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← Back to GamesOct 27, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Colorado by 8.4

Home Win Probability

Colorado 70%

Market (Bovada)

Colorado -6

Edge: Colorado -6 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 27, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
770923
ColoradoColorado
14107334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-714-1417-1424-1431-1431-1731-2334-23
ColoradoCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINCOLCINCOLCINCOLCINCOLCOLCINCOLCINCOLCINCOLCINCOLCINCOLPUNT30ydTD1164ydTD774ydTD1290ydTD1072ydFG1364ydDOWNS629ydTD554ydPUNT831ydPUNT523ydTD662ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT628ydFG1375ydPUNT39ydTD1181ydFG760ydDOWNS54ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and Colorado
StatisticCincinnatiColorado
Passing16-3025-30
Pass Yards180323
Rush Yards171128
Total Yards351451
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-107-13
Penalties9-695-68
Possession27:1832:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Brendan Sorsby
16/30, 180 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Corey Kiner
17 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Tony Johnson
4 REC, 54 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Colorado
passing
Shedeur Sanders
25/30, 323 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Isaiah Augustave
22 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Travis Hunter
9 REC, 153 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 52 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. returns for 13 yds to the COLO 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Augustave run for 4 yds to the COLO 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Augustave run for 4 yds to the COLO 44

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Shedeur Sanders run for 2 yds to the COLO 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Isaiah Augustave run for 7 yds to the CIN 47

2nd & 3Sack-10 ydsPPA -3.15

Shedeur Sanders sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 10 yards to the COLO 43

3rd & 13Penalty-15 yds

Colorado Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jimmy Horn Jr.) to the CIN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds to the CIN 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for no gain to the CIN 3

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Dallan Hayden run for 9 yds to the CIN 16

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the CIN 15 for a 1ST down

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 3 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Daniel Gerlach kickoff for 64 yds , Logan Wilson return for 25 yds to the CIN 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.59

Corey Kiner run for 10 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.47

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 40 yds to the COLO 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the COLO 22

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Gavin Gerhardt) to the COLO 27

2nd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.94

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 17 yds to the COLO 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Barry Jackson Jr. run for 4 yds to the COLO 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 6 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 64 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. return for 19 yds to the COLO 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the COLO 13

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.08

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 15 yds to the COLO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Isaiah Augustave for 2 yds to the COLO 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.51

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 9 yds to the COLO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Isaiah Augustave run for 1 yd to the COLO 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 1 yd to the COLO 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.59

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Roughing the Passer on PHILLIPS, Eric enforced (Eric Phillips) to the CIN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Dallan Hayden run for 3 yds to the CIN 14

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dallan Hayden run for 5 yds to the CIN 9

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Dallan Hayden run for 1 yd to the CIN 8

4th & 1Penalty+4 yds

HAYDEN, Dallan rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the CINCY7 (PEEK JR., Antwan). PENALTY Before the snap, CINCY Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the CINCY8 to the CINCY4 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Shedeur Sanders run for 4 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Daniel Gerlach kickoff for 56 yds , Manny Covey return for 19 yds to the CIN 28

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 32

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Francis Sherman for 8 yds Francis Sherman fumbled, recovered by CIN for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Phillip Wilder) to the CIN 36

3rd & 14Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.65

Brendan Sorsby run for 21 yds to the COLO 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the COLO 41

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Evan Pryor run for 7 yds to the COLO 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the COLO 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+42 yds

SORSBY, Brendan pass deep to the left intercepted by HODGE, Preston at the COLO6 intended for JOHNSON, Tony. Hodge return for 42 yards to the COLO48 (WILLIAMS, John), clock 09:57. PENALTY COLO Pass Interference on HODGE, Preston enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the COLO13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Evan Pryor run for 13 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for a loss of 5 yards to the COLO 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.00

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 16 yds to the COLO 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 6 yds to the COLO 42

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Isaiah Augustave run for 9 yds to the CIN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the CIN 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 3 yds to the CIN 41

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.90

Isaiah Augustave run for 2 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the CIN 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.26

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 29 yds to the CIN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.54

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 11 fumbled, recovered by COLO Shedeur Sanders S. Sanders return for 0 yds

