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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arizona by 0.7

Home Win Probability

Arizona 53%

Market (Bovada)

Arizona -1

Edge: Houston +1 (0.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
HoustonHouston
03003
ArizonaArizona
7317027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-317-320-327-3
ArizonaHouston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARIHOUARIHOUARIHOUARIHOUARIHOUARIHOUARIHOUARIHOUARIHOUARIHOUARIHOUARIHOUARIPUNT35ydTO531ydTD760ydDOWNS942ydPUNT32ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-8ydDOWNS879ydPUNT34ydTO3-3ydDOWNS1036ydFG749ydFG631ydPUNT35ydTD1070ydDOWNS524ydFG516ydPUNT3-16ydTD150ydDOWNS1048ydTO837ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT612ydTO476ydEND822yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston and Arizona
StatisticHoustonArizona
Passing16-2820-35
Pass Yards191224
Rush Yards135113
Total Yards326337
Turnovers31
3rd Down2-1310-17
Penalties4-392-30
Possession28:5631:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston
passing
Zeon Chriss
16/27, 191 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Re'Shaun Sanford II
10 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Stephon Johnson Jr.
4 REC, 70 YDS
defense
Arizona
passing
Noah Fifita
20/35, 224 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Quali Conley
11 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tetairoa Mcmillan
6 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Owen Goss
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Noah Fifita sacked by Anthony Holmes Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the ARIZ 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Noah Fifita pass complete to Kedrick Reescano for 12 yds to the ARIZ 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 42 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for no gain to the HOU 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 5 yds to the HOU 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.91

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Re'Shaun Sanford II for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 49

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -0.84

J'Marion Burnette run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 40 J'Marion Burnette fumbled, recovered by ARIZ Genesis Smith

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 7 yds to the ARIZ 47

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Quali Conley run for 4 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.00

Noah Fifita run for 12 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Noah Fifita run for 5 yds to the HOU 33

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.81

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 33 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zeon Chriss run for no gain to the HOU 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 13 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the HOU 41

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Arizona Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Lance Keneley) to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.91

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Re'Shaun Sanford II for no gain to the ARIZ 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Zeon Chriss pass complete to DJ Butler for 6 yds to the ARIZ 36

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 33

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.72

J'Marion Burnette run for no gain to the ARIZ 33 J'Marion Burnette fumbled, recovered by HOU Joseph Manjack IV J. Manjack IV return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 6 yds to the ARIZ 39

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.95

Noah Fifita sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. and Carlos Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the ARIZ 35

4th & 8Punt+50 yds

Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 50 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the HOU 15

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the HOU 18

4th & 6Punt+9 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 49 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for 9 yds to the ARIZ 42

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the ARIZ 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.77

Noah Fifita sacked by Carlos Allen for a loss of 8 yards to the ARIZ 34

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 36 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for no gain to the HOU 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Zeon Chriss run for 3 yds to the HOU 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 8 yds to the HOU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.92

Zeon Chriss run for 21 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.17

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 38 yds to the ARIZ 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 8 yds to the ARIZ 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Donovan Smith run for no gain to the ARIZ 1

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Noah Fifita run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 2

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Quali Conley run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 5

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+35 yds

Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 40 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 35 yds Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the ARIZ 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

DJ Butler run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 43

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.10

Devan Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the ARIZ 48

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -0.88

Zeon Chriss pass intercepted Zeon Chriss return for 5 yds to the ARIZ 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kedrick Reescano run for no gain to the ARIZ 44

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Noah Fifita run for no gain to the ARIZ 44

3rd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.71

Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 31 yds to the HOU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 5 yds to the HOU 20

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Noah Fifita run for 4 yds to the HOU 16

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Quali Conley run for 5 yds to the HOU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Quali Conley run for no gain to the HOU 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -3.43

run for a loss of 9 yards to the HOU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.82

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 22 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.21

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 15 yds to the ARIZ 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Zeon Chriss run for 11 yds to the ARIZ 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Zeon Chriss run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 31

4th & 9Field Goal Good+49 yds

Jack Martin 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 13 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 7 yds to the ARIZ 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 11 yds to the HOU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+62 yds

Tyler Loop 62 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Mekhi Mews run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 8 yds to the HOU 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 40 yds , Jeremiah Patterson returns for no gain to the ARIZ 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 9 yds to the ARIZ 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Noah Fifita run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Quali Conley run for 19 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.27

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 12 yds to the HOU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.28

Kedrick Reescano run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 31

3rd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.02

Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 18 yds to the HOU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Noah Fifita pass complete to Quali Conley for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 17 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the HOU 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 3 yds to the HOU 49

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Holman Edwards pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.92

Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 18 yds to the HOU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.05

Noah Fifita sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. and Hershey McLaurin for a loss of 8 yards to the HOU 39

2nd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tetairoa McMillan for 6 yds to the HOU 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+51 yds

Tyler Loop 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the HOU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Re'Shaun Sanford II for no gain to the HOU 28

3rd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Houston Penalty, personal foul (-10 Yards) to the HOU 9

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Patterson at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Quali Conley run for 50 yds for a TD (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the HOU 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Re'Shaun Sanford II for 5 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (Shamar Hobdy-Lee) to the HOU 35

1st & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for no gain to the HOU 35

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Zeon Chriss run for 5 yds to the HOU 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.27

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 18 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CHRISS, Zeon pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Stephon thrown to the ARIZ22, clock 01:12. PENALTY ARIZ Pass Interference on GROVES-KILLEBREW, Marquis enforced 15 yards to the ARIZ27 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Zeon Chriss run for no gain to the ARIZ 27

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.17

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 5 yds to the ARIZ 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Noah Fifita pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.70

Noah Fifita pass complete to Tyler Powell for 6 yds to the ARIZ 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Quali Conley run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 9 yds to the HOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Noah Fifita pass complete to Jeremiah Patterson for 4 yds to the HOU 42

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.65

Kedrick Reescano run for 6 yds to the HOU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.99

Noah Fifita pass intercepted Hershey McLaurin return for no gain to the HOU 26

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 24

2nd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.40

Zeon Chriss sacked by Tre Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the HOU 18

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Zeon Chriss run for 6 yds to the HOU 24

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Patterson at the ARIZ 31

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 37

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Quali Conley run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 38

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.73

Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 47

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kedrick Reescano run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 49

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.55

Noah Fifita sacked by Brandon Mack for a loss of 6 yards to the ARIZ 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Michael Salgado-Medina punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 1 yd to the HOU 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +4.21

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 57 yds to the ARIZ 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.40

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for no gain to the ARIZ 22

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+18 ydsPPA -3.95

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Re'Shaun Sanford II for 18 yds fumbled, recovered by ARIZ Owen Goss O. Goss return for 1 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Quali Conley run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 11

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 14

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.27

Kedrick Reescano run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kedrick Reescano run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 21

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kedrick Reescano run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 24

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.01

Kedrick Reescano run for 7 yds to the ARIZ 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

(01:17) Kneel down by TEAM at ARIZ29 (team loss of 2), clock 01:11.

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

(00:36) Kneel down by TEAM at ARIZ27 (team loss of 2), clock 00:32.

Situational Analysis

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
30 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play