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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

St. Thomas (MN) by 6.1

Home Win Probability

Valparaiso 36%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
St. Thomas (MN)
72101442
Valparaiso
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-147-2814-3514-42
ValparaisoSt. Thomas (MN)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(VALST(PUNT61ydPUNT618ydTD283ydTD761ydPUNT521ydPUNT3-9ydTD645ydTO35ydTD223ydTO210ydTD250ydPUNT37ydPUNT418ydPUNT35ydEND623ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT514ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT625ydPUNT418ydPUNT3-1ydTD1167ydTD477ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-3ydTO731ydTD464ydDOWNS1043ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing St. Thomas (MN) and Valparaiso
StatisticSt. Thomas (MN)Valparaiso
Passing12-2417-30
Pass Yards211135
Rush Yards213109
Total Yards424244
Turnovers03
3rd Down5-124-16
Penalties6-608-80
Possession27:1732:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

St. Thomas (MN)
passing
Tak Tateoka
12/21, 211 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Hope Adebayo
14 CAR, 100 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Colin Chase
3 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
Valparaiso
passing
Michael Appel Jr.
11/14, 68 YDS
rushing
Ryan Mann
17 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jack Coulson
4 REC, 54 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hope Adebayo run for 2 yds to the STMN 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Hope Adebayo for 4 yds to the STMN 31

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Tak Tateoka run for 5 yds to the STMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd to the STMN 37

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.15

Tak Tateoka sacked by Max Samuel for a loss of 6 yards to the STMN 31

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Colin Chase

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the STMN 26

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Colin Graves at the VAL 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brian Thomas run for no gain to the VAL 18

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Valparaiso Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VAL 13

2nd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.37

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Gary Givens III for 11 yds to the VAL 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 47 yds, downed at the STMN 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.35

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Chris Gundy for 8 yds to the VAL 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Ryan Mann run for 2 yds to the VAL 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Jake Birmingham, broken up by Caleb Sandstrom

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Brian Thomas for 7 yds to the VAL 41

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Valparaiso Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VAL 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 9 yds to the STMN 26

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +5.51

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 74 yds for a TD (Ben Hoiland KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+34 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 60 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 34 yds to the VAL 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.17

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Gary Givens III for 13 yds to the STMN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Ryan Mann run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 49

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.06

Brian Thomas run for 15 yds to the STMN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.33

Ryan Mann run for 15 yds to the STMN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Michael Mansaray run for 2 yds to the STMN 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Jack Coulson for 13 yds to the STMN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Ryan Mann run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Ryan Hawk kickoff for 59 yds , Joseph Koch return for 14 yds to the STMN 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Tak Tateoka run for 9 yds to the STMN 29

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.61

Gabriel Abel run for 12 yds to the STMN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for a loss of 3 yards to the STMN 38

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tak Tateoka run for 3 yds to the STMN 41

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Colin Chase

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Colin Graves at the VAL 20

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Jeffery Vercher run for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Gary Givens III, broken up by Ryan Calcagno

3rd & 11Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.15

Michael Appel Jr. sacked by Nash Tichy for a loss of 8 yards to the VAL 11

4th & 19Punt+19 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 53 yds , Eli Paulson returns for 19 yds to the VAL 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Hope Adebayo run for no gain to the VAL 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +4.60

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Eli Paulson for 44 yds to the VAL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Hope Adebayo run for no gain to the VAL 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tak Tateoka run for no gain to the VAL 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Hope Adebayo run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Hoiland KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 54 yds , Brian Thomas return for 7 yds to the VAL 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Ryan Mann run for 3 yds to the VAL 21

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Ryan Mann run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAL 18

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA +0.23

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Jack Coulson for 4 yds Jack Coulson fumbled, forced by IBK Mafe, recovered by STMN Logan Cassady

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Gabriel Abel run for 6 yds to the VAL 17

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 17 yds for a TD (Ben Hoiland KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+44 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 54 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 44 yds to the STMN 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ryan Mann run for 4 yds to the STMN 41

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+16 ydsPPA -3.41

Ryan Mann run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line Ryan Mann fumbled, forced by Ryan Sever, recovered by STMN Ryan Calcagno for a 1ST down St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Tateoka, Tak pass incomplete to Wagner, Patrick, PENALTY VALPO pass interference (SAMUEL) 15 yards to the VALPO35, 1ST DOWN UST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.03

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 34 yds to the VAL 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Gabriel Abel run for 1 yd for a TD (Ben Hoiland KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 56 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 14 yds to the VAL 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Brian Thomas run for 1 yd to the VAL 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Jake Vickers for 6 yds to the VAL 30

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Michael Appel Jr. pass incomplete to Gary Givens III

4th & 3Punt+3 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 57 yds , Eli Paulson returns for 3 yds to the STMN 16

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Hope Adebayo run for 11 yds to the STMN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tak Tateoka run for 2 yds to the STMN 29

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the STMN 34

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Tak Tateoka run for no gain to the STMN 34

4th & 3Punt+15 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 41 yds , Colin Graves returns for 15 yds to the VAL 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ryan Mann run for 5 yds to the VAL 45

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Ryan Mann run for 1 yd to the VAL 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.01

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Chris Gundy for a loss of 1 yard to the VAL 45

4th & 5Punt+50 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 55 yds for a touchback Valparaiso Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tak Tateoka run for 3 yds to the STMN 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 2 yds to the STMN 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Jacob Wildermuth for 6 yds to the STMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Colin Chase for 4 yds to the STMN 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 65 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 25 yds to the VAL 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Michael Mansaray run for 6 yds to the VAL 31

