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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Drake by 5.8

Home Win Probability

St. Thomas (MN) 34%

Market (ESPN Bet)

St. Thomas (MN) +4.5

Edge: Drake -4.5 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Drake
0107522
St. Thomas (MN)
0103619

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-710-1013-1713-22
St. Thomas (MN)Drake

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ST(DRADRADRADRAST(DRAST(ST(ST(DRAST(DRAST(DRAST(DRAST(DRAST(DRAPUNT836ydPUNT825ydTD1080ydEND10ydTO10ydTO35ydFG1118ydFG1071ydTD533ydMISS1150ydTD310ydFG1019ydPUNT7-5ydSAF40ydPUNT611ydPUNT36ydFG519ydDOWNS519ydPUNT32ydTD889ydEND3-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Drake and St. Thomas (MN)
StatisticDrakeSt. Thomas (MN)
Passing20-2617-30
Pass Yards167218
Rush Yards3869
Total Yards205287
Turnovers11
3rd Down5-126-16
Penalties7-673-21
Possession31:5628:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Drake
passing
Luke Bailey
20/26, 167 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Blake Ellingson
5 CAR, 17 YDS
receiving
Taj Hughes
8 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Tak Tateoka
16/29, 194 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Hope Adebayo
23 CAR, 99 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Colin Chase
6 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.88

Hope Adebayo run for 15 yds to the STMN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 4 yds to the STMN 33

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the STMN 38

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tateoka,Tak rush middle (Adamski,Sebastian).

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the STMN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the STMN 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Hope Adebayo run to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Davion Cherwin run for 2 yds to the DRKE 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 10 yds to the DRKE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for 3 yds to the DRKE 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.46

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 8 yds to the DRKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.33

Hughes,Taj rush (Suraju,Delainey;Sever,Ryan), PENALTY DRA inelgible downfield on pass (Adamski,Sebastian) 6 yards to the UST46. Drake Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-6 Yards) to the DRKE 42

1st & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Davion Cherwin run for 1 yd to the DRKE 43

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

pass incomplete to Parker Olthoff

3rd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Luke Bailey pass complete to Luke Woodson for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Drake Penalty, false start (Nathan VanDeWoestyne) to the STMN 22

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Luke Woodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the DRKE 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 6 yds to the DRKE 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.80

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 22 yds to the DRKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Luke Woodson run for 1 yd to the DRKE 47

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Blake Ellingson run for 15 yds to the STMN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Luke Bailey pass complete to Parker Olthoff for 10 yds to the STMN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 11 yds to the STMN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 9 yds to the STMN 13

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Luke Woodson run for 2 yds to the STMN 11

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.80

Trey Radocha 11 Yd pass from Luke Bailey (Shane Dunning Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 58 yds , Taj Hughes return for no gain to the DRKE 12

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 52 yds , Taj Hughes return for 12 yds to the DRKE 25

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Luke Bailey pass intercepted

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Griffin Kollhoff kickoff for 51 yds , Colin Chase return for 16 yds to the STMN 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the STMN 32

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the STMN 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth, broken up by Tom Shefte

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Luke Bailey pass complete to Davion Cherwin for 5 yds to the STMN 41

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 12 yds Luke Bailey fumbled, recovered by DRKE Sebastian Adamski for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Blake Ellingson run for 6 yds to the STMN 23

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Luke Bailey pass complete to Jaxon Laminack for 7 yds to the STMN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Davion Cherwin run for 3 yds to the STMN 13

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.71

Blake Ellingson run for a loss of 4 yards to the STMN 17

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 13 yds to the STMN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.49

Davion Cherwin run for 3 yds to the STMN 1 Drake Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Nathan Henry) to the STMN 16

2nd & 16Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.75

Luke Bailey sacked by C.J. Warren for a loss of 12 yards to the STMN 28

3rd & 28Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Luke Bailey pass incomplete to Parker Olthoff, broken up by C.J. Warren

4th & 28Field Goal Good+45 yds

Shane Dunning 45 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Griffin Kollhoff kickoff for 65 yds , Gabriel Abel return for 19 yds to the STMN 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Hope Adebayo run for 7 yds to the STMN 26

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the STMN 28

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.39

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 9 yds to the STMN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd to the STMN 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.38

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 16 yds to the DRKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.00

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 32 yds to the DRKE 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 3 yards to the DRKE 17

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth

3rd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 7 yds to the DRKE 10

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Ben Hoiland 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the DRKE 28

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the DRKE 26

3rd & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.96

Landon Reed pass complete to Tak Tateoka for 24 yds to the DRKE 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Adebayo,Hope rush (Ward,Jack;Radocha,Tyler), PENALTY DRA substitution infraction 1 yard to the DRA03. Drake Penalty, substitution infraction (Dorian Boyland) to the DRKE 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Hope Adebayo 1 Yd Run (Ben Hoiland Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Colin Chase

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the STMN 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.72

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 11 yds to the DRKE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Hope Adebayo run for 12 yds to the DRKE 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the DRKE 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 6 yds to the DRKE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth, broken up by Mekhi Toms for a 1ST down Drake Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Mekhi Toms) to the DRKE 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Patrick Wagner

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Abel,Gabriel rush middle (Anderson,Trystan;Allison,Sean).

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Griffin Kollhoff kickoff for 55 yds , Gabriel Abel return for 28 yds to the STMN 38

4th & 10Missed Field Goal Return+17 yds

Ben Hoiland 28 yd FG MISSED for a 1ST down , Caleb Bowling return for no gain to the STMN 12 for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Shea Albrecht) to the STMN 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Davion Cherwin run for 5 yds to the STMN 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for no gain to the STMN 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Taj Hughes 5 Yd pass from Luke Bailey (Shane Dunning Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+52 yds

Griffin Kollhoff kickoff for 47 yds , Mariano Birdno return for 52 yds to the DRKE 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd to the DRKE 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 7 yds to the DRKE 22

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.30

Tak Tateoka run for 2 yds to the DRKE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 21

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 6 yds to the DRKE 15

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Hope Adebayo run for 7 yds to the DRKE 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the DRKE 5

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, delay of game (Grif Wurtz) to the DRKE 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Ben Hoiland 28 Yd Field Goal

2nd & 32Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Luke Bailey run for 6 yds to the DRKE 32

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 58 yds , Brandon Langdok return for 30 yds to the DRKE 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Luke Bailey pass complete to Mitchell January for 5 yds to the DRKE 42

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Luke Woodson run for 6 yds to the DRKE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -2.98

Blake Ellingson run for a loss of 2 yards to the DRKE 46 Drake Penalty, illegal block (Mitchell January) to the DRKE 38

1st & 20Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -1.14

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for no gain to the DRKE 38 Drake Penalty, personal foul (Dorian Boyland) to the DRKE 23

1st & 35Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Luke Woodson run for 3 yds to the DRKE 26

3rd & 26Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

pass incomplete

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Abel,Gabriel rush left (Auen,Jacob).

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

pass incomplete to Colin Chase

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Patrick Wagner, broken up by CJ Grisar

4th & 10Safety-30 ydsPPA -1.76

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Davion Cherwin run for 5 yds to the DRKE 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Davion Cherwin run for 2 yds to the DRKE 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.05

Luke Bailey pass complete to Taj Hughes for 10 yds to the DRKE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Davion Cherwin run for a loss of 5 yards to the DRKE 41

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Hunter Johnson

3rd & 15Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Bailey pass complete to Trey Radocha for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 40

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 16

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Eli Paulson for 7 yds to the STMN 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

pass incomplete to Eli Paulson

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 36 yds , Jaxon Laminack returns for 5 yds to the DRKE 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Luke Bailey pass complete to Davion Cherwin for 14 yds to the STMN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Luke Woodson run for 3 yds to the STMN 37

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Blake Ellingson run for 2 yds to the STMN 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Trey Radocha

4th & 5Field Goal Good+52 yds

Shane Dunning 52 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.00

Hope Adebayo run for 24 yds to the DRKE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 42

2nd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.82

Tak Tateoka sacked by Finn Claypool for a loss of 4 yards to the DRKE 46

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth

4th & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete, broken up by Sean Allison

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Davion Cherwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 45

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Davion Cherwin run for 2 yds to the DRKE 47

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Luke Woodson run for 1 yd to the DRKE 48

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Shane Dunning punt for 49 yds , Colin Chase returns for 8 yds to the STMN 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 4 yds to the STMN 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 5 yds to the STMN 20

3rd & 1Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.28

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 23 yds to the STMN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Gabriel Abel, broken up by Sebastian Adamski

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 9 yds to the DRKE 48

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.29

Tak Tateoka run for 4 yds to the DRKE 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

T. Tateoka pass to C. Chase for 44 yds for a TD (B. Hoiland PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Elliot Huether kickoff for 15 yds , Brandon Langdok return for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Luke Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 49

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Luke Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 48

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Luke Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the DRKE 48

Situational Analysis

Drake

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
20 plays
25%
4 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
4th

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
33%
24 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play