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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2024Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Dayton by 8

Home Win Probability

Presbyterian 31%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Presbyterian +5.5

Edge: Dayton -5.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Dayton
00707
Presbyterian
51010328

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-05-012-015-022-025-728-7
PresbyterianDayton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREDAYPREFG1355ydUncategorized39ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-11ydTD1364ydDOWNS618ydFG1244ydPUNT722ydEND1-2ydTO41ydTD429ydDOWNS962ydFG877ydTD1270ydPUNT58ydTO955ydPUNT412ydTO110ydFG1024ydTO770ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Dayton and Presbyterian
StatisticDaytonPresbyterian
Passing26-4022-28
Pass Yards231208
Rush Yards58128
Total Yards289336
Turnovers40
3rd Down3-105-15
Penalties4-2810-92
Possession23:1536:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Dayton
passing
Drew VanVleet
26/40, 231 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Luke Hansen
9 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Alec Keathley
3 REC, 48 YDS
Presbyterian
passing
Collin Hurst
22/27, 208 YDS
rushing
Quante Jennings
17 CAR, 89 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dominic Kibby
7 REC, 73 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Collin Hurst pass complete to Antonio Wright for 7 yds to the PRES 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Collin Hurst pass complete to Antonio Wright for 1 yd to the PRES 33

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Antonio Wright run for a loss of 4 yards to the PRES 29

4th & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.20

Nathan Levicki run for 9 yds to the PRES 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Quante Jennings run for no gain to the PRES 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.10

Collin Hurst pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 28 yds to the DAY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Collin Hurst pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 9 yds to the DAY 25

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.43

Collin Hurst pass complete to CJ Johnson for 4 yds to the DAY 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Collin Hurst run for 10 yds to the DAY 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Antonio Wright run for no gain to the DAY 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Collin Hurst pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.08

Collin Hurst sacked by Aiden McKinley for a loss of 9 yards to the DAY 20

4th & 19Field Goal Good+37 yds

Peter Lipscombe 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+60 yds

Constantine Gandis kickoff for 60 yds , Gavin Lochow return for no gain to the DAY 14 , return for no gain to the DAY 14 , Mason Hackett return for no gain to the DAY 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the DAY 17

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 5 yds to the DAY 23

4th & 1Safety0 ydsPPA -1.92

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Antonio Wright run for 3 yds to the PRES 46

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

HURST, Collin pass to the right complete for -1 yard to JENNINGS, Quante caught at the PRESBY40 and advanced to the PRESBY45 (COLEMAN, Ca'ron). PENALTY PRESBY Holding on GILL, Cincere enforced 10 yards from the PRESBY46 to the PRESBY36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Quante Jennings run for 3 yds to the PRES 39

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Collin Hurst pass complete to Cincere Gill for 8 yds to the PRES 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

punt for 19 yds, downed at the DAY 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Luke Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 33

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.40

Drew VanVleet sacked by Nigel Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the DAY 23

4th & 21Punt+11 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 50 yds , Cincere Gill returns for 11 yds to the PRES 34 Presbyterian Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the PRES 36

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Presbyterian Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (JT Hill) to the PRES 24

2nd & 22Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Collin Hurst pass complete to Quante Jennings for 6 yds to the PRES 30

3rd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.95

Collin Hurst pass complete to Cincere Gill for 15 yds to the PRES 45

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.56

Worth Warner run for 7 yds to the DAY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Quante Jennings run for a loss of 3 yards to the PRES 49

2nd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.49

Antonio Wright run for 11 yds to the DAY 40

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Worth Warner run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 41

4th & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Collin Hurst pass complete to Wyatt Hodges for 10 yds to the DAY 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Collin Hurst pass complete to Wyatt Hodges for 3 yds to the DAY 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Collin Hurst pass complete to Wyatt Hodges for 8 yds to the DAY 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Collin Hurst pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 8 yds to the DAY 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Collin Hurst pass complete to Dominic Kibby for no gain to the DAY 12

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.67

Quante Jennings run for 12 yds for a TD (Peter Lipscombe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Constantine Gandis kickoff for 62 yds , Luke Brenner return for 18 yds to the DAY 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 10 yds to the DAY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 2 yds to the DAY 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 6 yds to the PRES 45

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cade Beam run for no gain to the PRES 45

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.43

Luke Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRES 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jalen Patrick run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRES 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.16

Collin Hurst pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 11 yds to the DAY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Quante Jennings run for 2 yds to the DAY 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Collin Hurst pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 3 yds to the DAY 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Collin Hurst pass complete to Quante Jennings for 10 yds to the DAY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Collin Hurst run for 6 yds to the DAY 23

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Quante Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 24

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Collin Hurst pass complete to Worth Warner for 14 yds to the DAY 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Antonio Wright run for no gain to the DAY 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Collin Hurst pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Collin Hurst pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Peter Lipscombe 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

GANDIS, Constantine kickoff 61 yards from the PRESBY35 to the FLYERS4, BRENNER, Luke returned 21 yards to the FLYERS25 (ELMORE, Keith), clock 01:53. PENALTY PRESBY Offsides enforced 5 yards from the PRESBY35 to the PRESBY30. NO PLAY (replay the down).