2nd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.53

Michael Appel Jr. sacked by Ryan Sever for a loss of 10 yards to the VAL 21

3rd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Appel Jr. sacked by Noah Friedt and Caleb Sandstrom for a loss of 4 yards to the VAL 17

4th & 18Punt+7 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 52 yds , Colin Chase returns for 7 yds to the STMN 24 Valparaiso Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the STMN 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Hope Adebayo run for 4 yds to the STMN 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Eli Paulson for 10 yds to the VAL 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Hope Adebayo run for no gain to the VAL 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Colin Chase

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Colin Chase, broken up by Nic Lendino

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tak Tateoka punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VAL 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Jack Coulson for 6 yds to the VAL 36

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Michael Appel Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAL 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.62

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to Michael Mansaray for a loss of 5 yards to the VAL 29

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Colin Chase at the STMN 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Tak Tateoka pass complete to Gabriel Abel for 10 yds to the STMN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tak Tateoka run for 5 yds to the STMN 46

2nd & 5Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.85

Tak Tateoka run for 29 yds to the VAL 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, false start (Gabriel Abel) to the VAL 30

1st & 15Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.14

Gabriel Abel run for a loss of 3 yards to the VAL 33

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Patrick Wagner, broken up by Austin Chilton

3rd & 18Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.60

Tak Tateoka sacked by Kevin Spelman for a loss of 6 yards to the VAL 39

4th & 24Penalty-5 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, delay of game (Elliot Huether) to the VAL 44

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Colin Graves at the VAL 5

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Michael Mansaray run for 11 yds to the VAL 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Mansaray run for 2 yds to the VAL 18

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Mansaray run for no gain to the VAL 18

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Michael Appel Jr. pass complete to null for 5 yds to the VAL 23

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Colin Chase at the STMN 30

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Hope Adebayo run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Tak Tateoka pass incomplete to Patrick Wagner

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Colin Graves at the VAL 33

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

APPEL pass complete to YEATS for 37 yards to the UST30 (Nunnally, Gavin), PENALTY VALPO pass interference (YEATS) 15 yards to the VALPO18, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush-11 ydsPPA -0.18

Michael Appel Jr. run for 4 yds to the VAL 22 for a 1ST down Valparaiso Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the VAL 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Gary Givens III

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Michael Mansaray run for a loss of 2 yards to the VAL 35

3rd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.03

Caron Tyler pass complete to Chris Gundy for 14 yds to the VAL 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Caron Tyler pass complete to Brian Thomas for no gain to the VAL 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Chris Gundy

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Caron Tyler run for 6 yds to the STMN 45

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

TYLER pass incomplete to GUNDY, PENALTY UST pass interference (Nunnally, Gavin) 15 yards to the UST30, 1ST DOWN VALPO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Dom DiNuzzo

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Michael Mansaray

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Jack Coulson, broken up by Kole Sneed

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +5.12

Caron Tyler pass complete to Jack Coulson for 30 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Ryan Hawk kickoff for 65 yds , Colin Chase return for 23 yds to the STMN 23

1st & 10Rush+49 ydsPPA +3.45

Hope Adebayo run for 49 yds to the VAL 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Hope Adebayo run for 20 yds to the VAL 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hope Adebayo run for 5 yds to the VAL 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Hope Adebayo run for 3 yds for a TD (Ben Hoiland KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 58 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 16 yds to the VAL 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Mann run for no gain to the VAL 23

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Caron Tyler run for 5 yds to the VAL 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.44

Caron Tyler pass complete to Ryan Mann for a loss of 3 yards to the VAL 25 Valparaiso Penalty, illegal shift (Yards) declined

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Colin Chase at the STMN 22

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Joseph Koch run for a loss of 3 yards to the STMN 19

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Rod Finley

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+13 yds

Elliot Huether punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VAL 48 , Colin Graves returns for 13 yds to the VAL 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Caron Tyler run for 5 yds to the STMN 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Chris Gundy

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.07

Caron Tyler pass complete to Brandon Jimenez for 11 yds to the STMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Caron Tyler pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Caron Tyler pass complete to null for 15 yds to the STMN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Caron Tyler pass incomplete to Gary Givens III, broken up by Den Juette

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.98

Caron Tyler pass intercepted Amari Powell return for no gain to the STMN 36

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Joseph Koch run for 16 yds to the VAL 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Joseph Koch run for 4 yds to the VAL 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Michael Rostberg pass incomplete to Aiden Carlson

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.93

Joseph Koch run for 44 yds for a TD (Ben Hoiland KICK)

1st & 0Penalty-15 yds

St. Thomas-Minnesota Penalty, personal foul (Gabriel Abel) to the STMN 20

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Ben Hoiland kickoff for 64 yds , Jeffery Vercher return for 13 yds to the VAL 29

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Caron Tyler sacked by Charlie Boucher for a loss of 4 yards to the VAL 25 Caron Tyler fumbled, recovered by VAL Caron Tyler , return for 0 yards

2nd & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.44

Ryan Mann run for 17 yds to the VAL 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Ryan Mann run for 11 yds to the STMN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ryan Mann run for 1 yd to the STMN 46

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Clayton Mains run for 8 yds to the STMN 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Ryan Mann run for 2 yds to the STMN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Clayton Mains run for 6 yds to the STMN 30

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Ryan Mann run for 1 yd to the STMN 29

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Ryan Mann run for 1 yd to the STMN 28

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.01

Clayton Mains pass incomplete to Brandon Jimenez

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the STMN 27

Situational Analysis

St. Thomas (MN)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
44%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
4th

Valparaiso

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
6 plays
42%
12 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play