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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 14.3

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 82%

Market (Bovada)

Iowa State -7

Edge: Iowa State -7 (7.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
730717
Iowa StateIowa State
73101434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-1017-1020-1027-1734-17
Iowa StateCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINISCINTD1075ydPUNT610ydPUNT44ydTD539ydFG859ydPUNT423ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT67ydPUNT416ydPUNT30ydFG620ydEND1-2ydTD976ydTO862ydFG938ydPUNT418ydTO319ydTD440ydTD1568ydPUNT3-10ydTD771ydEND538yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and Iowa State
StatisticCincinnatiIowa State
Passing10-1824-35
Pass Yards66234
Rush Yards287152
Total Yards353386
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-117-16
Penalties13-977-40
Possession28:1231:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Brendan Sorsby
10/18, 66 YDS
rushing
Brendan Sorsby
14 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tony Johnson
3 REC, 43 YDS
defense
Jonathan Thompson
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
24/33, 234 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Abu Sama III
12 CAR, 52 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Gabe Burkle
6 REC, 73 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Barry Jackson Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.49

Brendan Sorsby run for 14 yds to the CIN 34

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.14

Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.41

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 23 yds to the ISU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the ISU 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 12 yds to the ISU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 6 yds to the ISU 12

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.41

Evan Pryor run for 12 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the ISU 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ISU 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 10 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Rocco Becht run for no gain to the ISU 39

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Moberly run for 5 yds to the ISU 44

3rd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.12

Rocco Becht sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 40

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ISU 35

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Francis Sherman) to the CIN 21

1st & 20Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.98

Corey Kiner run for 15 yds to the CIN 26

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 27

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.44

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 25

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Josh Minkins) to the CIN 20

4th & 11Penalty+5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the CIN 25

4th & 6Punt+28 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 42 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 28 yds to the CIN 39

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Carson Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.84

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 32 yds to the CIN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Carson Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+7 yds

(02:02) BECHT, Rocco pass to the right incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Jayden thrown to the CIN0, clock 01:57. PENALTY CIN Pass Interference on YOUNG, Jordan enforced 7 yards to the CIN2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Carson Hansen run for 2 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Gabe Burkle) to the CIN 8

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jace J. Gilbert kickoff for 61 yds , Logan Wilson return for 26 yds to the CIN 30

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CIN 25

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Corey Kiner run for 10 yds to the CIN 35

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CIN 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 4 yds to the CIN 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.27

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 10 yds to the CIN 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +1.81

Brendan Sorsby run for 41 yds to the ISU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Josh Minkins) to the ISU 20

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the ISU 17

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the ISU 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Nathan Hawks 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 16 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Abu Sama III run for 6 yds to the ISU 47

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Aiden Flora run for no gain to the ISU 47

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the ISU 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the CIN 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 24 yds, downed at the ISU 49

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 46

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 1 yd to the ISU 47

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jace J. Gilbert punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 13

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the CIN 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the CIN 22

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, Offsides (Tyler Onyedim) to the CIN 27

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CIN 22

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Delay Of Game (Mason Fletcher) to the CIN 17

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 35

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Aiden Flora run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 5 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

(02:05) SAMA, Abu rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the CIN44 (GOLDAY, Jake;PEEK JR., Antwan), clock 02:01. PENALTY ISU Holding on TRAVIS, Jalen enforced 10 yards from the CIN45 to the ISU45 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the CIN 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+13 yds

Jace J. Gilbert punt for 42 yds , Jamoi Mayes returns for 13 yds to the CIN 20

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for a loss of 7 yards to the CIN 13

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the CIN 15

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the CIN 20

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 18 yds, downed at the CIN 38

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.78

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for no gain to the CIN 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 15 yds to the CIN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the CIN 18

4th & 5Field Goal Good+37 yds

Kyle Konrardy 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Brendan Sorsby run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 62 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 21 yds to the ISU 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Abu Sama III run for 7 yds to the ISU 31

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

(14:04) BECHT, Rocco pass short to the right incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Jayden thrown to the ISU35, clock 14:00. PENALTY CIN Holding on CARROLL, Kalen enforced 10 yards from the ISU31 to the ISU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 4 yds to the ISU 45

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Aiden Flora run for 1 yd to the ISU 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.04

Rocco Becht pass complete to Brett Eskildsen for 6 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the CIN 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 3 yds to the CIN 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.44

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 19 yds to the CIN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Rocco Becht pass complete to Stevo Klotz for 26 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 5 yds to the CIN 30

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.52

Corey Kiner run for 13 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Corey Kiner run for 12 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Brendan Sorsby run for 11 yds to the ISU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 15 yds to the ISU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -4.37

Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds to the ISU 28 Brendan Sorsby fumbled, recovered by ISU Tyler Onyedim T. Onyedim return for 0 yds Cincinnati Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Deondre Buford) to the ISU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 13 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(06:15) BECHT, Rocco pass short to the left complete for 6 yards to HIGGINS, Jayden caught at the ISU46 and advanced to the ISU47 (ARNOLD, Ormanie), clock 06:10. PENALTY Before the snap, ISU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ISU41 to the ISU36. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 36

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 6 yds to the ISU 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 9Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.95

Stevo Klotz run for 22 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, Delay Of Game (Rocco Becht) to the CIN 41

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the CIN 40

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 6 yds to the CIN 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+52 yds

Kyle Konrardy 52 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Corey Kiner run for 17 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the CIN 43

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 49

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Brendan Sorsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 48

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (John Williams) to the CIN 43

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the ISU 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.53

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 13 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -1.95

Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the ISU 40 Carson Hansen fumbled, recovered by CIN Josh Minkins J. Minkins return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 41

2nd & 11Penalty-10 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Offensive Holding (Francis Sherman) to the ISU 48

2nd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Evan Pryor run for 7 yds to the ISU 41

3rd & 11Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +5.28

Brendan Sorsby run for 41 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 65 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 32 yds to the ISU 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Rocco Becht run for no gain to the ISU 32

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.47

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 9 yds to the ISU 41

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.02

Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.67

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 10 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the CIN 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.42

Rocco Becht pass complete to Brett Eskildsen for 11 yds to the CIN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylin Noel pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the CIN 30

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 7 yds to the CIN 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 5 yds to the CIN 18

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the CIN 15

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.73

Rocco Becht run for 15 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for no gain to the CIN 25

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(03:39) SORSBY, Brendan pass to the left incomplete intended for PRYOR, Evan thrown to the CIN25; QB hurried by ORANGE, Domonique, clock 03:35. PENALTY CIN Holding on BUFORD, Deondre enforced 10 yards from the CIN25 to the CIN15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 56 yds, downed at the ISU 29

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 6 yds to the ISU 33

3rd & 6Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.71

Rocco Becht run for 32 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the CIN 33

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the CIN 33

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Abu Sama III run for 6 yds to the CIN 27

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.91

Abu Sama III run for 27 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Corey Kiner run for 16 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 40

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.59

Corey Kiner run for 16 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the ISU 42

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the ISU 37

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
22 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
80%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
28%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
83%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
67%
9 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play