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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
BYUBYU
37
-Final
24
UCFUCF
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 17.4

Home Win Probability

UCF 15%

Market (Bovada)

UCF -2.5

Edge: BYU +2.5 (19.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BYUBYU
71710337
UCFUCF
01001424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-100-177-1710-1710-3110-3418-3724-37
UCFBYU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BYUUCFBYUUCFBYUUCFBYUUCFBYUUCFUCFBYUUCFBYUUCFBYUUCFBYUUCFBYUUCFBYUTD875ydPUNT524ydFG1869ydPUNT421ydTD892ydTD475ydPUNT424ydFG1067ydTD475ydEND314ydPUNT37ydTD1072ydTO33ydFG48ydPUNT419ydTO535ydTO515ydPUNT36ydTD460ydFG1157ydTD1289ydEND3-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing BYU and UCF
StatisticBYUUCF
Passing16-2414-27
Pass Yards228198
Rush Yards255181
Total Yards483379
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-152-10
Penalties8-505-55
Possession40:2819:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

BYU
passing
Jake Retzlaff
16/24, 228 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
LJ Martin
15 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chase Roberts
2 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
defense
UCF
passing
Dylan Rizk
6/10, 102 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
RJ Harvey
16 CAR, 127 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jacoby Jones
6 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the BYU 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Keelan Marion for 12 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.14

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 20 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the UCF 29

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.75

Jake Retzlaff run for 29 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 6 yds to the UCF 31

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Johnny Richardson run for 9 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacurri Brown run for 3 yds to the UCF 46

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 49

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 9

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

LJ Martin run for 9 yds to the BYU 18

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.13

LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Hinckley Ropati run for 6 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.61

LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.02

Jake Retzlaff run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 32

3rd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 13 yds to the BYU 45

4th & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +2.25

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 2 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.19

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 20 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Parker Kingston run for 5 yds to the UCF 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.72

Will Ferrin run for 8 yds to the UCF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jake Retzlaff run for no gain to the UCF 20

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Jake Retzlaff run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 22

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+41 yds

Will Ferrin 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

RJ Harvey run for 23 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 3 yds to the BYU 49

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the UCF 46

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 8

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.99

LJ Martin run for 20 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Hinckley Ropati for 13 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(11:49) RETZLAFF, Jake pass deep to the right incomplete intended for ROBERTS, Chase thrown to the UCF20, clock 11:45. PENALTY UCF Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Chasen enforced 15 yards to the UCF44 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 3 yds to the UCF 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.03

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Cody Hagen for 16 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.04

Jake Retzlaff sacked by Ricky Barber for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 35

2nd & 20Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.08

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Darius Lassiter for 19 yds to the UCF 16

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA +0.10

LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the UCF 15 LJ Martin fumbled, recovered by BYU LJ Martin L. Martin return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

LJ Martin run for 15 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 6 yds to the UCF 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.37

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 13 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.16

RJ Harvey run for 54 yds to the BYU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Ryner Swanson for 18 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Hinckley Ropati run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 41

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 45

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds to the BYU 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.61

Jacurri Brown sacked by Blake Mangelson for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 7

2nd & 16Rush0 ydsPPA -0.06

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 7

3rd & 16Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.16

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 16 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(02:41) MONTGOMERY, Myles rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the UCF28 (TAGGART, Harrison;MANGELSON, Blake), clock 02:38. PENALTY Before the snap, BYU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UCF23 to the UCF28. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 13 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.27

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 40 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

UCF Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jacurri Brown) to the BYU 25

3rd & 20Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the BYU 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

4th & 15Field Goal Good+38 yds

Grant Reddick 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

LJ Martin run for 11 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to LJ Martin for 2 yds to the BYU 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +6.60

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 62 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Will Ferrin kickoff for 63 yds , Christian Peterson return for 15 yds to the UCF 17

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.02

RJ Harvey run for 15 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Jacurri Brown pass complete to RJ Harvey for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jacurri Brown run for 1 yd to the UCF 27

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, Offsides (Jakob Robinson) to the UCF 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 46 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 6 yds to the BYU 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the BYU 35

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.44

Jake Retzlaff run for 4 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(11:23) RETZLAFF, Jake pass deep to the left incomplete intended for KINGSTON, Parker thrown to the UCF20, clock 11:16. PENALTY UCF Pass Interference on BULLARD, Quadric enforced 15 yards to the UCF46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 6 yds to the UCF 40

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.51

Hinckley Ropati run for 14 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the UCF 22

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Jake Retzlaff run for 8 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Chase Roberts for 13 yds to the UCF 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jake Retzlaff run for no gain to the UCF 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Mata'ava Ta'ase for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)

0th & 0Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 8

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the UCF 29

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.74

RJ Harvey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 28 RJ Harvey fumbled, recovered by UCF RJ Harvey R. Harvey return for 0 yds

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -0.07

Jacurri Brown pass intercepted Isaiah Glasker return for 6 yds to the UCF 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jake Retzlaff run for 3 yds to the UCF 24

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Hinckley Ropati run for 6 yds to the UCF 18

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Hinckley Ropati run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 19

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

Will Ferrin 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BYU Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Isaiah Glasker) to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the UCF 43

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Myles Montgomery run for 1 yd to the UCF 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 16

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.24

Keelan Marion run for 18 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Chase Roberts run for 2 yds to the BYU 36

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.58

Hinckley Ropati run for 8 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, Offsides (Xe'ree Alexander) to the UCF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Jake Retzlaff sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 49 Jake Retzlaff fumbled, recovered by UCF Malachi Lawrence , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jacurri Brown run for no gain to the UCF 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, Offsides (Tyler Batty) to the BYU 46

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.79

Jacurri Brown run for 6 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ja'Varrius Johnson run for 4 yds to the BYU 36

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.72

Jacurri Brown pass intercepted Faletau Satuala return for no gain to the BYU 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the BYU 12

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Hinckley Ropati run for 3 yds to the BYU 15

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Jake Retzlaff pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trent Whittemore at the UCF 40

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

RJ Harvey run for 11 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 12 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.17

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 32 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds for a TD (D. Rizk Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, False Start (Weylin Lapuaho) to the BYU 20

1st & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Retzlaff sacked by Daylan Dotson for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Jake Retzlaff pass complete to Parker Kingston for 8 yds to the BYU 26

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Jake Retzlaff run for 12 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jake Retzlaff run for 1 yd to the BYU 39

2nd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.49

Hinckley Ropati run for 18 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hinckley Ropati run for 5 yds to the UCF 38

2nd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.67

Hinckley Ropati run for 20 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Miles Davis run for 3 yds to the UCF 15

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hinckley Ropati run for no gain to the UCF 15

3rd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Miles Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 18

4th & 10Field Goal Good+36 yds

Will Ferrin 36 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Will Ferrin kickoff for 61 yds , Christian Peterson return for 7 yds to the UCF 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Randy Pittman Jr. for 6 yds to the UCF 17

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete

4th & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.98

Dylan Rizk run for 5 yds to the UCF 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Dylan Rizk run for 8 yds to the UCF 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 12 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Dylan Rizk pass complete to RJ Harvey for 11 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Dylan Rizk run for 11 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Dylan Rizk run for 7 yds to the BYU 29

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Dylan Rizk pass incomplete

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +4.19

Dylan Rizk pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 29 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Grant Reddick kickoff for 7 yds , return for no gain to the UCF 42

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(00:56) Kneel down by TEAM at UCF47 (team loss of 2), clock 00:55. PENALTY Before the snap, BYU Illegal Snap on MITCHELL, Bruce enforced 5 yards from the UCF42 to the UCF47. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UCF48 (team loss of 1), clock 00:55.

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

(00:52) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UCF49 (team loss of 1), clock 00:45.

3rd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.53

(00:32) [NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at UCF50 (team loss of 1), clock 00:27.

Situational Analysis

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
32 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
50%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
14%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play