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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 15.1

Home Win Probability

Middle Tennessee 16%

Market (Bovada)

Middle Tennessee +13

Edge: Liberty -13 (2.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
7203737
Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee
7001017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-147-207-277-3014-3017-37
Middle TennesseeLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MTLIBMTLIBMTLIBMTLIBMTLIBMTLIBMTLIBMTLIBMTLIBMTLIBPUNT534ydTO531ydTD342ydTD793ydPUNT39ydTO314ydPUNT3-5ydTD1485ydPUNT613ydTD796ydTO328ydTD523ydEND13ydPUNT30ydDOWNS1784ydFG879ydTD875ydTD679ydFG1044ydEND929yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Middle Tennessee
StatisticLibertyMiddle Tennessee
Passing12-1622-33
Pass Yards161263
Rush Yards33988
Total Yards500351
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-96-13
Penalties5-3310-93
Possession30:2329:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Kaidon Salter
11/15, 154 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Quinton Cooley
24 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Elijah Canion
3 REC, 54 YDS
defense
Middle Tennessee
passing
Nick Vattiato
22/33, 263 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jaiden Credle
10 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Holden Willis
5 REC, 81 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 30 yds to the LIB 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for 11 yds to the LIB 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Jekail Middlebrook run for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 38

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 14Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.31

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Eliyt Nairne and Chris Boti for a loss of 3 yards to the LIB 41

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.83

Julian Gray run for 16 yds to the LIB 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the LIB 33

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.40

Kaidon Salter run for 13 yds to the LIB 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the LIB 47

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -1.89

Julian Gray run for a loss of 5 yards to the LIB 42 Julian Gray fumbled, recovered by MTSU Brandon Buckner B. Buckner return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Nicholas Vattiato run for 14 yds to the LIB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(09:36) VATTIATO, Nicholas pass up the middle complete for 17 yards to SHERMAN, Javonte caught at the LIB15 and advanced to the LIB11 (WILLIAMS, Amarian;JONES, A'Khori), clock 09:25. PENALTY LIB Roughing the Passer enforced 15 yards from the LIB00 to the MTSU15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 6 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Zach Benedict kickoff for 60 yds , Julian Gray return for 31 yds to the LIB 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.39

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Canion for 11 yds to the LIB 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Kaidon Salter run for 9 yds to the LIB 27

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.78

Kaidon Salter run for 14 yds to the LIB 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Quinton Cooley run for 10 yds to the MTSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the MTSU 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Vaughn Blue run for 3 yds to the MTSU 41

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +4.04

Kaidon Salter run for 41 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaiden Credle run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTSU 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 5 yds to the MTSU 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 9 yds to the MTSU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Quinton Cooley run for 5 yds to the LIB 49

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the MTSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.59

Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the MTSU 42 Kaidon Salter fumbled, recovered by MTSU Xavier Williams X. Williams return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.13

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jekail Middlebrook for a loss of 6 yards to the MTSU 36

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 7 yds to the MTSU 43

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.84

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by CJ Bazile Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the MTSU 37

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

James Jointer Jr. run for 6 yds to the LIB 21

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

James Jointer Jr. run for 7 yds to the LIB 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

James Jointer Jr. run for 4 yds to the LIB 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

MORGAN, Max punt 18 yards to the MTSU50 out of bounds, clock 13:29. PENALTY Before the snap, MTSU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the LIB32 to the LIB37. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

(13:26) TEAM rush up the middle for no gain, fumbled at LIB37 , recovered by LIB COOLEY, Quinton at the LIB37, returned 0 yards to the LIB37, End of Play, clock 13:24. PENALTY MTSU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the LIB38 to the LIB43 and results in a 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.17

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the MTSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 7 yds to the MTSU 40

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.37

Kaidon Salter run for 15 yds to the MTSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the MTSU 22

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the MTSU 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Elijah Canion for 8 yds to the MTSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the MTSU 4

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.22

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Jaiden Credle for 6 yds to the MTSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Nicholas Vattiato run for 6 yds to the MTSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jaiden Credle run for 1 yd to the MTSU 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Chadwick punt for 58 yds, downed at the LIB 4

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.40

Quinton Cooley run for 13 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Quinton Cooley run for 12 yds to the LIB 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the LIB 30

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the LIB 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.88

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 17 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 11 yds to the MTSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Julian Gray run for 41 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Brayden Beck kickoff for 60 yds , Mitchell Howell return for 19 yds to the MTSU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 12 yds to the MTSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jekail Middlebrook run for 7 yds to the MTSU 43

2nd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.55

Nicholas Vattiato sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MTSU 23 Nicholas Vattiato fumbled, recovered by LIB Ethan Crisp , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Quinton Cooley run for 8 yds to the MTSU 15

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Quinton Cooley run for 3 yds to the MTSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Kaidon Salter sacked by Aidan Butts for a loss of 4 yards to the MTSU 16

2nd & 14Penalty+8 yds

(00:51) SALTER, Kaidon pass deep to the right incomplete intended for CANION, Elijah thrown to the MTSU0; QB hurried by STEWART, James, clock 00:43. PENALTY MTSU Holding on RABY, Tyrell enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the MTSU16 to the MTSU8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the MTSU 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 4 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Brayden Beck kickoff for 59 yds , Mitchell Howell return for 19 yds to the MTSU 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the MTSU 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 3 yds to the LIB 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Quinton Cooley run for 2 yds to the LIB 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the LIB 35

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Max Morgan punt for 54 yds, downed at the MTSU 11

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Terry Wilkins run for 11 yds to the MTSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 10 yds to the MTSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Myles Butler for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (Simon Wilson) to the MTSU 45

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.39

Jaiden Credle run for 11 yds to the LIB 44

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the LIB 44

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.59

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 5 yds to the LIB 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the LIB 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.39

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Cam'ron Lacy for 10 yds to the LIB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jekail Middlebrook run for 4 yds to the LIB 21

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jekail Middlebrook run for 5 yds to the LIB 16

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaiden Credle run for 2 yds to the LIB 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaiden Credle run for 3 yds to the LIB 11

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 6 yds to the LIB 5

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.15

Jaiden Credle run for no gain to the LIB 5

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the LIB 5

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Liberty Penalty, Offensive Holding (Treon Sibley) to the LIB 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Vaughn Blue run for 12 yds to the LIB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Abdul Muhammad) to the MTSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Abdul Muhammad) to the MTSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

James Jointer Jr. run for 3 yds to the MTSU 17

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the MTSU 16

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kaidon Salter pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+35 yds

Colin Karhu 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Bryce Dixon for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Ethan Crite for 8 yds to the MTSU 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, False Start (Zach Clayton) to the MTSU 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.07

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 22 yds to the MTSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Terry Wilkins run for 5 yds to the LIB 47

3rd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.46

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Hayes Sutton for 27 yds to the LIB 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Terry Wilkins run for 3 yds to the LIB 17

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Terry Wilkins for 17 yds for a TD (Zeke Rankin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Zach Benedict kickoff for 55 yds , Julian Gray return for 11 yds to the LIB 21

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Liberty Penalty, Delay Of Game (Kaidon Salter) to the LIB 16

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the LIB 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.95

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Treon Sibley for 17 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Quinton Cooley run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Quinton Cooley run for 10 yds to the MTSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the MTSU 34

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.92

Kaidon Salter pass complete to Julian Gray for 34 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 20 yds to the MTSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Nicholas Vattiato sacked by Eldric Griffin for a loss of 2 yards to the MTSU 43

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Jaiden Credle run for 9 yds to the LIB 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.03

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Holden Willis for 17 yds to the LIB 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Nicholas Vattiato run for 10 yds to the LIB 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Middle Tennessee Penalty, Offensive Holding (Simon Wilson) to the LIB 28

1st & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

2nd & 17Penalty-10 yds

(06:01) VATTIATO, Nicholas scrambles up the middle for a gain of 14 yards to the LIB14 (JACKSON, Teylor), clock 05:54. PENALTY MTSU Holding on WILSON, Simon enforced 10 yards from the LIB28 to the LIB38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 27Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Nicholas Vattiato pass complete to Javonte Sherman for 7 yds to the LIB 31

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Nicholas Vattiato pass incomplete

4th & 20Field Goal Good+48 yds

Zeke Rankin 48 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Zach Benedict kickoff for 9 yds , return for no gain to the MTSU 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

James Jointer Jr. run for 5 yds to the MTSU 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

James Jointer Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTSU 35

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.59

James Jointer Jr. run for 4 yds to the MTSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Caden Williams run for 4 yds to the MTSU 27

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Caden Williams run for 3 yds to the MTSU 24

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Ryan Burger pass complete to Vaughn Blue for 7 yds to the MTSU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Vaughn Blue run for 5 yds to the MTSU 12

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

(00:55) [NHSG] Kneel down by BURGER, Ryan at MTSU13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:52.

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.69

(00:21) [NHSG] Kneel down by BURGER, Ryan at MTSU15 (team loss of 2), clock 00:15.

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
33 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
0%
6 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Middle Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
86%
7 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play