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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Dayton
21
-Final
14
Butler
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Butler by 11.9

Home Win Probability

Butler 76%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Butler -5.5

Edge: Butler -5.5 (6.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Dayton
077721
Butler
033814

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-73-146-1414-1414-21
ButlerDayton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTDAYBUTTO625ydPUNT1032ydPUNT614ydMISS1351ydPUNT30ydPUNT420ydTD310ydFG1260ydPUNT619ydPUNT30ydTD1057ydFG756ydPUNT733ydTD1281ydTD1093ydTO224yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Dayton and Butler
StatisticDaytonButler
Passing11-1513-19
Pass Yards13797
Rush Yards183163
Total Yards320260
Turnovers03
3rd Down6-156-11
Penalties5-282-30
Possession35:1824:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Dayton
passing
Drew VanVleet
11/14, 137 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Mason Hackett
35 CAR, 111 YDS
receiving
Luke Brenner
3 REC, 56 YDS, 2 TD
Butler
passing
Reagan Andrew
10/14, 50 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Reagan Andrew
8 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luke Wooten
6 REC, 50 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 3 yds to the BUT 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nick Howard run for 4 yds to the BUT 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Ethan Loss for 7 yds to the BUT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Billy Dozier for 8 yds to the BUT 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.16

Reagan Andrew pass intercepted Jeremy Jonozzo return for no gain to the DAY 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the DAY 7

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Mason Hackett run for 5 yds to the DAY 12

3rd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.85

Mason Hackett run for 11 yds to the DAY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.36

Mason Hackett run for 16 yds to the DAY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Mason Hackett run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 38

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mason Hackett run for 5 yds to the DAY 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.25

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mason Hackett run for 4 yds to the BUT 46

2nd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.48

Drew VanVleet sacked by Justin Anagonye and Luke Mitchell for a loss of 7 yards to the DAY 47

3rd & 13Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.86

Drew VanVleet sacked by Danny Orgler for a loss of 10 yards to the DAY 37

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 37 yds, downed at the BUT 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ershod Jasey II run for 4 yds to the BUT 30

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Reagan Andrew run for 5 yds to the BUT 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.08

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the BUT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Nick Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Joey Suchy for 2 yds to the BUT 40

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Short punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Mason Hackett run for 6 yds to the DAY 25

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the DAY 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the DAY 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Dillon Fitzpatrick run for 2 yds to the DAY 32

2nd & 8Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.27

Dillon Fitzpatrick run for 33 yds to the BUT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Mason Hackett run for no gain to the BUT 35

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

(14:20) VANVLEET, Drew pass to the right complete for 6 yards to LOCHOW, Gavin caught at the BU29 and advanced to the BU29, End of Play, clock 14:13. PENALTY UD Pass Interference on COLEMAN, Jake enforced 15 yards to the UD50 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 25Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Gavin Lochow run for 8 yds to the BUT 42

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 13 yds to the BUT 29

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.63

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 5 yds to the BUT 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the BUT 22

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the BUT 19

3rd & 5Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.72

Drew VanVleet sacked by Adam Sturtz for a loss of 11 yards to the BUT 30

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Danny Baker 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Joey Suchy run for a loss of 3 yards to the BUT 27

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Reagan Andrew run for 3 yds to the BUT 30

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Short punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Alec Keathley for 14 yds to the DAY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the DAY 45

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the DAY 48

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 41 yds , Joey Audia returns for no gain to the BUT 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the BUT 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Gavin Lochow pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 8 yds for a TD (Danny Baker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

David Maurer kickoff for 59 yds , Joey Audia return for 19 yds to the BUT 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Joey Suchy run for 8 yds to the BUT 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for 12 yds to the BUT 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Nick Howard pass complete to Archie Cox for 6 yds to the DAY 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Joey Suchy run for no gain to the DAY 49

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.11

Reagan Andrew run for 13 yds to the DAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.72

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for no gain to the DAY 36

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Nick Howard run for 9 yds to the DAY 27

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Nick Howard run for 4 yds to the DAY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the DAY 20

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Joey Suchy run for 3 yds to the DAY 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Derek Allen Jr. for 2 yds to the DAY 15

4th & 2Field Goal Good+32 yds

Ryan Short 32 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Ryan Short kickoff for 61 yds , Gavin Lochow return for 27 yds to the DAY 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mason Hackett run for 4 yds to the DAY 35

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Mason Hackett run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 34

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Drew VanVleet run for 12 yds to the DAY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 9 yds to the BUT 45

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Dayton Penalty, False Start (Ryan Iiams) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Mason Hackett run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joey Audia at the BUT 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Billy Dozier run for 1 yd to the BUT 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.23

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Luke Wooten for a loss of 1 yard to the BUT 12

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Reagan Andrew pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Short punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mason Hackett run for 5 yds to the DAY 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.35

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Gavin Lochow for 16 yds to the BUT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Mason Hackett run for no gain to the BUT 36

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the BUT 34

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Mason Hackett run for 7 yds to the BUT 27

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the BUT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the BUT 23

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the BUT 22

4th & 7Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +4.05

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 22 yds for a TD (Danny Baker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.78

Reagan Andrew run for 33 yds to the DAY 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Billy Dozier run for 4 yds to the DAY 38

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Nick Howard run for 12 yds to the DAY 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Reagan Andrew run for 3 yds to the DAY 22 Reagan Andrew fumbled, recovered by BUT Reagan Andrew R. Andrew return for 1 yds

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the DAY 19

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Joey Suchy run for no gain to the DAY 19

4th & 3Field Goal Good+37 yds

Ryan Short 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Ryan Short kickoff for 65 yds , Luke Brenner return for 17 yds to the DAY 17

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Mason Hackett run for 11 yds to the DAY 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Jake Coleman for 9 yds to the DAY 37

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the DAY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(13:40) VANVLEET, Drew pass deep to the left incomplete intended for COLEMAN, Jake thrown to the BU33, clock 13:37. PENALTY BU Pass Interference on ONUOHA, Onye enforced 15 yards to the BU47 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Dillon Fitzpatrick run for no gain to the BUT 47

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Dillon Fitzpatrick run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Drew VanVleet pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Logan Forcum punt for 31 yds, downed at the BUT 19

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Billy Dozier run for 8 yds to the BUT 27

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Nick Howard run for 6 yds to the BUT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nick Howard run for no gain to the BUT 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Nick Howard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.99

Nick Howard pass complete to Luke Wooten for 33 yds to the DAY 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Nick Howard pass complete to Billy Dozier for 8 yds to the DAY 26

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.22

Nick Howard run for 7 yds to the DAY 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.63

Nick Howard sacked by Nate Hess and Jerell Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the DAY 22

2nd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Reagan Andrew run for 11 yds to the DAY 11

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Nick Howard run for 3 yds to the DAY 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nick Howard run for no gain to the DAY 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Reagan Andrew run for 8 yds for a TD (N. Howard Run For Two-point Conversion)

0th & 0Penalty+1 yds

ANDREW, Reagan two-point conversion pass attempt to BROWN, Trevon failed (incomplete); conversion is no good. PENALTY UD Pass Interference on COPE, Cam enforced 1 yards to the UD2. NO PLAY (replay the down).

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Ryan Short kickoff for 65 yds , Gavin Lochow return for 15 yds to the DAY 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the DAY 10

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.27

Mason Hackett run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAY 9

3rd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.26

Drew VanVleet run for 17 yds to the DAY 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-6 yds

Dayton Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Drew VanVleet) to the DAY 20

2nd & 16Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.82

Gavin Lochow run for 37 yds to the BUT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Mason Hackett run for 3 yds to the BUT 40

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Mason Hackett run for 4 yds to the BUT 36

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Mason Hackett run for 2 yds to the BUT 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.47

Mason Hackett run for 1 yd to the BUT 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Drew VanVleet pass complete to Luke Brenner for 33 yds for a TD (Danny Baker KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

David Maurer kickoff for 29 yds , Jayden Norris return for no gain to the BUT 36

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Reagan Andrew run for 10 yds to the BUT 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -2.82

Reagan Andrew pass complete to Griffin Caldwell for 12 yds Griffin Caldwell fumbled, recovered by DAY Ca'ron Coleman C. Coleman return for 0 yds

Situational Analysis

Dayton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
35%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
20%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Butler

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
21 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th