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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Thomas (MN) by 1.6

Home Win Probability

St. Thomas (MN) 51%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego
077014
St. Thomas (MN)
10107734

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284210-027-727-1434-14
St. Thomas (MN)San Diego

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDST(SDST(SDSDST(SDST(ST(SDST(SDST(SDST(ST(SDST(SDST(PUNT736ydTD890ydTO21ydFG130ydTO10ydTD1268ydTD675ydUncategorized646ydPUNT37ydFG521ydDOWNS826ydTD160ydTD870ydTO1040ydPUNT34ydPUNT59ydTD170ydUncategorized9-1ydDOWNS1132ydDOWNS47ydUncategorized26yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego and St. Thomas (MN)
StatisticSan DiegoSt. Thomas (MN)
Passing11-2611-19
Pass Yards144116
Rush Yards121343
Total Yards265459
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-138-15
Penalties1-54-35
Possession26:1033:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego
passing
Grant Sergent
11/26, 144 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Logan Gingg
23 CAR, 120 YDS
receiving
Ja'seem Reed
4 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Tak Tateoka
10/18, 105 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Hope Adebayo
18 CAR, 277 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Colin Chase
4 REC, 51 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Ja'seem Reed run for 12 yds to the USD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kenyon Sims run for 2 yds to the USD 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Grant Sergent pass complete to Peyton Smith for 6 yds to the USD 45

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.19

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Joseph Obeto) to the STMN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the STMN 39

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Josh Heverly

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the STMN 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 11

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Tak Tateoka run for 10 yds to the STMN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the STMN 23

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd to the STMN 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.74

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 34 yds to the USD 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +4.20

Hope Adebayo 42 Yd Run (Ben Hoiland Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 56 yds , Isaiah Smith return for 16 yds to the USD 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Isaiah Smith run for 1 yd to the USD 26

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Grant Sergent pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

pass incomplete to Eli Paulson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.97

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 8 yds to the USD 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Abel,Gabriel rush middle (Loch,David).

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Gabriel Abel run for 7 yds to the USD 30

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd to the USD 29

4th & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Grif Wurtz pass complete to Matthew Rink for 11 yds to the USD 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Abel,Gabriel rush middle (Cooper,Malachi;Loch,David).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 10 yds to the USD 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tak Tateoka run for 3 yds to the USD 5

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Abel,Gabriel rush left (Haney,Eric).

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Tak Tateoka sacked by Nick Murray for a loss of 3 yards to the USD 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

B. Hoiland 25 yd FG GOOD

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gabriel Abel run for 4 yds to the USD 45

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.31

Grant Sergent pass intercepted

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 50 yds , Kenyon Sims return for 17 yds to the USD 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Grant Sergent pass complete to Kenyon Sims for 4 yds to the USD 36

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Logan Gingg run for 4 yds to the USD 40

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.44

Logan Gingg run for 4 yds to the USD 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the USD 47

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Logan Gingg run for 6 yds to the STMN 47

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

pass incomplete to Josh Heverly

4th & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.83

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the STMN 44 St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the STMN 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Logan Gingg run for 9 yds to the STMN 20

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Logan Gingg run for 6 yds to the STMN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the STMN 12

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Ja'seem Reed 12 Yd pass from Grant Sergent (Aidan Lehman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tak Tateoka run for 4 yds to the STMN 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Patrick Wagner for 2 yds to the STMN 31

3rd & 4Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.89

Hope Adebayo run for 43 yds to the USD 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

pass incomplete to Colin Chase

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Tak Tateoka run for 1 yd to the USD 25

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.67

Jacob Wildermuth 25 Yd pass from Tak Tateoka (Ben Hoiland Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Aidan Macke kickoff for 51 yds , Kenyon Sims return for 17 yds to the USD 31

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Logan Gingg run for 16 yds to the USD 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Logan Gingg run for 4 yds to the STMN 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.46

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 20 yds to the STMN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Logan Gingg run for 3 yds to the STMN 26

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Grant Sergent run for 3 yds to the STMN 23

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.31

Grant Sergent sacked by Ryan Calcagno for a loss of 8 yards to the STMN 31 Grant Sergent fumbled, recovered by STMN Ryan Sever , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Tak Tateoka run for 1 yd to the STMN 32

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the STMN 35

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tak Tateoka run for 3 yds to the STMN 38

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Colin Chase, broken up by Jerry Riggins

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gabriel Abel run for 4 yds to the USD 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 3 yds to the USD 41

4th & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.58

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 14 yds to the USD 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Logan Gingg run for 11 yds to the STMN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Logan Gingg run for 4 yds to the STMN 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

pass incomplete to Cole Monach

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.95

Grant Sergent pass complete to Cole Monach for 17 yds to the STMN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the STMN 22

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Logan Gingg run for 5 yds to the STMN 17

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

pass incomplete to Josh Heverly

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

San Diego Penalty, false start (Cole Monach) to the STMN 22

4th & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.84

Grant Sergent sacked by Ryan Sever for a loss of 8 yards to the STMN 30

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+40 yds

Aidan Lehman kickoff for 65 yds , Gabriel Abel return for 40 yds to the STMN 40

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

Hope Adebayo 60 Yd Run (Ben Hoiland Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Aidan Macke kickoff for 59 yds , Kenyon Sims return for 24 yds to the USD 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 9 yds to the USD 39

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Logan Gingg run for 8 yds to the USD 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Logan Gingg run for 2 yds to the USD 49

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Logan Gingg run for 7 yds to the STMN 44

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Logan Gingg run for 4 yds to the STMN 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Gingg,Logan rush middle (Friedt,Noah), PENALTY UST off-side (Alfaro Diedrich,Julian). St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, off-side (Julian Alfaro Diedrich) to the STMN 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Peyton Smith 1 Yd pass from Grant Sergent (Aidan Lehman Kick)

3rd & 1Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.26

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 39 yds to the STMN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Hope Adebayo run for 9 yds to the STMN 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the STMN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tak Tateoka run for 4 yds to the STMN 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 5 yds to the STMN 46

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.56

Hope Adebayo run for 8 yds to the USD 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Gabriel Abel run for 9 yds to the USD 37

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.56

Tak Tateoka run for 1 yd to the USD 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd to the USD 35

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -3.44

Gabriel Abel run for 4 yds to the USD 31 Gabriel Abel fumbled, recovered by USD Ruben Lopez

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Logan Gingg run for 4 yds to the USD 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Bradley Schlom

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Aydan Corrales punt for 50 yds , Colin Chase returns for 6 yds to the STMN 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 5 yds to the STMN 26

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Hope Adebayo run for 6 yds to the STMN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.38

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 4 yards to the STMN 28

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Tak Tateoka run for 2 yds to the STMN 30

4th & 12Punt+15 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 41 yds , Eric Haney returns for 15 yds to the USD 44

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Hope Adebayo 70 Yd Run (Ben Hoiland Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Aidan Macke kickoff for 57 yds , Kenyon Sims return for 20 yds to the USD 28

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Grant Sergent run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 27

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

pass incomplete to Josh Heverly

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.92

Logan Gingg run for 14 yds to the STMN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Grant Sergent pass complete to Josh Heverly for 13 yds to the STMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Grant Sergent run for 5 yds to the STMN 31

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.93

Logan Gingg run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

pass incomplete to Cole Monach

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

pass incomplete to Cole Monach

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.44

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 10 yds to the USD 37

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, false start (Aiden Carlson) to the STMN 27

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the STMN 31

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the STMN 35

3rd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Hope Adebayo run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Hope Adebayo run for 6 yds to the USD 44

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds to the USD 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Tateoka,Tak rush middle (Hong,Joshua).

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.91

Tak Tateoka run for 2 yds to the USD 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Gabriel Abel run for 4 yds to the USD 35

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 36

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Jacob Wildermuth, broken up by Trey Ortega

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.65

pass incomplete to Matthew Rink

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.78

Grant Sergent sacked by Nick Flaskamp for a loss of 6 yards to the USD 30

2nd & 16Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Grant Sergent pass complete to Ja'seem Reed for 13 yds to the USD 43

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Ja'seem Reed

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Grant Sergent pass incomplete to Bradley Schlom, broken up by Matthew Guggemos

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Joseph Koch run for 6 yds to the USD 37

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Michael Rostberg run for a loss of 1 yard to the USD 37

Situational Analysis

San Diego

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
27%
22 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play