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← Back to GamesOct 4, 2024Week 6
HoustonHouston
30
-Final
19
TCUTCU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

TCU by 18.5

Home Win Probability

TCU 86%

Market (Bovada)

TCU -16.5

Edge: TCU -16.5 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 4, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
HoustonHouston
7170630
TCUTCU
066719

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-140-176-2412-2412-2719-2719-30
TCUHouston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOUTCUHOUTCUHOUTCUHOUTCUHOUTCUHOUTCUHOUTCUHOUTCUHOUTCUHOUTCUHOUTCUHOUDOWNS739ydDOWNS521ydTD758ydTO636ydTD862ydTO3-5ydPUNT55ydPUNT3-8ydFG736ydTD777ydTD275ydPUNT36ydEND1-6ydPUNT719ydPUNT35ydTD964ydPUNT33ydTO110ydFG825ydTD1071ydFG1466ydTO523ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston and TCU
StatisticHoustonTCU
Passing17-2023-37
Pass Yards154233
Rush Yards20766
Total Yards361299
Turnovers04
3rd Down5-133-10
Penalties5-503-39
Possession36:5323:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston
passing
Zeon Chriss
15/18, 141 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Zeon Chriss
11 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Maliq Carr
2 REC, 39 YDS
defense
TCU
passing
Josh Hoover
23/37, 233 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Cam Cook
14 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Stacy Sneed run for 6 yds to the HOU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.79

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 7 yds to the HOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 19 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for no gain to the TCU 43

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mekhi Mews run for 4 yds to the TCU 39

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 3 yds to the TCU 36

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.16

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Devan Williams

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 12 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jeremy Payne for 6 yds to the HOU 45

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Jeremy Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jeremy Payne for 3 yds to the HOU 43

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.62

Josh Hoover run for 1 yd to the HOU 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.59

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for 23 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zeon Chriss run for 5 yds to the TCU 30 Zeon Chriss fumbled, forced by Namdi Obiazor, recovered by HOU Zeon Chriss

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

J'Marion Burnette run for 4 yds to the TCU 26

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Stacy Sneed run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 13 Stacy Sneed fumbled, forced by Abe Camara, recovered by HOU Stacy Sneed for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (Abe Camara) to the TCU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

J'Marion Burnette run for 5 yds to the TCU 8

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

J'Marion Burnette run for no gain to the TCU 8

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.81

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Devan Williams for 8 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Cam Cook run for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 11 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Cam Cook run for 6 yds to the HOU 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 8 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to JP Richardson

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+14 ydsPPA -3.05

Josh Hoover pass intercepted A.J. Haulcy return for 14 yds to the HOU 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 8 yds to the HOU 46

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Stacy Sneed run for 1 yd to the HOU 47

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

J'Marion Burnette run for 4 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jonah Wilson for 9 yds to the TCU 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.05

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 18 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Zeon Chriss pass complete to JayShon Ridgle for 4 yds to the TCU 18

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Maliq Carr for 16 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Martin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the TCU 27

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.76

Josh Hoover sacked by Keith Cooper Jr. and Ajani Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 20

3rd & 15Pass Interception Return-7 ydsPPA +0.29

Josh Hoover pass intercepted A.J. Haulcy return for a loss of 7 yards to the HOU 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 9 yds to the HOU 37

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the HOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Zeon Chriss run for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 39

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.01

Zeon Chriss sacked by Cooper McDonald for a loss of 6 yards to the HOU 33 Zeon Chriss fumbled, recovered by HOU Jake Wiley , return for 0 yards

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 38 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.43

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jordyn Bailey for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 21

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack Bech

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Cam Cook

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ethan Craw punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HOU 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

DJ Butler run for 5 yds to the TCU 47

2nd & 5Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.16

Zeon Chriss run for 20 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Stacy Sneed run for 12 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Zeon Chriss pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Zeon Chriss run for 2 yds to the TCU 13

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Zeon Chriss sacked by Namdi Obiazor for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 16

4th & 11Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jack Martin 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Savion Williams

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.29

Cam Cook run for 19 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.66

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 25 yds to the HOU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the HOU 32

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Cam Cook run for 11 yds to the HOU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cam Cook run for no gain to the HOU 21

