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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
San Diego
16
-Final
10
Dayton
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego by 0.6

Home Win Probability

Dayton 47%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Dayton +3.5

Edge: Dayton +3.5 (2.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego
1033016
Dayton
003710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-30-100-133-1610-16
DaytonSan Diego

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAYSDDAYSDDAYSDDAYSDDAYSDDAYSDSDDAYSDDAYSDDAYSDDAYSDDAYSDPUNT34ydFG1160ydTO236ydTD656ydPUNT615ydPUNT32ydTO545ydDOWNS621ydPUNT32ydFG874ydTO1066ydEND1-1ydTO1-3ydFG717ydFG537ydDOWNS1240ydPUNT3-2ydTO37ydPUNT3-4ydTD977ydPUNT728ydDOWNS41ydEND66yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego and Dayton
StatisticSan DiegoDayton
Passing12-1916-25
Pass Yards122151
Rush Yards147119
Total Yards269270
Turnovers14
3rd Down3-135-13
Penalties6-553-20
Possession29:1930:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego
passing
Grant Sergent
12/19, 122 YDS
rushing
Logan Gingg
28 CAR, 175 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'seem Reed
5 REC, 66 YDS
Dayton
passing
Drew VanVleet
15/24, 122 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Luke Hansen
23 CAR, 121 YDS
receiving
Jake Coleman
5 REC, 53 YDS

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 62 yds , Luke Brenner return for 18 yds to the DAY 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Luke Hansen run for 7 yds to the DAY 28

3rd & 3Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew VanVleet sacked by Brian Coburn and Jaevon Reels for a loss of 3 yards to the DAY 25

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 39 yds , Eric Haney returns for no gain to the USD 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 8 yds to the USD 43

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Logan Gingg run for 10 yds to the DAY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Logan Gingg run for 7 yds to the DAY 40

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the DAY 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.39

Grant Sergent pass complete to Christopher Hall for 14 yds to the DAY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 4 yds to the DAY 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.50

Grant Sergent pass complete to Peyton Smith for 12 yds to the DAY 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the DAY 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Aidan Lehman 22 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 65 yds , Luke Brenner return for 20 yds to the DAY 20

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Luke Hansen run for 21 yds to the DAY 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -2.34

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Hansen for 15 yds Luke Hansen fumbled, recovered by USD Malachi Cooper M. Cooper return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Logan Gingg run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the DAY 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Logan Gingg run for no gain to the DAY 47

4th & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +2.14

Grant Sergent pass complete to Logan Gingg for 2 yds to the DAY 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.59

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 40 yds to the DAY 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Logan Gingg run for 5 yds for a TD (Aidan Lehman KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Mason Hackett run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 9 yds to the DAY 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Luke Hansen run for 6 yds to the DAY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Luke Hansen run for 1 yd to the DAY 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Eric Haney at the USD 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the USD 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 44 yds, downed at the DAY 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Luke Hansen run for 2 yds to the DAY 31

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.30

Luke Hansen run for 17 yds to the DAY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.29

Luke Hansen run for 26 yds to the USD 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Mason Hackett run for 16 yds to the USD 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-16 ydsPPA -2.04

Drew VanVleet sacked for a loss of 16 yards to the USD 38 Drew VanVleet fumbled, recovered by USD Brian Coburn , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the USD 41

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Logan Gingg run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.19

Grant Sergent sacked by Aiden McKinley and Mirko Jaksic for a loss of 5 yards to the USD 45

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Logan Gingg run for no gain to the USD 45

3rd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.66

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 14 yds to the DAY 41

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.95

Logan Gingg run for no gain to the DAY 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 3 yds to the DAY 44

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Luke Hansen run for 1 yd to the DAY 45

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.94

Drew VanVleet sacked by Nate Fischer for a loss of 2 yards to the DAY 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 48 yds, downed at the USD 9

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.73

Logan Gingg run for 53 yds to the DAY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Smith run for 2 yds to the DAY 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.73

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 11 yds to the DAY 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Grant Sergent pass complete to Logan Gingg for 6 yds to the DAY 19

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the DAY 17

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Aidan Lehman 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 60 yds , Paul Kelly return for 29 yds to the DAY 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the DAY 37

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.33

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 9 yds to the DAY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.41

Gavin Lochow pass complete to Luke Brenner for 29 yds to the USD 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Luke Hansen run for a loss of 2 yards to the USD 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 7 yds to the USD 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 10 yds to the USD 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Luke Hansen run for no gain to the USD 9

3rd & 9Penalty+4 yds

VANVLEET, Drew pass to the left incomplete intended for VRBANCIC, Dominic thrown to the USD0. PENALTY USD Offsides enforced 4 yards from the USD9 to the USD5 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -4.24

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 5 yds Gavin Lochow fumbled, recovered by USD Matt Ballentine M. Ballentine return for 14 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

[NH] Kneel down by SERGENT, Grant at USD13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -0.92

Grant Sergent run for a loss of 3 yards to the USD 22 Grant Sergent fumbled, recovered by DAY Jack Wardzala J. Wardzala return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Luke Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 23

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Luke Hansen run for 1 yd to the USD 22

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 14 yds to the USD 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Luke Hansen run for 6 yds to the USD 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Luke Hansen run for no gain to the USD 2

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Luke Hansen run for a loss of 3 yards to the USD 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Danny Baker 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.23

Logan Gingg run for 29 yds to the DAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the DAY 33

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the DAY 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 3 yds to the DAY 28

4th & 2Field Goal Good+45 yds

Aidan Lehman 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 63 yds , Luke Brenner return for 20 yds to the DAY 22

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Luke Hansen run for 12 yds to the DAY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Luke Hansen run for 2 yds to the DAY 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

San Diego Penalty, Defensive Holding (TEAM) to the DAY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 47

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Drew VanVleet run for no gain to the DAY 47

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.87

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 12 yds to the USD 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Luke Hansen run for no gain to the USD 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 10 yds to the USD 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the USD 36

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Luke Hansen run for 3 yds to the USD 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 2 yds to the USD 31

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Drew VanVleet run for 4 yds to the USD 27

4th & 6Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.63

Drew VanVleet sacked by Giovanni Iovino and Jack Hemmert for a loss of 11 yards to the USD 38

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Logan Gingg run for 5 yds to the USD 43

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Logan Gingg run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 42

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Grant Sergent sacked by Ca'ron Coleman for a loss of 6 yards to the USD 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Paul Kelly at the DAY 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Drew VanVleet run for 4 yds to the DAY 30

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Hansen run for 3 yds to the DAY 33

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.59

Drew VanVleet pass intercepted Trey Ortega return for no gain to the USD 49

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

San Diego Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Yards) to the USD 42

2nd & 17Penalty+5 yds

Dayton Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the USD 47

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the USD 49

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.99

Grant Sergent sacked by Gideon Lampron for a loss of 4 yards to the USD 45

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 32 yds, downed at the DAY 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Luke Hansen run for 1 yd to the DAY 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 12 yds to the DAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 5 yds to the DAY 41

2nd & 5Penalty+16 yds

QB Keeper VANVLEET, Drew rush up the middle for a gain of 11 yards to the USD48, End of Play. PENALTY USD Face mask enforced 16 yards from the DAY47 to the USD37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.38

Drew VanVleet sacked by Ryan Meloche for a loss of 7 yards to the USD 44

3rd & 17Penalty+15 yds

San Diego Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the USD 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Luke Hansen run for 9 yds to the USD 20

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.41

Luke Hansen run for 9 yds to the USD 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Luke Brenner run for 6 yds to the USD 5

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.34

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Donovan Weatherly for 5 yds for a TD (Danny Baker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

David Maurer kickoff for 57 yds , Eric Haney return for 20 yds to the USD 12

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.65

Logan Gingg run for 13 yds to the USD 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Logan Gingg run for 6 yds to the USD 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Logan Gingg run for 1 yd to the USD 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the USD 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the USD 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Grant Sergent pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Grant Sergent pass complete to Cole Monach for 3 yds to the USD 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Paul Kelly at the DAY 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 4 yds to the DAY 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 6Sack-3 ydsPPA +0.19

Drew VanVleet sacked by Malachi Cooper for a loss of 3 yards to the DAY 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the DAY 21

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the DAY 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Grant Sergent pass complete to Bradley Schlom for 5 yds to the DAY 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

[NH] Kneel down by SERGENT, Grant at DAY15 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.59

Kneel down by SERGENT, Grant at DAY17 (team loss of 2).

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kneel down by SERGENT, Grant at DAY18 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
23 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays