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← Back to GamesNov 24, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kansas State by 14.9

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 82%

Market (Bovada)

Kansas State -7.5

Edge: Kansas State -7.5 (7.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 24, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
036615
Kansas StateKansas State
101701441

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-013-020-327-327-934-941-941-15
Kansas StateCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINKSCINKSCINKSCINKSCINKSCINKSCINKSCINKSCINKSCINKSCINKSCINKSPUNT33ydTD565ydPUNT68ydFG856ydDOWNS530ydFG741ydDOWNS1042ydTD467ydFG752ydPUNT831ydTO49ydTD26ydEND12ydPUNT30ydDOWNS518ydPUNT37ydTD1180ydTD1173ydDOWNS625ydTD850ydTD775ydPUNT39ydDOWNS540ydEND313yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and Kansas State
StatisticCincinnatiKansas State
Passing21-4013-23
Pass Yards200147
Rush Yards174281
Total Yards374428
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-124-12
Penalties3-305-50
Possession28:4631:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Brendan Sorsby
21/39, 200 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Corey Kiner
15 CAR, 140 YDS
receiving
Xzavier Henderson
4 REC, 60 YDS
defense
Kansas State
passing
Avery Johnson
13/23, 147 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
DJ Giddens
15 CAR, 143 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tre Spivey
5 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 3 yds to the CIN 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.37

Avery Johnson run for 33 yds to the CIN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the CIN 28

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

(12:32) QB Keeper JOHNSON, Avery rush to the left for a gain of 19 yards to the CIN9, out of bounds, clock 12:26. PENALTY Before the snap, KSTATE Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the CIN28 to the CIN33. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.88

Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 12 yds to the CIN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Avery Johnson run for 21 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.12

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 13 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 34

2nd & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Evan Pryor run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 31

3rd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 2 yds to the CIN 33

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 9 yds to the KSU 43

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

(07:48) GIDDENS, DJ rush to the right for no gain to the KSTATE43 (WILSON, Kam), clock 07:43. PENALTY CIN Face mask on WILSON, Kam enforced 15 yards from the KSTATE43 to the CIN42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.53

DJ Giddens run for 14 yds to the CIN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 4 yds to the CIN 24

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

DJ Giddens run for 8 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the CIN 12

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Avery Johnson run for 5 yds to the CIN 7

3rd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.64

Avery Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 10

4th & 4Field Goal Good+28 yds

Chris Tennant 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 21 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the KSU 49

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the KSU 45

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.57

Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the KSU 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

DJ Giddens run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.35

DJ Giddens run for 20 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.28

Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 18 yds to the CIN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Avery Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the CIN 16

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the CIN 14

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+32 yds

Chris Tennant 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 17 yds to the KSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(12:14) SORSBY, Brendan pass short to the left complete for 12 yards to MAYES, Jamoi caught at the KSTATE42 and advanced to the KSTATE35 (SIGLE, Marques), clock 12:07. PENALTY CIN Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GERHARDT, Gavin enforced 5 yards from the KSTATE47 to the CIN48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 5 yds to the KSU 47

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.75

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 12 yds to the KSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the KSU 31

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Chiddi Obiazor and Brendan Mott for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 33

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.82

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

DJ Giddens run for no gain to the KSU 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 15 yds to the KSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.14

Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 20 yds to the CIN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

DJ Giddens run for 32 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Corey Kiner run for 26 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for no gain to the KSU 49

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.16

Corey Kiner run for 24 yds to the KSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 2 yds to the KSU 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+42 yds

Nathan Hawks 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Joe Jackson run for 3 yds to the KSU 28

2nd & 7Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.90

Avery Johnson run for 3 yds to the KSU 31 Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the KSU 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Avery Johnson pass complete to Dante Cephas for 9 yds to the KSU 30

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Avery Johnson run for 7 yds to the KSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 18 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(02:00) JACKSON, Joe rush to the right for a gain of 30 yards to the CIN15 (PEEK JR., Antwan), out of bounds, clock 01:53. PENALTY KSTATE Holding on HECHT, Sam enforced 10 yards from the CIN45 to the KSTATE45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.40

Joe Jackson run for 11 yds to the CIN 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Simon McClannan punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.20

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 17 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 36

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CIN 26

3rd & 18Pass Interception Return+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted Brendan Mott return for 16 yds to the CIN 6

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 6 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 64 yds , Bryce Noernberg return for 23 yds to the KSU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

DJ Giddens run for 2 yds to the KSU 26

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.26

Avery Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 24

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Simon McClannan punt for 28 yds, downed at the CIN 48

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Corey Kiner run for 12 yds to the KSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the KSU 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.22

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 40

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Avery Johnson pass complete to DJ Giddens for 1 yd to the KSU 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Simon McClannan punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Evan Pryor run for 11 yds to the CIN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the CIN 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the CIN 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.54

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 43

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Corey Kiner run for 14 yds to the KSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.65

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 18 yds to the KSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the KSU 23

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.62

Brendan Sorsby run for 15 yds to the KSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 63 yds , Bryce Noernberg return for 25 yds to the KSU 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Avery Johnson run for 5 yds to the KSU 32

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.88

DJ Giddens run for 6 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.60

DJ Giddens run for 19 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Avery Johnson run for 7 yds to the CIN 36

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Joe Jackson run for 4 yds to the CIN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.46

Joe Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 35

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +3.29

Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 14 yds Tre Spivey fumbled, recovered by KSU for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

DJ Giddens run for 4 yds to the CIN 17

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.66

DJ Giddens run for 17 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Sterling Berkhalter for 9 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 13 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.99

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for a loss of 4 yards to the CIN 43

2nd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Evan Pryor run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Joe Jackson run for 5 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Avery Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.09

Joe Jackson run for 16 yds to the CIN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Avery Johnson pass complete to Tre Spivey for 13 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Joe Jackson run for 4 yds to the CIN 12

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Joe Jackson run for 3 yds to the CIN 9

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Joe Jackson run for 1 yd to the CIN 8

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.98

Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Swanson for 8 yds for a TD (Chris Tennant KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 10 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Ryan Davis and Chiddi Obiazor for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 34

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.23

Corey Kiner run for 12 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SORSBY, Brendan pass to the left incomplete intended for BERKHALTER, Sterling thrown to the CIN45, clock 06:04. PENALTY KSTATE Roughing the Passer on ILALIO, Damian enforced 15 yards from the CIN46 to the KSTATE39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.09

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 33 yds to the KSU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 58 yds , Sterling Lockett return for 11 yds to the KSU 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Joe Jackson run for 3 yds to the KSU 21

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

DeVon Rice run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 20

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Ta'Quan Roberson run for 7 yds to the KSU 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Simon McClannan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 29

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(03:18) LICHTENBERG, Brady sacked for a loss of 3 yards at the CIN26 (DAVIS, Ryan;ALLEN, Jordan), clock 03:11. PENALTY KSTATE Holding on RICH, Zashon enforced 10 yards from the CIN29 to the CIN39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.98

Corey Kiner run for 29 yds to the KSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.69

Brady Lichtenberg sacked by Ryan Davis for a loss of 6 yards to the KSU 38

2nd & 16Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Corey Kiner run for 12 yds to the KSU 26

4th & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.94

Brady Lichtenberg sacked by Tobi Osunsanmi for a loss of 5 yards to the KSU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brady Lichtenberg pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Evan Cantu run for 3 yds to the KSU 34

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Evan Cantu run for 5 yds to the KSU 39

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.52

Evan Cantu run for 5 yds to the KSU 44 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
70%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
56%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
9 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play