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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2024Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas Tech by 9

Home Win Probability

Texas Tech 69%

Market (Bovada)

Texas Tech -3

Edge: Texas Tech -3 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
141031441
Texas TechTexas Tech
1014101044

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-710-1410-1717-2424-2431-2734-2744-3444-41
Texas TechCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TTCINTTCINTTCINCINTTCINTTCINCINTTCINTTCINCINTTCINTTCINFG838ydTD768ydDOWNS717ydTD142ydTD775ydPUNT34ydFG512ydTD685ydTD1275ydTD875ydMISS1251ydTO213ydTD638ydFG1172ydFG1355ydTD827ydTD275ydFG966ydTD1075ydPUNT423ydMISS958yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and Texas Tech
StatisticCincinnatiTexas Tech
Passing31-4519-29
Pass Yards426251
Rush Yards129231
Total Yards555482
Turnovers21
3rd Down7-129-14
Penalties2-105-37
Possession32:0127:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Brendan Sorsby
31/45, 426 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brendan Sorsby
12 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Xzavier Henderson
7 REC, 127 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas Tech
passing
Behren Morton
19/29, 251 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tahj Brooks
32 CAR, 172 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Josh Kelly
8 REC, 111 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 65 yds , Drae McCray return for 35 yds to the TTU 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 40

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.66

Tahj Brooks run for 15 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the CIN 40

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Tahj Brooks run for 7 yds to the CIN 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the CIN 30

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CIN 35

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 8 yds to the CIN 27

4th & 4Field Goal Good+45 yds

Gino Garcia 45 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 62 yds , Logan Wilson return for 29 yds to the CIN 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Corey Kiner run for 6 yds to the CIN 38

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+36 ydsPPA +2.41

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 36 yds Xzavier Henderson fumbled, recovered by CIN Jamoi Mayes J. Mayes return for 0 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Barry Jackson Jr. run for 6 yds to the TTU 20

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Corey Kiner run for 3 yds to the TTU 17

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Corey Kiner run for no gain to the TTU 17

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.66

Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the TTU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 15 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Behren Morton pass complete to Jalin Conyers for 3 yds to the TTU 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 7 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the TTU 38

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TTU 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 7 yds to the TTU 44

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.69

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 42

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 42 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 29 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the CIN 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 2 yds to the CIN 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.22

Behren Morton pass complete to Mason Tharp for 16 yds to the CIN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 28

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.16

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 21 yds to the CIN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 7 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the CIN 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Mason Fletcher punt for 43 yds , Josh Kelly returns for 3 yds to the TTU 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Evan Pryor run for no gain to the TTU 31

2nd & 10Penalty+6 yds

(15:00) SORSBY, Brendan pass to the left incomplete intended for PRYOR, Evan thrown to the TTU22; QB hurried by RODRIGUEZ, Jacob, clock 14:55. PENALTY TTU Pass Interference on SMITH, Isaac enforced at the spot of the foul for 6 yards to the TTU25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds to the TTU 16

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.94

Evan Pryor run for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 19

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 yds

Nathan Hawks 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 65 yds , Drae McCray return for 15 yds to the TTU 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the TTU 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Behren Morton pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 4 yds to the TTU 23

3rd & 2Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.82

Behren Morton run for 26 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.10

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 4 yards to the CIN 49

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +5.67

Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 49 yds for a TD (Reese Burkhardt KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Manny Covey run for no gain to the CIN 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Manny Covey for 6 yds to the CIN 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Manny Covey run for a loss of 4 yards to the CIN 31

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the CIN 35

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the CIN 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.44

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 11 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 3 yds to the TTU 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 16 yds to the TTU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

Texas Tech Penalty, Face mask (8 yards) (C.J. Baskerville) to the TTU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the TTU 8

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.68

Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the TTU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Evan Pryor run for 1 yd for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 65 yds , Drae McCray return for 25 yds to the TTU 25

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Tahj Brooks run for 35 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.44

