Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 30, 2024Week 14
TCUTCU
20
-Final
13
CincinnatiCincinnati
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 3.9

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 37%

Market (Bovada)

Cincinnati +2.5

Edge: TCU -2.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TCUTCU
7130020
CincinnatiCincinnati
070613

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-107-177-2013-20
CincinnatiTCU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCUTCUCINTCUCINTCUCINTCUCINTCUCINTCUCINCINTCUCINTCUCINTCUCINTCUCINPUNT33ydTD729ydPUNT620ydPUNT517ydPUNT419ydFG846ydTD775ydTD765ydTO510ydFG717ydPUNT511ydMISS952ydEND1-1ydPUNT35ydPUNT512ydPUNT924ydTO1036ydTO1561ydPUNT39ydTD1294ydPUNT630ydEND857yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing TCU and Cincinnati
StatisticTCUCincinnati
Passing18-3521-35
Pass Yards212160
Rush Yards124214
Total Yards336374
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-157-15
Penalties5-343-25
Possession28:2931:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

TCU
passing
Josh Hoover
18/35, 212 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Hauss Hejny
8 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Blake Nowell
3 REC, 75 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Brendan Sorsby
21/34, 160 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Corey Kiner
23 CAR, 110 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xzavier Henderson
3 REC, 46 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Savion Williams run for 3 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+43 yds

Ethan Craw punt for 43 yds , Jamoi Mayes returns for no gain to the CIN 29 , returns for no gain to the CIN 29

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BATTLE, Trent rush to the left for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN30 (MINKINS, Josh), out of bounds. PENALTY TCU Holding on DEERY, Coltin enforced 10 yards from the CIN29 to the CIN39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Josh Hoover pass complete to Drake Dabney for 6 yds to the CIN 33

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.31

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 19 yds to the CIN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 3 yds to the CIN 11

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Trent Battle run for 3 yds to the CIN 8

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.54

Cam Cook run for 6 yds to the CIN 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Savion Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Kyle Lemmermann kickoff for 51 yds , Logan Wilson return for 23 yds to the CIN 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 25

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 29

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.18

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 37

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 42

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 35 yds , JP Richardson returns for no gain to the TCU 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Hauss Hejny run for 6 yds to the TCU 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.56

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 5 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 6 yds to the TCU 40

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Savion Williams run for no gain to the TCU 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ethan Craw punt for 55 yds, downed at the CIN 5

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.48

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 14 yds to the CIN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 19

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds to the CIN 24

4th & 5Punt+6 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 37 yds , JP Richardson returns for 6 yds to the TCU 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Savion Williams run for 1 yd to the TCU 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.52

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 30 yds to the CIN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the CIN 19

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Cook run for 8 yds to the CIN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the CIN 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Kyle Lemmermann 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the CIN 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Brendan Sorsby run for 11 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the TCU 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 2 yds to the TCU 47

3rd & 4Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.99

Corey Kiner run for 46 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jeremy Payne run for 9 yds to the TCU 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jeremy Payne run for 2 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.64

Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 40 yds to the CIN 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 11 yds to the CIN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jeremy Payne run for 1 yd to the CIN 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Savion Williams run for no gain to the CIN 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Savion Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Kyle Lemmermann kickoff for 63 yds , Logan Wilson return for 22 yds to the CIN 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 25

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the CIN 33

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.79

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -1.95

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 34 Corey Kiner fumbled, recovered by TCU Caleb Fox C. Fox return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Josh Hoover pass complete to Trent Battle for 3 yds to the CIN 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.37

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 20 yds to the CIN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.45

Josh Hoover pass complete to Trent Battle for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 17

4th & 16Field Goal Good+35 yds

Kyle Lemmermann 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Kyle Lemmermann kickoff for 63 yds , Evan Pryor return for 23 yds to the CIN 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.85

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Markis Deal for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 31

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 6 yds to the CIN 37

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 36

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 36 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 3 yds to the TCU 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.48

Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 26 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 9 yds to the CIN 34

4th & 1Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 12 yds to the CIN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Josh Hoover run for 7 yds to the CIN 15

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (DJ Rogers) to the CIN 20

2nd & 8Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Kyle Lemmermann 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

[NHSG] Kneel down by SORSBY, Brendan at CIN19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 6 yds to the CIN 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 36 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Trent Battle run for 12 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Trent Battle run for no gain to the TCU 46

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ethan Craw punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 20

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 19

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 9 yds Jamoi Mayes fumbled, recovered by CIN Jamoi Mayes J. Mayes return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 5 yds to the CIN 33

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the CIN 34

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.61

Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the CIN 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 45

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Joe Royer) to the CIN 40

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 40 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Hauss Hejny run for 7 yds to the TCU 27

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.17

Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Josh Hoover pass complete to Eric McAlister for 13 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the TCU 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Trent Battle run for 2 yds to the CIN 48

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.16

Josh Hoover run for 2 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jeremy Payne run for 2 yds to the CIN 44

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.80

Josh Hoover pass intercepted Trevon Gola-Callard return for no gain to the CIN 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 6 yds to the CIN 33

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.73

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the TCU 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 13 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST down

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.56

Brendan Sorsby run for 10 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the TCU 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Evan Prater pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 5 yds to the TCU 28

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.20

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the TCU 17

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.17

Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted, touchback. Channing Canada return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 7 yds to the TCU 27

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Savion Williams run for 2 yds to the TCU 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Savion Williams run for no gain to the TCU 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ethan Craw punt for 65 yds, downed at the CIN 6

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Corey Kiner run for 10 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 11 yds to the CIN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 28 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 46

2nd & 11Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.07

Brendan Sorsby run for 25 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds to the TCU 12

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Corey Kiner run for 8 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the TCU 3

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Phillip Wilder) to the TCU 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks PAT MISSED)

0th & 0Penalty+2 yds

HAWKS, Nathan PAT kick attempt missed (right upright). PENALTY TCU Offsides on OBIAZOR, Namdi enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the TCU3 to the TCU1. NO PLAY (replay the down).

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 57 yds , Jordyn Bailey return for 23 yds to the TCU 31

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.92

Hauss Hejny run for 21 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Hauss Hejny run for 3 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Hauss Hejny run for 8 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Hauss Hejny run for 3 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Hauss Hejny run for no gain to the CIN 34

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Hauss Hejny run for no gain to the CIN 34

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (Ben Taylor-Whitfield) to the CIN 39

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ethan Craw punt for 36 yds, downed at the CIN 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 7

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 8 yds to the CIN 24

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the CIN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

SORSBY, Brendan pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Tony thrown to the CIN45. PENALTY TCU Pass Interference on CLARK, Bud enforced 12 yards to the CIN40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Brendan Sorsby run for 11 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the TCU 40

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
48%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
23%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
42%
31 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
11%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
75%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays