to the LIB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Quinton Cooley run for 24 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the WKU 45

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the WKU 44

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.88

Kaidon Salter run for 7 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.56

Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKU 41

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Quinton Cooley run for 8 yds to the WKU 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 14 yds to the WKU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the WKU 17

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Billy Lucas run for 7 yds to the WKU 10

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.87

Billy Lucas run for 6 yds to the WKU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Billy Lucas run for 1 yd to the WKU 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Caden Veltkamp run for 3 yds to the WKU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Caden Veltkamp pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Caden Veltkamp run for 5 yds to the WKU 33

4th & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.10

Caden Veltkamp pass intercepted Kisean Johnson return for no gain to the WKU 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Vaughn Blue run for 4 yds to the WKU 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

James Jointer Jr. run for 2 yds to the WKU 32

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

James Jointer Jr. run for 2 yds to the WKU 30

4th & 2Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.21

Ryan Burger pass complete to Treon Sibley for 29 yds to the WKU 1 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
27%
26 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
46%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
83%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
53%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
82%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play