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 21 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

J'Marion Burnette run for 4 yds to the HOU 29

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.19

Zeon Chriss 71 Yd Run (Jack Martin Kick)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Cam Cook run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 10 yds to the TCU 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack Bech

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ethan Craw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

J'Marion Burnette run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 23

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

Houston Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the HOU 18

0th & 11End of Half-5 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 10 yds to the TCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 9 yds to the TCU 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception-10 ydsPPA -3.08

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the TCU 49 TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (Jack Bech) to the TCU 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.49

Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 15 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Josh Hoover pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the HOU 48

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.66

Josh Hoover sacked by Michael Batton for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 44

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ethan Craw punt for 56 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Zeon Chriss run for 2 yds to the HOU 22

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

DJ Butler run for no gain to the HOU 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 3 yds to the HOU 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 39 yds, fair catch by JP Richardson at the TCU 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Cam Cook

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.26

Cam Cook run for 13 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack Bech

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the HOU 46

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Josh Hoover run for 3 yds to the HOU 43

4th & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.33

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 6 yds to the HOU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Hoover, Josh pass incomplete to Williams, Savion, PENALTY HOUSTON pass interference (Carter, Ajani) 15 yards to the HOUSTON22, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the HOU 17

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 5 yds to the HOU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Hoover, Josh pass incomplete to Williams, Savion, PENALTY HOUSTON pass interference (McCutchin Sr., Latrell) 10 yards to the HOUSTON2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jeremy Payne run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Stacy Sneed for no gain to the HOU 25

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Zeon Chriss sacked by Zachary Chapman for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 20

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.10

Donovan Smith run for 8 yds to the HOU 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Liam Dougherty punt for 47 yds , JP Richardson returns for no gain to the TCU 25

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -0.92

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 10 yds JP Richardson fumbled, forced by Hershey McLaurin, recovered by HOU Carlos Allen

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jayden York for 4 yds to the TCU 31

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Joseph Manjack IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 33

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.48

Zeon Chriss run for 9 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Zeon Chriss pass complete to Jonah Wilson for 13 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

J'Marion Burnette run for 7 yds to the TCU 4

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Houston Penalty, False Start (Peyton Dunn) to the TCU 9

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

J'Marion Burnette run for no gain to the TCU 9

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

J'Marion Burnette run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 10

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 yds

Jack Martin 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jordyn Bailey for 7 yds to the TCU 36

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the TCU 38

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Hoover, Josh rush for no gain to the TCU41, PENALTY HOUSTON face mask (Oliver, Jaise) 15 yards to the HOUSTON44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jeremy Payne run for 2 yds to the HOU 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jordyn Bailey

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack Bech

4th & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +3.10

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 9 yds to the HOU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jordyn Bailey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Josh Hoover pass complete to Savion Williams for 4 yds to the HOU 29

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.64

Josh Hoover pass complete to Jack Bech for 29 yds for a TD (Kyle Lemmermann KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 14 yds to the HOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 4 yds to the HOU 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.10

Donovan Smith pass complete to Devan Williams for 6 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for 15 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Donovan Smith pass complete to Devan Williams for 7 yds to the TCU 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

J'Marion Burnette run for 2 yds to the TCU 27

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.30

J'Marion Burnette run for 2 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Re'Shaun Sanford II run for no gain to the TCU 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Donovan Smith run for 1 yd to the TCU 24

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Donovan Smith run for 10 yds to the TCU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

J'Marion Burnette run for no gain to the TCU 14

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Donovan Smith run for no gain to the TCU 14

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Donovan Smith run for 5 yds to the TCU 9

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 yds

Jack Martin 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Hoover, Josh pass incomplete to Richardson, JP, PENALTY TCU holding (Taylor-Whitfield, Ben) 10 yards to the TCU15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jack Bech

2nd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 12 yds to the TCU 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.64

Josh Hoover pass complete to Blake Nowell for 17 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Josh Hoover pass complete to JP Richardson for 7 yds to the HOU 49

2nd & 3Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.99

Josh Hoover sacked by Zykeius Strong for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 48 Josh Hoover fumbled, recovered by HOU Michael Batton , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOU 49

Situational Analysis

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
28 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play