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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Butler by 21.8

Home Win Probability

Valparaiso 10%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Valparaiso +14.5

Edge: Butler -14.5 (7.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Butler
7100724
Valparaiso
0100717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-107-1710-1710-2417-24
ValparaisoButler

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTVALBUTPUNT517ydPUNT624ydTD1180ydPUNT3-3ydFG643ydPUNT610ydTO312ydTD443ydTD778ydFG953ydUncategorized00ydDOWNS1039ydPUNT514ydPUNT38ydPUNT35ydPUNT36ydTD1080ydTD860ydMISS1148ydTO522ydEND32yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Butler and Valparaiso
StatisticButlerValparaiso
Passing16-238-17
Pass Yards239158
Rush Yards145105
Total Yards384263
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-129-16
Penalties2-152-10
Possession32:0127:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Butler
passing
Reagan Andrew
15/22, 232 YDS
rushing
Nick Howard
13 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luke Wooten
8 REC, 138 YDS
Valparaiso
passing
Caron Tyler
8/16, 158 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Michael Mansaray
23 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Gary Givens III
3 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nick Howard run for 6 yds to the BUT 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Reagan Andrew run for 5 yds to the BUT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Griffin Caldwell for 5 yds to the BUT 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Cameron Heald for 1 yd to the BUT 42

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Ryan Short punt for 33 yds , Colin Graves returns for 2 yds to the VAL 27

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Michael Mansaray run for 8 yds to the VAL 35

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Caron Tyler pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Michael Mansaray run for 11 yds to the VAL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Mansaray run for 5 yds to the BUT 49

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Michael Mansaray run for no gain to the BUT 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Caron Tyler pass incomplete, broken up by Nick Bafia

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Reagan Andrew run for 4 yds to the BUT 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.87

Nick Howard pass complete to Trevon Brown for 7 yds to the BUT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Joey Suchy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 30

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Luke Wooten run for 4 yds to the BUT 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Steven Williams II for 1 yd to the BUT 35

4th & 6Penalty+5 yds

Valparaiso Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the BUT 40

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the BUT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.90

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 41 yds to the VAL 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Andrew, Reagan pass complete to Suchy, Joey for 1 yard to the VALPO15 (BEDELL), PENALTY BUTLER holding (Schwitzgebel, N) 10 yards to the VALPO26, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Nick Howard run for 8 yds to the VAL 18

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Nick Howard run for 14 yds to the VAL 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the VAL 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Nick Howard 1 Yd Run (Ryan Short Kick)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Ryan Short kickoff for 63 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 25 yds to the VAL 27

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Caron Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 26

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brian Thomas run for 5 yds to the VAL 31

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.56

Caron Tyler sacked by Ashton Nawrocki for a loss of 7 yards to the VAL 24

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Reagan Andrew run for no gain to the BUT 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.64

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 40 yds to the VAL 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the VAL 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+41 yds

Ryan Short 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Michael Mansaray run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 24

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Caron Tyler run for 2 yds to the VAL 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.89

Caron Tyler pass complete to Jack Coulson for 20 yds to the VAL 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caron Tyler pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Michael Mansaray run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAL 44

3rd & 12Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.76

Caron Tyler sacked by Jack Burch for a loss of 9 yards to the VAL 35

4th & 21Punt+7 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 41 yds , Joey Audia returns for 7 yds to the BUT 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 7 yds to the BUT 38

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Nick Howard run for 1 yd to the BUT 39

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Butler Penalty, Offensive offside (-5 Yards) to the BUT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -2.63

Joey Audia run for 3 yds to the BUT 43 Joey Audia fumbled, forced by Colin Graves, recovered by VAL Kevin Spelman

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caron Tyler run for 5 yds to the BUT 38

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Caron Tyler run for no gain to the BUT 38

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.32

Michael Mansaray run for 5 yds to the BUT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Caron Tyler pass complete to Gary Givens III for 33 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Ryan Hawk kickoff for 63 yds , Joey Audia return for 20 yds to the BUT 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Billy Dozier run for 2 yds to the BUT 24

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 6 yds to the BUT 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.05

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Joey Audia for 26 yds to the VAL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Nick Howard run for 2 yds to the VAL 42

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Luke Wooten run for 1 yd to the VAL 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.83

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 40 yds to the VAL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Reagan Andrew run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Short KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+37 yds

Ryan Short kickoff for 65 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 37 yds to the VAL 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.91

Caron Tyler pass complete to Gary Givens III for 24 yds to the BUT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caron Tyler run for 5 yds to the BUT 34

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Michael Mansaray run for 4 yds to the BUT 30

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.40

Caron Tyler run for 3 yds to the BUT 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.23

Caron Tyler pass complete to Chris Gundy for 17 yds to the BUT 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Caron Tyler run for no gain to the BUT 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

TEAM pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Jack Coulson, broken up by Steven Stephany

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Ryan Hawk 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Ryan Hawk kickoff for 60 yds , Steven Williams II return for 34 yds to the BUT 39

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Ryan Short kickoff for 65 yds , Brian Thomas return for 26 yds to the VAL 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Michael Mansaray run for 1 yd to the VAL 27

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Michael Mansaray run for 5 yds to the VAL 32

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.61

Michael Mansaray run for 6 yds to the VAL 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Jack Coulson, broken up by Steven Stephany

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Michael Mansaray run for 6 yds to the VAL 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.41

Caron Tyler pass complete to Chris Gundy for 13 yds to the BUT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Michael Mansaray run for 6 yds to the BUT 37

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Michael Mansaray run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Caron Tyler pass complete to Max Carter for 3 yds to the BUT 35

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.39

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Chris Gundy

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Reagan Andrew run for 2 yds to the BUT 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.78

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 10 yds to the BUT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Reagan Andrew run for 2 yds to the BUT 49

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Griffin Caldwell run for no gain to the BUT 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete to Trevon Brown, broken up by Nic Lendino

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Short punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VAL 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Caron Tyler run for 6 yds to the VAL 41

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Brian Thomas, broken up by Jeremiah Jackson

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Michael Mansaray run for 2 yds to the VAL 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Joey Audia at the BUT 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete to Luke Wooten, broken up by Jimmy Pouba

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ethan Loss run for 5 yds to the BUT 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete to Luke Wooten

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Short punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Colin Graves at the VAL 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Michael Mansaray run for 3 yds to the VAL 41

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Michael Mansaray run for 3 yds to the VAL 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Chris Gundy

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Howard run for no gain to the BUT 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Drew Cassens for 14 yds to the BUT 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Griffin Caldwell run for 4 yds to the BUT 38

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Griffin Caldwell run for no gain to the BUT 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.15

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Trevon Brown for 7 yds to the BUT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Reagan Andrew run for 11 yds to the VAL 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Howard run for 4 yds to the VAL 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Luke Wooten run for 5 yds to the VAL 35

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Nick Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 36

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.70

Joey Suchy run for 36 yds for a TD (Ryan Short KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Ryan Short kickoff for 39 yds , Alex Goworowski return for 14 yds to the VAL 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Michael Mansaray run for 2 yds to the VAL 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.79

Caron Tyler pass complete to Gary Givens III for 36 yds to the BUT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Michael Mansaray run for 4 yds to the BUT 18

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Caron Tyler run for 3 yds to the BUT 15

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Michael Mansaray run for 7 yds to the BUT 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Michael Mansaray run for no gain to the BUT 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Michael Mansaray run for 3 yds to the BUT 5

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Michael Mansaray run for 5 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nick Howard run for 6 yds to the BUT 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Joey Audia run for 1 yd to the BUT 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 10 yds to the BUT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the BUT 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 10 yds to the VAL 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the VAL 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 14 yds to the VAL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Griffin Caldwell run for 1 yd to the VAL 27

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Butler Penalty, false start (Hayden Olmsted) to the VAL 32

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Luke Wooten run for 5 yds to the VAL 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete to Steven Williams II, broken up by Jimmy Pouba

4th & 9Blocked Field Goal+44 yds

Ryan Short 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Onye Nwosisi Short, Ryan field goal attempt from 44 BLOCKED, recovered by VALPO BIRMINGHAM at VALPO28 spot at VALPO28, clock 02:11 (blocked by NWOSISI), BIRMINGHAM for loss of 1 yard to the VALPO27. Jake Birmingham return for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 27

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Caron Tyler sacked by Justin Anagonye for a loss of 3 yards to the VAL 24

2nd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Caron Tyler run for 11 yds to the VAL 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Caron Tyler pass complete to Chris Gundy for 12 yds to the VAL 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Caron Tyler run for 9 yds to the BUT 44

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -4.08

Caron Tyler run for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard line Caron Tyler fumbled, recovered by BUT Tyson Garrett , return to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Joey Suchy run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Reagan Andrew run for 4 yds to the VAL 46

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAL 48

Situational Analysis

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
26%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
64%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Valparaiso

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
21 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play