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Constantine Gandis kickoff for 56 yds , Paul Kelly return for 20 yds to the DAY 29

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Hansen for a loss of 2 yards to the DAY 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 9 yds to the DAY 36

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.48

Luke Hansen run for 4 yds to the DAY 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 11 yds to the PRES 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

[NH] Kneel down by HURST, Collin at PRESBY18 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mason Hackett run for 5 yds to the DAY 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 5 yds to the DAY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the DAY 40

2nd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.64

Drew VanVleet sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the DAY 29 Drew VanVleet fumbled, recovered by PRES Jacob Thornton , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Collin Hurst pass complete to Quante Jennings for a loss of 3 yards to the DAY 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.17

Collin Hurst pass complete to Dominic Kibby for 14 yds to the DAY 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Worth Warner run for 8 yds for a TD (Peter Lipscombe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Constantine Gandis kickoff for 56 yds , Ty Stylski return for 11 yds to the DAY 20

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Luke Hansen run for 8 yds to the DAY 28

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.16

Luke Hansen run for 5 yds to the DAY 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 15 yds to the DAY 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Drew VanVleet run for 6 yds to the PRES 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.95

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 21 yds to the PRES 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, False Start (Donovan Weatherly) to the PRES 30

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 8 yds to the PRES 22

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Luke Hansen run for 4 yds to the PRES 18

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.57

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.02

Collin Hurst pass complete to Jayden Pressey for 25 yds to the PRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Quante Jennings run for 3 yds to the PRES 46

2nd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Quante Jennings run for 25 yds to the DAY 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Montgomery run for no gain to the DAY 8

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

CJ Johnson run for 3 yds to the DAY 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Collin Hurst pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Peter Lipscombe 22 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Constantine Gandis kickoff for 57 yds , Ty Stylski return for 22 yds to the DAY 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Mason Hackett run for 7 yds to the DAY 37

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty+12 yds

VANVLEET, Drew pass to the left incomplete intended for COLEMAN, Jake thrown to the FLYERS49. PENALTY PRESBY Pass Interference enforced at the spot of the foul for 12 yards to the FLYERS49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 8 yds to the PRES 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.56

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Dominic Vrbancic for 20 yds to the PRES 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Luke Hansen run for 3 yds to the PRES 20

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Ethan Thulin for 1 yd to the PRES 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Hansen for 1 yd to the PRES 18

4th & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Ethan Thulin for 11 yds to the PRES 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

HANSEN, Luke rush to the left for a loss of 5 yards to the PRESBY7 (HERRIOTT, Alex;RUSS-MARTIN, Bradley). PENALTY Before the snap, FLYERS Illegal Shift enforced 0 yards PRESBY Unnecessary Roughness on SANTIAGO, Frank enforced 0 yards from the PRESBY17 to the PRESBY12, from the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with -5 yards on the play. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mason Hackett run for 4 yds to the PRES 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds for a TD (Danny Baker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

David Maurer kickoff for 58 yds , Cincere Gill return for 18 yds to the PRES 25

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MONTGOMERY, Justin rush to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the PRESBY36 (MILLER, Logan), out of bounds, clock 00:00. PENALTY PRESBY Holding on LEVICKI, Nathan enforced 10 yards from the PRESBY25 to the PRESBY15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Collin Hurst pass complete to Wyatt Hodges for 16 yds to the PRES 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Justin Montgomery run for 4 yds to the PRES 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Justin Montgomery run for no gain to the PRES 35

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Montgomery run for 3 yds to the PRES 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Collin Hurst pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

Presbyterian Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the PRES 33

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ezra King punt for 55 yds, downed at the DAY 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Hansen for 3 yds to the DAY 15

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Gavin Lochow run for 4 yds to the DAY 19

3rd & 3Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.75

Luke Hansen run for 27 yds to the DAY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 5 yds to the PRES 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.88

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 6 yds to the PRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 11 yds to the PRES 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -4.13

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Hansen for a loss of 1 yard fumbled, forced by Sebastian Conwell, recovered by PRES Tariq Hollinger T. Hollinger return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Collin Hurst pass complete to Jayden Pressey for 11 yds to the PRES 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quante Jennings run for 4 yds to the PRES 48

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Quante Jennings run for 1 yd to the PRES 49

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.39

Collin Hurst sacked by Jack Wardzala for a loss of 4 yards to the PRES 45

4th & 9Punt+25 yds

Ezra King punt for 45 yds , Paul Kelly returns for 25 yds to the DAY 35

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -1.76

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 10 yds Gavin Lochow fumbled, recovered by PRES Tariq Hollinger T. Hollinger return for 4 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Collin Hurst run for 3 yds to the DAY 38

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Quante Jennings run for 4 yds to the DAY 34

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Quante Jennings run for 7 yds to the DAY 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Quante Jennings run for 5 yds to the DAY 22

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Warner Bush run for a loss of 4 yards to the DAY 26

3rd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.21

Quante Jennings run for 14 yds to the DAY 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Quante Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the DAY 14

2nd & 12Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Montgomery run for a loss of 3 yards to the DAY 17

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Warner Bush pass incomplete

4th & 15Field Goal Good+34 yds

Peter Lipscombe 34 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Constantine Gandis kickoff for 55 yds , Ty Stylski return for 16 yds to the DAY 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 18 yds to the DAY 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.39

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 17 yds to the PRES 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.55

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Chase Holmes for 21 yds to the PRES 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 10 yds to the PRES 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty+4 yds

VANVLEET, Drew pass up the middle incomplete intended for LOCHOW, Gavin thrown to the PRESBY0. PENALTY PRESBY Offsides enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the PRESBY8 to the PRESBY4 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -5.31

Drew VanVleet pass intercepted, touchback. Zeb Stroup return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

[NH] Kneel down by BUSH, Warner at PRESBY19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
35%
26 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
3 plays
100%
2 plays

Presbyterian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play