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Alejandro Mata 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 14 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.78

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 42

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 48

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the COLO 46

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.48

Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the COLO 46

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.48

Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the COLO 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Dallan Hayden for 6 yds to the CIN 48

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 14 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.60

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 34 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)

0th & 10End of Half+66 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Daniel Gerlach kickoff for 53 yds , Logan Wilson return for 22 yds to the CIN 34 Drew Logan fumbled, recovered by CIN Logan Wilson L. Wilson return for 22 yds , return for no gain to the CIN 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the COLO 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Isaiah Augustave run for 7 yds to the COLO 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaiah Augustave run for 2 yds to the COLO 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds to the COLO 43

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.63

Isaiah Augustave run for 6 yds to the COLO 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Shedeur Sanders run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line Shedeur Sanders fumbled, recovered by COLO , return to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 6 yds to the CIN 44

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 6

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the CIN 13

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds to the CIN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 9 yds to the CIN 29

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt+13 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 46 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 13 yds to the COLO 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Isaiah Augustave run for 1 yd to the COLO 39

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Dallan Hayden run for 6 yds to the COLO 45

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

SANDERS, Shedeur pass deep to the right incomplete intended for SHEPPARD, Will thrown to the CINCY24. PENALTY CINCY Holding on ARNOLD, Ormanie enforced 10 yards from the COLO45 to the CINCY45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.90

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 28 yds to the CIN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Isaiah Augustave run for 6 yds to the CIN 11

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Shedeur Sanders run for 4 yds to the CIN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Isaiah Augustave run for 7 yds for a TD (Alejandro Mata KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Daniel Gerlach kickoff for 62 yds , Logan Wilson return for 26 yds to the CIN 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig for a loss of 4 yards to the CIN 25

4th & 14Punt-5 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 37 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. returns for a loss of 5 yards to the COLO 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the COLO 36

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the COLO 41

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.04

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Drelon Miller for 11 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dallan Hayden run for no gain to the CIN 48

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Dallan Hayden run for 7 yds to the CIN 41

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Dallan Hayden run for 2 yds to the CIN 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 29 yds, downed at the CIN 10

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the CIN 17

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the CIN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Corey Kiner run for 13 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Colorado Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Shilo Sanders) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the COLO 43

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.11

Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the COLO 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Evan Pryor run for no gain to the COLO 39

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.21

Brendan Sorsby run for 12 yds to the COLO 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the COLO 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 5 yds to the COLO 21

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (John Williams) to the COLO 26

3rd & 9Penalty+13 yds

Colorado Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Anquin Barnes Jr.) to the COLO 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the COLO 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.98

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for a loss of 4 yards to the COLO 15

4th & 12Field Goal Good+32 yds

Nathan Hawks 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Isaiah Augustave run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLO 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Jimmy Horn Jr. for 7 yds to the COLO 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Isaiah Augustave run for 3 yds to the COLO 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Vassett punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 19

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the CIN 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 8 yds to the CIN 28

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.20

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the CIN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SORSBY, Brendan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HENDERSON, Xzavier thrown to the CINCY46; QB hurried by GREEN, B.J.. PENALTY CINCY Holding on WILDER, Phillip enforced 10 yards from the CINCY29 to the CINCY19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.42

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 22 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 19 yds to the COLO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the COLO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.00

Corey Kiner run for 23 yds to the COLO 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 54 yds , Jimmy Horn Jr. return for no gain to the COLO 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.49

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to Travis Hunter for 34 yds to the COLO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Shedeur Sanders pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Isaiah Augustave run for 13 yds to the CIN 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Augustave run for 5 yds to the CIN 25

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.21

Isaiah Augustave run for a loss of 4 yards to the CIN 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Shedeur Sanders pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 yds

Alejandro Mata 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Illegal Block (Gavin Gerhardt) to the CIN 16

1st & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 6 yds to the CIN 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 12 yds to the CIN 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Joe Royer) to the CIN 29

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.16

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

[NHSG] Kneel down by SANDERS, Shedeur at CINCY30 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

[NHSG] Kneel down by SANDERS, Shedeur at CINCY31 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
25 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
83%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th