Behren Morton pass complete to Coy Eakin for 22 yds to the CIN 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the CIN 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for 12 yds to the CIN 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd to the CIN 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the CIN 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tahj Brooks run for 1 yd for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 4 yds to the CIN 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Cincinnati Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CIN 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.51

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 17 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.35

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 10 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.50

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Manny Covey for 10 yds to the TTU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Manny Covey for 4 yds to the TTU 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 7 yds to the TTU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brendan Sorsby run for no gain to the TTU 24

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Nathan Hawks 42 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half-52 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 16 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -2.34

Evan Pryor run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 38 Evan Pryor fumbled, recovered by TTU Jacob Rodriguez J. Rodriguez return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Behren Morton run for 21 yds to the CIN 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tahj Brooks run for 4 yds to the CIN 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.75

Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 11 yds to the CIN 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Reese Burkhardt kickoff for 63 yds , Logan Wilson return for 18 yds to the CIN 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 19 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the CIN 46

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the TTU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Manny Covey run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 49

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 8 yds to the TTU 43

3rd & 4Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.34

Evan Pryor run for 36 yds to the TTU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Brendan Sorsby sacked by Jayden Cofield for a loss of 2 yards to the TTU 9

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Victor Dawson run for 1 yd to the TTU 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Nathan Hawks 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the TTU 32

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Jalin Conyers run for 13 yds to the TTU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.18

Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 10 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tahj Brooks run for 2 yds to the CIN 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.00

Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 18 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Behren Morton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(02:03) BROOKS, Tahj rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN21 (COLEMAN, Simeon), clock 01:56. PENALTY TTU Holding on MILLER II, Johncarlos enforced 10 yards from the CIN20 to the CIN30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the CIN 25

3rd & 15Penalty+5 yds

(01:09) MORTON, Behren pass deep to the right incomplete intended for EAKIN, Coy thrown to the CIN3, clock 01:03. PENALTY CIN Offsides on JACKSON, Rob enforced 5 yards from the CIN25 to the CIN20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Behren Morton pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 yds

Reese Burkhardt 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Manny Covey run for 4 yds to the CIN 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the CIN 33

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 3 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds to the CIN 45

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.52

Brendan Sorsby run for 7 yds to the TTU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+51 ydsPPA -10.31

Brendan Sorsby pass intercepted A.J. McCarty return for 51 yds for a TD (Gino Garcia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Manny Covey run for 4 yds to the CIN 29

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+71 ydsPPA +6.19

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Manny Covey for 71 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tahj Brooks run for 6 yds to the TTU 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Tahj Brooks run for 5 yds to the TTU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.14

Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for 28 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Tahj Brooks run for 15 yds to the CIN 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.75

Tahj Brooks run for 16 yds to the CIN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Behren Morton run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Behren Morton pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Behren Morton pass complete to Drae McCray for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Gino Garcia 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Manny Covey run for 5 yds to the CIN 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 16 yds to the TTU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Manny Covey run for 3 yds to the TTU 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.27

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tony Johnson for 18 yds to the TTU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 10 yds to the TTU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 9 yds to the TTU 6

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.48

Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the TTU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Manny Covey for 3 yds for a TD (Nathan Hawks KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)-3 yds

Nathan Hawks kickoff for 32 yds , Caleb Douglas return for a loss of 3 yards to the TTU 30

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.22

Tahj Brooks run for 25 yds to the CIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tahj Brooks run for 3 yds to the CIN 42

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Tahj Brooks run for a loss of 5 yards to the CIN 47

3rd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.72

Behren Morton pass complete to Josh Kelly for no gain to the CIN 47

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Burgess punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Michael Mussari at the CIN 10

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 9

2nd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.14

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 28 yds to the CIN 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the CIN 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.57

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 19 yds to the TTU 43 for a 1ST down

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Manny Covey for 6 yds to the TTU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Manny Covey run for 5 yds to the TTU 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete

3rd & 10Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Nathan Hawks 51 yd FG MISSED

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
37%
35 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
60%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Texas Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
50%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
30%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play