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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
CincinnatiCincinnati
19
-Final
13
UCFUCF
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UCF by 0.2

Home Win Probability

UCF 49%

Market (Bovada)

UCF -2.5

Edge: Cincinnati +2.5 (2.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
373619
UCFUCF
037313

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-103-1010-1010-1310-1913-19
UCFCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFCINUCFTO953ydTO548ydTO1-6ydFG41ydDOWNS836ydTD1161ydPUNT3-2ydTO1047ydFG1393ydMISS1257ydPUNT32ydTD1084ydFG942ydPUNT4-1ydPUNT521ydPUNT37ydTD952ydFG965ydPUNT512ydEND746yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and UCF
StatisticCincinnatiUCF
Passing25-3814-24
Pass Yards241201
Rush Yards97196
Total Yards338397
Turnovers22
3rd Down9-165-13
Penalties6-3310-75
Possession33:4426:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Brendan Sorsby
25/38, 241 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Corey Kiner
17 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Joe Royer
8 REC, 84 YDS
defense
UCF
passing
Jacurri Brown
13/20, 207 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
RJ Harvey
17 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Kobe Hudson
7 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

EJ Colson run for 8 yds to the UCF 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 34

3rd & 1Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.13

RJ Harvey run for 31 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the CIN 35

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Myles Montgomery run for 6 yds to the CIN 29

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the CIN 26

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.04

RJ Harvey run for 2 yds to the CIN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

EJ Colson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.88

Johnny Richardson run for 2 yds to the CIN 22 Johnny Richardson fumbled, recovered by CIN Harris Adams H. Adams return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 2 yds to the CIN 24

2nd & 8Rush+46 ydsPPA +3.85

Corey Kiner run for 46 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 35

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Corey Kiner run for 5 yds to the UCF 30

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -2.86

Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted Brendan Sorsby return for 3 yds to the UCF 11

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-6 ydsPPA -0.24

EJ Colson pass complete to Johnny Richardson for a loss of 6 yards Johnny Richardson fumbled, recovered by CIN Jake Golday J. Golday return for 0 yds

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Corey Kiner run for 1 yd to the UCF 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Nathan Hawks 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

EJ Colson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Jacurri Brown run for 14 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Jacoby Jones for 14 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

UCF Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UCF 47

1st & 16Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.22

RJ Harvey run for 10 yds to the CIN 43

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the CIN 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 3 yds to the CIN 39

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the CIN 41

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.27

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Isaiah Nixon for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 38

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, Offsides (Nyjalik Kelly) to the CIN 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.85

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 16 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the UCF 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, Offsides (Matthew Alexander) to the UCF 35

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.05

Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Evan Pryor run for no gain to the UCF 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 6 yds to the UCF 23

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

(00:59) SORSBY, Brendan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for MAYES, Jamoi thrown to the UCF0, clock 00:54. PENALTY UCF Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Chasen enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the UCF8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Brendan Sorsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 6 yds to the UCF 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

EJ Colson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.05

EJ Colson run for 4 yds to the UCF 26 EJ Colson fumbled, recovered by UCF EJ Colson E. Colson return for 0 yds

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.40

EJ Colson sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 20

4th & 12Punt+11 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 52 yds , Jamoi Mayes returns for 11 yds to the CIN 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Barry Jackson Jr. run for 5 yds to the CIN 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 8 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Manny Covey run for 4 yds to the UCF 46

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.55

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 15 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the UCF 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.22

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Manny Covey for 12 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.14

Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted Ladarius Tennison return for no gain to the UCF 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 4

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 8 yds to the UCF 12

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.44

Jacurri Brown run for 6 yds to the UCF 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.39

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 29 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jacurri Brown run for 4 yds to the CIN 49

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jacurri Brown run for 1 yd to the CIN 48

3rd & 5Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.56

Jacurri Brown run for 28 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Ja'Varrius Johnson for 6 yds to the CIN 14

2nd & 4Penalty+2 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jordan Young) to the CIN 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

RJ Harvey run for 4 yds to the CIN 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the CIN 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Grant Reddick 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the CIN 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.07

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 11 yds to the CIN 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 6 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Corey Kiner for 9 yds to the CIN 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 7 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 9 yds to the UCF 38

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.70

Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.39

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 14 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

UCF Penalty, Offsides (Malachi Lawrence) to the UCF 18

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 5Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Nathan Hawks 36 yd FG MISSED

0th & 5End of Half-64 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the CIN 28

2nd & 7Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.94

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 9 yards to the CIN 19

3rd & 16Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Gavin Gerhardt) to the CIN 14

3rd & 21Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.14

Corey Kiner run for 13 yds to the CIN 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 42 yds , Trent Whittemore returns for no gain to the UCF 16

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (Cameron Kinnie) to the UCF 11

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.93

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 23 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Jacurri Brown run for 10 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

RJ Harvey run for 8 yds to the CIN 48

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

RJ Harvey run for 3 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Myles Montgomery run for 1 yd to the CIN 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.71

Jacurri Brown run for 24 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the CIN 15

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.54

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 15 yds for a TD (Grant Reddick KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Barry Jackson Jr. for 12 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Corey Kiner run for 4 yds to the CIN 41

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.14

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 21 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 11 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Evan Pryor run for no gain to the UCF 27

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.67

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Jamaal Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 37

3rd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the UCF 33

4th & 16Field Goal Good+51 yds

Nathan Hawks 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 12 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

RJ Harvey run for 1 yd to the UCF 38

2nd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.32

Jacurri Brown sacked by Jake Golday for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 29

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

4th & 18Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (Jacoby Jones) to the UCF 24

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the CIN 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.62

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 18 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the UCF 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 9 yds to the UCF 40

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Brendan Sorsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 41

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (Josh Minkins) to the UCF 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 45 yds, downed at the UCF 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

RJ Harvey run for no gain to the UCF 1

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Jacurri Brown run for 7 yds to the UCF 8

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Mitch McCarthy punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the CIN 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 13 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Corey Kiner run for 2 yds to the UCF 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 14 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 6 yds to the UCF 17

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Evan Pryor run for no gain to the UCF 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 8 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 5 yds to the UCF 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the UCF 19

1st & 15Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.39

RJ Harvey run for 24 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Jacurri Brown sacked by Dontay Corleone for a loss of 7 yards to the UCF 36

2nd & 17Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Jacurri Brown pass complete to RJ Harvey for 10 yds to the UCF 46

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

RJ Harvey run for 5 yds to the CIN 49

4th & 2Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.36

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 34 yds to the CIN 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jacurri Brown run for 2 yds to the CIN 13

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jacurri Brown run for 4 yds to the CIN 9

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Jacurri Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Grant Reddick 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Corey Kiner run for 9 yds to the CIN 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Corey Kiner run for 7 yds to the CIN 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.54

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 46

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.32

Corey Kiner run for a loss of 4 yards to the CIN 42

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, Delay Of Game (Josh Minkins) to the CIN 37

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trent Whittemore at the UCF 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.68

Jacurri Brown pass complete to RJ Harvey for 21 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.66

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 22 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UCF Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CIN 43

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Jacurri Brown run for 8 yds to the CIN 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Jacurri Brown pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 10 yds to the CIN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jacurri Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.58

Jacurri Brown sacked by Jared Bartlett for a loss of 10 yards to the CIN 35

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
42%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
78%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

UCF

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
24 plays
50%
4 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
30%
10 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays