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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 20

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 89%

Market (Bovada)

Iowa State -13

Edge: Iowa State -13 (7.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BaylorBaylor
777021
Iowa StateIowa State
316141043

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-146-1419-1426-2133-2140-2143-21
Iowa StateBaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYBAYISBAYBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISDOWNS1359ydTD984ydFG748ydTD1075ydFG830ydPUNT516ydTD584ydTD513ydDOWNS840ydTO359ydEND111ydTD765ydTD575ydTO1055ydTD1380ydPUNT39ydTD576ydPUNT36ydFG1273ydPUNT38ydEND27yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Baylor and Iowa State
StatisticBaylorIowa State
Passing25-4416-25
Pass Yards258277
Rush Yards79265
Total Yards337542
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-137-12
Penalties6-744-55
Possession24:0635:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Baylor
passing
Sawyer Robertson
25/44, 258 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Bryson Washington
8 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Ketron Jackson
5 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
16/25, 277 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jaylon Jackson
15 CAR, 107 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jayden Higgins
8 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Abu Sama III run for 4 yds to the ISU 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Abu Sama III run for 10 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.99

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 13 yds to the BAY 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(13:10) BECHT, Rocco scrambles to the right for a gain of 18 yards to the BAY28 (MA'AE, Treven), out of bounds, clock 13:02. PENALTY ISU Holding on MILLER, Tyler enforced 10 yards from the BAY46 to the ISU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the ISU 49

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.48

Rocco Becht run for 15 yds to the BAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Carson Hansen run for 8 yds to the BAY 28

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.23

Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the BAY 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the BAY 19

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the BAY 15

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.79

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.48

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 31 yds to the BAY 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Bryson Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +3.02

Sawyer Robertson run for 11 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(07:48) ROBERTSON, Sawyer pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for CAMERON, Josh thrown to the ISU2, clock 07:42. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on PURCHASE, Myles enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the ISU28 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryson Washington run for 1 yd to the ISU 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.47

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Bryson Washington for 23 yds to the ISU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 4 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 5 yds to the ISU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.03

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 39 yds to the BAY 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the BAY 30

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the BAY 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+45 yds

Kyle Konrardy 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 2 yds to the BAY 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Dawson Pendergrass for 11 yds to the BAY 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Dawson Pendergrass run for 4 yds to the BAY 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.28

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(01:10) ROBERTSON, Sawyer pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HAWKINS, Ashtyn thrown to the ISU21, clock 01:05. PENALTY ISU Pass Interference on PURCHASE, Myles enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the ISU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 11 yds to the ISU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.16

Sawyer Robertson run for 13 yds to the ISU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 4 yds to the ISU 7

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Dawson Pendergrass run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 8

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.90

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 8 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 4 yds to the BAY 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 11 yds to the BAY 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.34

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 14 yds to the BAY 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the BAY 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+38 yds

Kyle Konrardy 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bryson Washington run for 6 yds to the BAY 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Bryson Washington run for 5 yds to the BAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Bryson Washington run for 6 yds to the BAY 42

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Bryson Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Palmer Williams punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.92

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 25 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+51 ydsPPA +2.34

Jaylon Jackson run for 51 yds to the BAY 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the BAY 7

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for a loss of 3 yards to the BAY 10

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 10 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 11 yds to the BAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 2 yds to the BAY 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

4th & 8Blocked Punt Touchdown+25 ydsPPA -6.97

Caden Matson 25 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Kyle Konrardy Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dawson Pendergrass run for 1 yd to the BAY 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 8 yds to the BAY 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Dawson Pendergrass run for 5 yds to the BAY 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 17 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 7 yds to the ISU 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 4 yds to the ISU 35

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.53

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(01:13) BECHT, Rocco pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Jayden thrown to the BAY20, clock 01:12. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on LEMEAR, Devin enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the BAY49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +1.44

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 41 yds to the BAY 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Carson Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 5

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return+10 ydsPPA -4.56

Rocco Becht pass intercepted Garmon Randolph return for 10 yds to the BAY 11

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Bryson Washington run for 11 yds to the BAY 22 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 19 yds to the ISU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Bryson Washington run for 1 yd to the ISU 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.47

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 13 yds to the ISU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 7 yds to the ISU 25

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.87

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 25 yds for a TD (Isaiah Hankins KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaylin Noel run for no gain to the ISU 25

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(12:15) BECHT, Rocco pass deep to the left incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Jayden thrown to the BAY48, clock 12:10. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on PARKER, Caleb enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the ISU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Jaylon Jackson run for 7 yds to the ISU 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +1.54

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 43 yds to the BAY 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Jaylon Jackson run for 10 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Jace J. Gilbert kickoff for 50 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 4 yds to the BAY 19

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(10:25) ROBERTSON, Sawyer pass short to the left incomplete intended for WASHINGTON, Bryson broken up by JAMES, Ta'Shawn at the BAY22, clock 10:19. PENALTY ISU Targeting on JAMES, Ta'Shawn enforced 15 yards from the BAY19 to the BAY34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Dawson Pendergrass run for 1 yd to the BAY 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.39

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 16 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Dawson Pendergrass run for 6 yds to the ISU 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.74

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 10 yds to the ISU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Hal Presley for 7 yds to the ISU 26

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.06

Sawyer Robertson pass intercepted, touchback. Jontez Williams return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jaylon Jackson run for 4 yds to the ISU 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 6 yds to the ISU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the ISU 30

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.80

Rocco Becht run for 10 yds to the ISU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the ISU 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.84

Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 14 yds to the BAY 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 44

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Jaylin Noel run for 9 yds to the BAY 35

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.07

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 22 yds to the BAY 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaylon Jackson run for 2 yds to the BAY 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.01

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 11 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 6 yds to the BAY 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dawson Pendergrass run for 3 yds to the BAY 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dawson Pendergrass run for no gain to the BAY 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Palmer Williams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Carson Hansen run for 7 yds to the ISU 31

2nd & 3Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.55

Carson Hansen run for 33 yds to the BAY 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Carson Hansen run for 15 yds to the BAY 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaylon Jackson run for 1 yd to the BAY 20

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.93

Jaylon Jackson run for 20 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jace J. Gilbert kickoff for 65 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 16 yds to the BAY 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 6 yds to the BAY 22

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Palmer Williams punt for 56 yds , Jaylin Noel returns for 2 yds to the ISU 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the ISU 28

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Jaylon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the ISU 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.03

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 22 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the BAY 49

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the BAY 49

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(06:45) BECHT, Rocco pass deep to the right incomplete intended for HIGGINS, Jayden thrown to the BAY26, clock 06:40. PENALTY BAY Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Lorando enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the BAY34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaylon Jackson run for 5 yds to the BAY 29

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the BAY 26

3rd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.54

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the BAY 22 for a 1ST down Baylor Penalty, Defensive Holding (Elinus Noel III) to the BAY 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Carson Hansen run for 7 yds to the BAY 5

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the BAY 4

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the BAY 3

4th & 1Field Goal Good+22 yds

Kyle Konrardy 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sawyer Robertson run for no gain to the BAY 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Dawson Pendergrass run for 8 yds to the BAY 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Palmer Williams punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Easton Miller run for 4 yds to the ISU 23

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Easton Miller run for 3 yds to the ISU 26

Situational Analysis

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
8 plays
82%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
34%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays