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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Butler by 16.1

Home Win Probability

Butler 83%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Butler -6.5

Edge: Butler -6.5 (9.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
St. Thomas (MN)
707620
Butler
76101336

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-713-720-723-14
ButlerSt. Thomas (MN)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(ST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(BUTST(PUNT514ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT30ydTD1178ydTD475ydPUNT36ydMISS768ydPUNT833ydTO3-6ydTD533ydPUNT66ydTO822ydTD636ydPUNT3-6ydMISS829ydTD679ydFG857ydPUNT34ydPUNT731ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing St. Thomas (MN) and Butler
StatisticSt. Thomas (MN)Butler
Passing13-2615-21
Pass Yards214195
Rush Yards65108
Total Yards279303
Turnovers21
3rd Down1-106-13
Penalties5-281-5
Possession20:3529:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Tak Tateoka
13/26, 214 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Hope Adebayo
12 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Colin Chase
4 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
Butler
passing
Reagan Andrew
13/18, 168 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Nick Howard
14 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luke Wooten
4 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the STMN 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Eli Paulson for 14 yds to the BUT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 47

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Mariano Birdno for 3 yds to the BUT 44

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, Delay Of Game (Gabriel Abel) to the BUT 49

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Reagan Andrew sacked by Ryan Calcagno for a loss of 5 yards to the BUT 15

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Nick Howard run for 5 yds to the BUT 20

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.17

Reagan Andrew sacked by Noah Friedt for a loss of 5 yards to the BUT 15

4th & 15Punt+9 yds

Ryan Short punt for 50 yds , Colin Chase returns for 9 yds to the STMN 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+4 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 38 yds , Joey Audia returns for 4 yds to the BUT 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Joey Suchy run for 6 yds to the BUT 28

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Joey Suchy run for 6 yds to the BUT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Griffin Caldwell for 6 yds to the BUT 40

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Griffin Caldwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.65

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 14 yds to the STMN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Ethan Loss for 5 yds to the STMN 42

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Nick Howard run for 1 yd to the STMN 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Cameron Heald for 3 yds to the STMN 38

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.74

Reagan Andrew run for 2 yds to the STMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 36 yds for a TD (Ryan Short KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tak Tateoka run for no gain to the STMN 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.06

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 49 yds to the BUT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 25 yds to the BUT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tak Tateoka run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Hoiland KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Billy Dozier run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Nick Howard pass complete to Trevon Brown for 7 yds to the BUT 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Nick Howard pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Short punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STMN 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.52

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 38 yds to the BUT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 12 yds to the BUT 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.62

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 23 yds to the BUT 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Gabriel Abel run for no gain to the BUT 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

4th & 7Blocked Field Goal+24 yds

Ben Hoiland 24 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Griffin Caldwell run for 2 yds to the BUT 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.06

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 20 yds to the BUT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nick Howard run for no gain to the BUT 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.00

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 24 yds to the STMN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Joey Suchy run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Joey Audia for 1 yd to the STMN 40

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Butler Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STMN 45

3rd & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.15

Reagan Andrew sacked by Luke Herzog for a loss of 8 yards to the BUT 47

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Ryan Short punt for 38 yds , Colin Chase returns for no gain to the STMN 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 5 yds to the STMN 20

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 3 yards to the STMN 17

3rd & 8Penalty-7 yds

(08:49) TATEOKA, Tak pass to the left complete for 7 yards to WILDERMUTH, Jacob caught at the UST24 and advanced to the UST24 (STURTZ, Adam), clock 08:43. PENALTY UST Holding on RASMUSSEN, Alec enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the UST17 to the UST9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 16Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.36

Tak Tateoka pass intercepted Jeremiah Jackson return for no gain to the STMN 33

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Ershod Jasey II run for 9 yds to the STMN 24

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Ershod Jasey II run for 5 yds to the STMN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ershod Jasey II run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 20

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.05

Nick Howard pass complete to Trevon Brown for 20 yds for a TD (Ryan Short PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Aiden Carlson for 9 yds to the STMN 28

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tak Tateoka run for no gain to the STMN 28

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.67

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd to the STMN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.29

Tak Tateoka sacked by Ashton Nawrocki for a loss of 4 yards to the STMN 25

4th & 14Punt+43 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 43 yds , Joey Audia returns for no gain to the BUT 32 , returns for no gain to the BUT 32

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Tak Tateoka run for 9 yds to the BUT 23

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Tak Tateoka run for no gain to the BUT 23

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Grif Wurtz run for 3 yds to the BUT 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Hope Adebayo run for 11 yds to the BUT 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the BUT 6

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, Delay Of Game (Gabriel Abel) to the BUT 11

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd to the BUT 10

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+51 ydsPPA -3.92

Tak Tateoka pass intercepted Devaon Holman return for 51 yds to the STMN 49

0th & 10End of Half+2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ershod Jasey II run for 3 yds to the STMN 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Ethan Loss for 13 yds to the STMN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.57

Nick Howard run for 14 yds to the STMN 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Nick Howard run for 5 yds to the STMN 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Nick Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Nick Howard run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Short KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 24

2nd & 11Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.51

Tak Tateoka sacked by Jack Burch for a loss of 14 yards to the STMN 10

3rd & 25Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.02

Tak Tateoka run for 9 yds to the STMN 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Luke Wooten at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Billy Dozier run for 6 yds to the STMN 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Billy Dozier for 5 yds to the STMN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Reagan Andrew run for 6 yds to the STMN 33

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.12

Reagan Andrew run for 5 yds to the STMN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nick Howard run for 6 yds to the STMN 22

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Joey Suchy run for 1 yd to the STMN 21

4th & 3Blocked Field Goal+38 yds

Ryan Short 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Hope Adebayo run for 40 yds to the BUT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the BUT 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.72

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Eli Paulson for 12 yds to the BUT 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Joseph Koch for 3 yds to the BUT 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 9 yds to the BUT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 12 yds for a TD (Ben Hoiland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Brady Preston for 8 yds to the BUT 45

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.09

Reagan Andrew run for 4 yds to the BUT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.20

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 25 yds to the STMN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.20

Reagan Andrew run for 15 yds to the STMN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Reagan Andrew run for 1 yd to the STMN 10

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nick Howard run for 4 yds to the STMN 6

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Ryan Short 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the STMN 32

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Hope Adebayo run for no gain to the STMN 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 56 yds, downed at the BUT 12

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Nick Howard run for 13 yds to the BUT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nick Howard run for 1 yd to the BUT 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Ethan Loss for 8 yds to the BUT 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Reagan Andrew run for 5 yds to the BUT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Nick Howard run for 2 yds to the BUT 41

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Nick Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 40

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the BUT 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Short punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Colin Chase at the STMN 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, False Start (Grif Wurtz) to the STMN 11

Situational Analysis

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
23 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play