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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Incarnate Word by 32.2

Home Win Probability

Incarnate Word 95%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Incarnate Word -22.5

Edge: Incarnate Word -22.5 (9.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Colorado
70007
Incarnate Word
7714028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-728-7
Incarnate WordNorthern Colorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWIWNCNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCIWNCNCIWIWNCIWTD575ydTO936ydPUNT33ydTD589ydPUNT515ydPUNT736ydPUNT636ydPUNT925ydPUNT34ydTD882ydPUNT37ydTO617ydTO21ydEND23ydTD216ydPUNT34ydTD1386ydTO518ydPUNT35ydDOWNS728ydTD747ydDOWNS625ydDOWNS650ydDOWNS1257ydPUNT35ydPUNT32ydUncategorized513yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Colorado and Incarnate Word
StatisticNorthern ColoradoIncarnate Word
Passing17-2821-35
Pass Yards146205
Rush Yards214203
Total Yards360408
Turnovers41
3rd Down6-166-14
Penalties4-405-50
Possession29:4730:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Colorado
passing
Peter Costelli
16/26, 141 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Vann Schield
11 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brayden Munroe
7 REC, 66 YDS
Incarnate Word
passing
Zach Calzada
21/35, 205 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Robinson
16 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Jalen Walthall
5 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Dekalon Taylor run for 6 yds to the UIW 31 for a 1ST down Northern Colorado Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Howard) to the UIW 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 8 yds to the UNCO 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dekalon Taylor run for 4 yds to the UNCO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 15 yds to the UNCO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Dekalon Taylor run for 27 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mathias Price run for 3 yds to the UNCO 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Peter Costelli run for 9 yds to the UNCO 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

David Afari run for 5 yds to the UNCO 42

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

David Afari run for 2 yds to the UNCO 44

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.62

Peter Costelli run for 4 yds to the UNCO 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

David Afari run for 5 yds to the UIW 47

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Costelli,Peter rush middle (Foster,Tylan).

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.94

Hank Gibbs run for 8 yds to the UIW 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.86

Peter Costelli pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Zach Calzada pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 1 yd to the UIW 44

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UIW 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Mason Pierce

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Shamburger punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 14

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

David Afari run for 8 yds to the UNCO 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

David Afari run for 9 yds to the UNCO 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Peter Costelli pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 11 yds to the UNCO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Vann Schield run for 58 yds for a TD (Hunter Green KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Calzada pass complete to Mason Pierce for 4 yds to the UIW 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Dekalon Taylor run for 9 yds to the UIW 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Mason Pierce

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Incarnate Word Penalty, false start (Jayden Borjas) to the UIW 33

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Dekalon Taylor run for 7 yds to the UIW 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Shamburger punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Vann Schield run for 5 yds to the UNCO 20

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Peter Costelli pass complete to Ryder MacGillivray for 8 yds to the UNCO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mathias Price run for 5 yds to the UNCO 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.57

Peter Costelli pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 13 yds to the UNCO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Mathias Price run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNCO 42

2nd & 14Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Hank Gibbs run for 9 yds to the UIW 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to River Stout

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 8 yds to the UIW 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 14 yds to the UIW 26 for a 1ST down

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Dekalon Taylor run for 9 yds to the UIW 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Jalen Walthall

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Zach Calzada pass complete to Mason Pierce

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Zach Calzada pass complete to Josh Lorick for 5 yds to the UIW 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Shamburger punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Vann Schield run for 5 yds to the UNCO 23

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Vann Schield run for 4 yds to the UNCO 27

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, false start (Mathias Price) to the UNCO 22

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.70

Peter Costelli pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 12 yds to the UNCO 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Vann Schield run for 2 yds to the UNCO 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

pass incomplete to Brayden Munroe

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.60

Peter Costelli pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 11 yds to the UNCO 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 48

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 49

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.26

Peter Costelli sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the UNCO 43

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Zach Calzada pass complete to Josh Lorick for a loss of 4 yards to the UIW 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 11 yds to the UIW 30

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Zach Calzada run for a loss of 3 yards to the UIW 27

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Shamburger punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Robinson run for 5 yds to the UIW 23

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Isaiah Robinson run for 10 yds to the UIW 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Isaiah Robinson run for 10 yds to the UIW 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall Incarnate Word Penalty, Defensive pass interference (LaDavion Osborn) to the UIW 43

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -2.53

Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UIW 40 Isaiah Robinson fumbled, recovered by UIW Zach Calzada Robinson,Isaiah rush middle for loss of 3 yards to the UIW40, fumble by Robinson,Isaiah recovered by UIW Calzada,Zach, Calzada,Zach rush (Bliek,Brody).

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 8 yds to the UIW 48

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Isaiah Robinson run for 6 yds to the UNCO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 46 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

David Afari run for 6 yds to the UNCO 36

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 37

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Gibbs,Hank rush middle (Carter,Chase), PENALTY UNC false start (Gibbs,Hank). Northern Colorado Penalty, false start (Hank Gibbs) to the UNCO 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Julian Lee kickoff for 60 yds , Brayden Munroe return for 12 yds to the UNCO 17

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

David Afari run for 2 yds to the UNCO 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Peter Costelli pass complete to Carver Cheeks for 4 yds to the UNCO 23

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

David Afari run for 6 yds to the UNCO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.22

David Afari run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNCO 25

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Peter Costelli pass complete to Ryder MacGillivray for 9 yds to the UNCO 34

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +1.80

Peter Costelli pass complete to Jay Barry for 6 yds Peter Costelli fumbled, recovered by UIW Mister Williams

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Dekalon Taylor run for 1 yd to the UNCO 34

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -3.50

Zach Calzada pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Vann Schield run for 3 yds to the UNCO 8

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Julian Lee kickoff for 57 yds , Brayden Munroe return for 8 yds to the UNCO 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Robinson run for 3 yds to the UNCO 13

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Zach Calzada pass complete to Logan Compton for 13 yds for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Julian Lee kickoff for 59 yds , Brayden Munroe return for 12 yds to the UNCO 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the UNCO 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

pass incomplete to Carver Cheeks

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Peter Costelli pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 3 yds to the UNCO 37

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.05

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 17 yds to the UIW 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Jalen Walthall

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Lontrell Turner run for 8 yds to the UIW 39

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.23

Zach Calzada run for 2 yds to the UIW 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Robinson,Isaiah rush middle (Capasso,Ryan;Wacays,Solomon).

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.45

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 16 yds to the UNCO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Lontrell Turner run for 3 yds to the UNCO 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

3rd & 7Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.13

Lontrell Turner run for 26 yds to the UNCO 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Zach Calzada pass complete to Mason Pierce for 3 yds to the UNCO 11

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dekalon Taylor run for 4 yds to the UNCO 7

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.73

Zach Calzada run for 6 yds to the UNCO 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Dekalon Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (Brack Peacock KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Peter Costelli pass incomplete to Carver Cheeks, broken up by Mason Chambers

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

David Afari run for 11 yds to the UNCO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Peter Costelli pass complete to Ryder MacGillivray for 4 yds to the UNCO 40

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

David Afari run for 3 yds to the UNCO 43

3rd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA -1.29

Peter Costelli pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Josh Lorick

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dekalon Taylor run for 5 yds to the UNCO 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Shamburger punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Vann Schield run for 1 yd to the UNCO 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Peter Costelli pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 7 yds to the UNCO 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.74

Peter Costelli pass complete to River Stout for 12 yds to the UNCO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Schield,Vann rush middle (Brown,Marcus;Foster,Tylan).

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Vann Schield run for 2 yds to the UNCO 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Peter Costelli pass complete to Carver Cheeks for 7 yds to the UNCO 48

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Vann Schield run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNCO 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Lontrell Turner run for 1 yd to the UNCO 16

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Lontrell Turner run for 11 yds to the UNCO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.43

Zach Calzada pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 19 yds to the UNCO 17 for a 1ST down

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to Jalen Walthall

3rd & 17Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.42

Zach Calzada sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the UNCO 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.51

Zach Calzada pass complete to Josh Lorick for 2 yds Incarnate Word Penalty, Offensive holding (Roy Alexander) to the UNCO 24

4th & 26Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Brack Peacock 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Hank Gibbs pass complete to Carver Cheeks for 5 yds to the UNCO 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Peter Costelli pass complete to River Stout for 14 yds to the UNCO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Charles Garrison

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Colorado Penalty, false start (Brayden Munroe) to the UNCO 40

2nd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Peter Costelli pass complete to Vann Schield for 11 yds to the UIW 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

pass incomplete to Charles Garrison

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Peter Costelli pass incomplete to Charles Garrison, broken up by Mason Chambers

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Peter Costelli pass complete to Brayden Munroe for 9 yds to the UNCO 42

2nd & 1Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.33

Peter Costelli run for 32 yds to the UIW 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UIW 22

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

David Afari run for 4 yds to the UIW 18

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UIW 17

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.79

pass incomplete to Carver Cheeks

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zach Calzada pass complete to Roy Alexander for 5 yds to the UIW 22

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Isaiah Robinson run for 6 yds to the UIW 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Isaiah Robinson run for 3 yds to the UIW 31 for a 1ST down Northern Colorado Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Keenan Guthrie) to the UIW 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Jalen Walthall, broken up by Aliou-Rocco Traore

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Robinson run for 5 yds to the UNCO 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.98

Zach Calzada pass complete to Josh Lorick for 7 yds to the UNCO 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.61

Isaiah Robinson run for 18 yds to the UNCO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

pass incomplete to Roy Alexander

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Zach Calzada pass complete to Josh Lorick for 7 yds to the UNCO 17

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Dekalon Taylor run for 1 yd to the UNCO 16

4th & 2Rush-10 ydsPPA -3.75

Calzada,Zach rush , PENALTY UIW holding (Jackson,Rasheed) 10 yards to the UNC06. Incarnate Word Penalty, Offensive holding (Rasheed Jackson) to the UNCO 26

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.03

Zach Calzada pass incomplete to Roy Alexander, broken up by Aliou-Rocco Traore

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Dekalon Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the UIW 47

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dekalon Taylor run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dekalon Taylor run for 4 yds to the UNCO 46

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Shamburger punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

David Afari run for 1 yd to the UNCO 11

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Peter Costelli pass incomplete to Ryder MacGillivray, broken up by Matt Kordas

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Peter Costelli run for 1 yd to the UNCO 12

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Hunter Green punt for no gain, punt out-of-bounds at the UIW 21 , Dekalon Taylor returns for no gain to the UIW 12 Incarnate Word Penalty, Offensive holding (Declan Williams) to the UIW 21

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Isaiah Robinson run for 9 yds to the UIW 30

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

pass incomplete to Jameson Garcia

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UIW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UIW 34

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the UIW 34

Situational Analysis

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Incarnate Word

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
35 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play